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Polymarket wallet 0xfce46c4788e15be75576175874d5d2ad578e5677 · on Polymarket since Dec 8, 2025
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 12,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,200 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 221 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 10?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 317d | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 10? | BuyDown<1¢ | $1 |
| 317d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | SellYes>99¢ | $1 |
| 317d | No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? | BuyYes3¢ | $1 |
| 317d | Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | BuyYes<1¢ | $5 |
| 317d | Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | BuyYes<1¢ | $5 |
| 317d | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | BuyYes1¢ | $10 |
| 318d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | BuyYes97¢ | $1 |
| 318d | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | BuyYes1¢ | $1 |
| 318d | No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? | BuyYes3¢ | $5 |
| 318d | Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | BuyYes<1¢ | $2 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.