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Polymarket wallet 0xfbeb036448f47c45fb45d9dff674096dc8ac593d · on Polymarket since Oct 18, 2024 · also shown as Careful-Rowboat
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 82¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$0 +22% |
| Will Kamala win 60% of college graduates?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 74¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +35% |
| Will Erling Haaland win the Ballon d’Or?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Kamala do better than Biden with unmarried women?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 84¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Jude Bellingham win the Ballon d’Or?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 222 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Vinicius Jr win the Ballon D’Or?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 39 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 725d | Will Vinicius Jr win the Ballon D’Or? | BuyYes8¢ | $3 |
| 736d | Will Ricardo Nunes win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election? | BuyYes98¢ | $5 |
| 736d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting? | BuyYes82¢ | $2 |
| 736d | Will Jude Bellingham win the Ballon d’Or? | BuyYes2¢ | $3 |
| 736d | Will Erling Haaland win the Ballon d’Or? | BuyYes1¢ | $5 |
| 736d | Will Jude Bellingham win the Ballon d’Or? | BuyYes2¢ | $1 |
| 736d | Will Ricardo Nunes win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election? | BuyYes98¢ | $1 |
| 736d | Will Sebastião Melo win the 2024 Porto Alegre mayoral election? | BuyYes100¢ | $1 |
| 736d | Will Kamala do better than Biden with unmarried women? | BuyYes84¢ | $1 |
| 736d | Will Kamala win 60% of college graduates? | BuyNo74¢ | $1 |
| 736d | Will Vinicius Jr win the Ballon D’Or? | BuyYes91¢ | $1 |
| 736d | Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League? | BuyYes19¢ | $1 |
| 736d | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BuyYes39¢ | $2 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.