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Polymarket wallet 0xfbff985b6ee748111c3406e87fb6cd9fd1785de8 · on Polymarket since Jan 15, 2026 · also shown as Lucky-Biosphere
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,572 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$470 −100% |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6,845 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$334 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10,421 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$396 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 267d | Israel strikes Iran by January 30, 2026? | BuyYes5¢ | $334 |
| 267d | Will US or Israel strike Iran first? | SellIsrael36¢ | $334 |
| 273d | US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BuyYes32¢ | $370 |
| 273d | Will US or Israel strike Iran first? | BuyIsrael32¢ | $300 |
| 273d | US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? | BuyYes4¢ | $300 |
| 275d | US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? | BuyYes5¢ | $96 |
| 275d | US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BuyYes24¢ | $100 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.