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Polymarket wallet 0xfed8da86be26641d4485a8885bdc85ac9240050d · on Polymarket since Jun 13, 2024 · also shown as Harmful-Ring
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elon Musk's $56bn Tesla pay package approved?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 512 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 705d | House control after 2024 election? | SellDemocratic1¢ | $139 |
| 705d | House control after 2024 election? | BuyDemocratic1¢ | $139 |
| 706d | House control after 2024 election? | SellDemocratic1¢ | $194 |
| 706d | House control after 2024 election? | BuyDemocratic1¢ | $222 |
| 707d | Will Kamala win New York by 10+ points? | SellNo1¢ | $117 |
| 707d | Will Kamala win New York by 10+ points? | BuyNo1¢ | $108 |
| 707d | Will Kamala win New York by 10+ points? | SellNo1¢ | $106 |
| 707d | Will Kamala win New York by 10+ points? | BuyNo1¢ | $98 |
| 742d | Will there be another debate? | BuyNo95¢ | $504 |
| 742d | Will AfD make it into Thuringia or Saxony government? | SellNo95¢ | $504 |
| 780d | Will AfD make it into Thuringia or Saxony government? | BuyNo94¢ | $496 |
| 808d | Bitcoin above $65,000 on August 9? | BuyNo96¢ | $478 |
| 808d | Trump conviction declared a mistrial? | SellNo88¢ | $478 |
| 839d | Trump conviction declared a mistrial? | BuyNo96¢ | $521 |
| 858d | TikTok banned in the US by June 30? | BuyNo99¢ | $517 |
| 862d | Elon Musk's $56bn Tesla pay package approved? | BuyNo3¢ | $14 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 7 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.