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Polymarket wallet 0xfd53bdfb666a9eea66af5fa253068c2a2ddb4825 · on Polymarket since Nov 4, 2024 · also shown as Tight-Raise
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?Ends in 68d | Yes | 36 | 14¢ → 3¢ | $1 | −$4 −80% |
| Starmer out before July?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Will Trump visit LA by Sunday?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 104 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8 | 62¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Palisades wildfire spread to Santa Monica by Sunday?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 68 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 223d | Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | BuyYes78¢ | $15 |
| 245d | Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X? | BuyYes62¢ | $5 |
| 245d | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BuyYes74¢ | $5 |
| 245d | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BuyYes99¢ | $5 |
| 245d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET | BuyDown96¢ | $6 |
| 245d | Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? | BuyYes14¢ | $5 |
| 634d | Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | BuyNo74¢ | $10 |
| 634d | Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in his first 100 days? | BuyYes99¢ | $10 |
| 634d | Will DeepSeek still be #1 Free app on Friday? | BuyYes81¢ | $10 |
| 634d | Will DeepSeek still be #1 Free app on Friday? | BuyYes81¢ | $5 |
| 652d | Will Trump visit LA by Sunday? | BuyYes19¢ | $20 |
| 652d | Starmer out before July? | BuyYes15¢ | $15 |
| 652d | Starmer out before July? | BuyYes15¢ | $15 |
| 652d | Will Palisades wildfire spread to Santa Monica by Sunday? | BuyYes22¢ | $15 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 7 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.