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Polymarket wallet 0xfc56932fc2129a188886fdc3845aa93b670939e3 · on Polymarket since Oct 18, 2025 · also shown as Frayed-Individual
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 210 | 55¢ → 100¢ | $210 | +$95 +83% |
| Trump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 130 | 27¢ → 100¢ | $130 | +$95 +270% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 21 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 25 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 277d | Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026? | BuyYes48¢ | $10 |
| 287d | Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026? | BuyYes55¢ | $36 |
| 288d | Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026? | BuyYes55¢ | $16 |
| 288d | Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026? | BuyYes55¢ | $2 |
| 288d | Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026? | BuyYes56¢ | $50 |
| 354d | Trump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31? | SellNo86¢ | $43 |
| 354d | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | BuyNo47¢ | $10 |
| 367d | Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country? | BuyYes45¢ | $11 |
| 367d | Trump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31? | SellNo70¢ | $70 |
| 367d | Trump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31? | SellNo54¢ | $8 |
| 367d | Trump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31? | SellNo54¢ | $3 |
| 369d | Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? | BuyNo15¢ | $3 |
| 370d | Trump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31? | BuyNo22¢ | $22 |
| 370d | Trump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31? | BuyNo29¢ | $44 |
| 370d | Trump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31? | BuyNo30¢ | $15 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.