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Polymarket wallet 0xfff3333f91911ea6e5e4eb2a916344fc18a000d5 · on Polymarket since Dec 17, 2024 · also shown as Famous-Presume
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US recession in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 23 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 384 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$108 −100% |
| Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 13 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Trudeau out before April?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 401 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 15 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 550d | Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister? | BuyYes24¢ | $68 |
| 568d | US recession in 2025? | BuyYes54¢ | $1 |
| 568d | Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister? | BuyYes36¢ | $20 |
| 579d | Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister? | BuyYes52¢ | $20 |
| 645d | Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February? | BuyYes22¢ | $5 |
| 656d | Trudeau out before April? | BuyNo5¢ | $20 |
| 656d | Trudeau out before April? | SellYes96¢ | $134 |
| 673d | Trudeau out before April? | BuyYes65¢ | $45 |
| 676d | Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence? | BuyNo38¢ | $5 |
| 676d | Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense? | BuyNo33¢ | $5 |
| 676d | Trudeau out before April? | BuyYes70¢ | $50 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.