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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flávio Bolsonaro | 79% | −1 pts | 78¢ · 79¢ (1¢) | $75.7K | in 371d |
| Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva | 21% | +1 pts | 20¢ · 21¢ (1¢) | $60.9K | in 371d |
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If Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva has won the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources: Kalshi's trade API: events, candlesticks and trades, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 79¢ for Flávio Bolsonaro means the market gives it about 79%.