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Polymarket wallet 0xfca735385590f0aad42da1a772eb4551215852e3 · on Polymarket since Jan 29, 2026 · also shown as Tidy-Compost
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 125,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$250 −100% |
| US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 648 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$98 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 328 | 61¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$200 −100% |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 531 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$300 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,848 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$998 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 237d | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | BuyNo57¢ | $300 |
| 238d | US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026? | BuyNo54¢ | $998 |
| 240d | US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026? | BuyNo61¢ | $200 |
| 244d | US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026? | BuyNo15¢ | $98 |
| 268d | Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30? | BuyNo<1¢ | $50 |
| 268d | Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30? | BuyNo<1¢ | $200 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.