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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Scott Wiener win the CA-11 House seat?Ends in 10d | Yes | 89 | 79¢ → 78¢ | $69 | −$1 −1.9% |
| Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 121 | 64¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$78 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12d | Will Scott Wiener win the CA-11 House seat? | BuyYes79¢ | $73 |
| 18d | Will Raphael Glucksmann win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections? | BuyYes86¢ | $64 |
| 30d | Will Raquel Lyra win the Pernambuco Governor election? | BuyYes59¢ | $39 |
| 30d | Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election? | SellYes79¢ | $39 |
| 33d | Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election? | BuyYes84¢ | $44 |
| 50d | Will Grüne win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BuyNo88¢ | $39 |
| 73d | Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes? | BuyYes64¢ | $79 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 4 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.