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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 571d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | 100+ Bird Flu cases in U.S. before April? | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,535 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 572d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly2 fills | 100+ Bird Flu cases in U.S. before April? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,258 | +$125 +2.4% | 4 |
| 603d | Nobody23041 | 100+ Bird Flu cases in U.S. before April? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,112 | +$88 +4.2% | 4 |
| 617d | DawnOfYemen | 100+ Bird Flu cases in U.S. before April? | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $2,057 | −$229 −11% | — |
| 621d |  RiseAndSunny | 100+ Bird Flu cases in U.S. before April? | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,812 | −$179 −9.9% | — |
| 629d | RiseAndSunny | 100+ Bird Flu cases in U.S. before April? | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,008 | +$164 +16% | 4 |
Anonops1,053 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if there are 100 or more confirmed cases of H5 Bird Flu in humans in the territory of the United States of America during the 2024 outbreak according to the CDC case counter by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC H5 Bird Flu counter (see: https://www.cdc.gov/bird-flu/situation-summary/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC H5 Bird Flu counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.