| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | No | 280,000 | 50¢ → 80¢ | $223,860 | +$83,860 +60% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | Yes | 280,000 | 50¢ → 20¢ | $56,140 | −$83,860 −60% |
| Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 46,395 | 82¢ → 86¢ | $39,668 | +$1,649 +4.3% |
| Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 27,311 | 83¢ → 92¢ | $24,990 | +$2,287 +10% |
| Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?Ends in 36d | Yes | 34,344 | 87¢ → 69¢ | $23,526 | −$6,376 −21% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 22,537 | 81¢ → 86¢ | $19,438 | +$1,145 +6.3% |
| Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 20,931 | 56¢ → 92¢ | $19,151 | +$7,492 +64% |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 19,324 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $18,735 | +$87 +0.5% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 5d | Yes | 19,000 | 91¢ → 92¢ | $17,385 | +$121 +0.7% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 5d | No | 15,000 | 92¢ → 93¢ | $13,875 | +$5 +0.0% |
| Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?Ends in 36d | No | 30,000 | 38¢ → 37¢ | $11,100 | −$300 −2.6% |
| Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?Ends in 36d | No | 14,838 | 87¢ → 68¢ | $10,134 | −$2,767 −21% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 12,231 | 52¢ → 75¢ | $9,112 | +$2,753 +43% |
| Will Ann Kao win the next Hsinchu City Mayor election?Ends in 36d | Yes | 9,652 | 88¢ → 87¢ | $8,397 | −$85 −1.0% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 8,190 | 93¢ → 95¢ | $7,740 | +$154 +2.0% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | No | 8,000 | 91¢ → 92¢ | $7,320 | +$9 +0.1% |
| Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 8,411 | 88¢ → 86¢ | $7,192 | −$216 −2.9% |
| Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 7,213 | 91¢ → 91¢ | $6,528 | −$18 −0.3% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 6,688 | 86¢ → 87¢ | $5,785 | +$43 +0.8% |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Ends in 47d | Yes | 7,000 | 80¢ → 78¢ | $5,425 | −$152 −2.7% |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 5,547 | 86¢ → 91¢ | $5,020 | +$237 +4.9% |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 5,326 | 93¢ → 93¢ | $4,927 | −$7 −0.1% |
| Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 5,181 | 90¢ → 87¢ | $4,482 | −$199 −4.3% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 4,498 | 84¢ → 94¢ | $4,244 | +$487 +13% |
| Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?Ends in 11d | No | 4,321 | 97¢ → 96¢ | $4,159 | −$32 −0.8% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Ends ended | Yes | 4,000 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $3,904 | +$14 +0.4% |
| Will Cash Cat be the first to hit a $1B FDV?Ends in 63d | No | 3,999 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $3,847 | −$4 −0.1% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 5,096 | 47¢ → 71¢ | $3,618 | +$1,200 +50% |
| Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 3,762 | 80¢ → 96¢ | $3,593 | +$587 +20% |
| France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 4,085 | 91¢ → 88¢ | $3,575 | −$148 −4.0% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.5% before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 4,000 | 94¢ → 87¢ | $3,478 | −$274 −7.3% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 4,132 | 91¢ → 82¢ | $3,367 | −$377 −10% |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.35% before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 4,000 | 92¢ → 83¢ | $3,320 | −$345 −9.4% |
| Iran leadership change by November 30?Ends in 38d | No | 3,300 | 93¢ → 93¢ | $3,053 | −$4 −0.1% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 4,000 | 81¢ → 76¢ | $3,020 | −$200 −6.2% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 3,253 | 91¢ → 93¢ | $3,015 | +$41 +1.4% |
| Betmoar FDV above $20M one day after launch?Ends in 434d | Yes | 7,613 | 71¢ → 39¢ | $2,969 | −$2,430 −45% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 8,013 | 64¢ → 35¢ | $2,792 | −$2,360 −46% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseEnds in 11d | Yes | 4,000 | 65¢ → 68¢ | $2,700 | +$100 +3.8% |
| Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 2,969 | 90¢ → 88¢ | $2,612 | −$56 −2.1% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 2,731 | 91¢ → 92¢ | $2,499 | +$14 +0.5% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 3,084 | 79¢ → 80¢ | $2,452 | +$29 +1.2% |
| Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election?Ends in 36d | Yes | 4,950 | 75¢ → 47¢ | $2,327 | −$1,386 −37% |
| Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 2,785 | 84¢ → 82¢ | $2,269 | −$77 −3.3% |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.40% before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 2,900 | 90¢ → 78¢ | $2,247 | −$376 −14% |
| Will Rafael Grossi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 2,667 | 89¢ → 84¢ | $2,227 | −$141 −5.9% |
| Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 2,863 | 82¢ → 78¢ | $2,219 | −$134 −5.7% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 46d | Yes | 3,000 | 78¢ → 73¢ | $2,190 | −$140 −6.0% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 2,417 | 86¢ → 87¢ | $2,091 | +$4 +0.2% |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 6.00% before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 2,197 | 83¢ → 94¢ | $2,073 | +$241 +13% |
| Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 2,674 | 79¢ → 76¢ | $2,019 | −$98 −4.7% |
| Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election?Ends in 36d | No | 4,159 | 77¢ → 47¢ | $1,955 | −$1,227 −39% |
| Will Ilhan Omar be deported by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 2,000 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $1,946 | +$4 +0.2% |
| Will Chang Chi-kai win the next Chiayi City Mayor election?Ends in 36d | No | 2,465 | 81¢ → 78¢ | $1,910 | −$81 −4.1% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 2,000 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $1,890 | +$10 +0.5% |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by March 31, 2027?Ends in 159d | No | 2,500 | 78¢ → 76¢ | $1,887 | −$70 −3.6% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseEnds in 11d | No | 2,000 | 92¢ → 93¢ | $1,850 | +$10 +0.5% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 2,000 | 92¢ → 92¢ | $1,830 | −$10 −0.5% |
| Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 2,000 | 94¢ → 91¢ | $1,829 | −$53 −2.8% |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.90% before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 1,890 | 76¢ → 93¢ | $1,757 | +$321 +22% |
| Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 2,010 | 86¢ → 86¢ | $1,729 | −$7 −0.4% |
| Will none of these coins hit a $1B FDV?Ends in 63d | Yes | 1,875 | 85¢ → 92¢ | $1,716 | +$116 +7.2% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 3,762 | 50¢ → 44¢ | $1,663 | −$218 −12% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?Ends in 5d | Yes | 2,000 | 84¢ → 82¢ | $1,630 | −$50 −3.0% |
| Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 2,131 | 86¢ → 74¢ | $1,577 | −$255 −14% |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 2,000 | 79¢ → 78¢ | $1,550 | −$40 −2.5% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.6% before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 1,943 | 87¢ → 80¢ | $1,545 | −$136 −8.1% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 176d | Yes | 1,833 | 85¢ → 84¢ | $1,530 | −$36 −2.3% |
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 2,000 | 76¢ → 75¢ | $1,490 | −$20 −1.3% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseEnds in 11d | Yes | 6,000 | 28¢ → 25¢ | $1,470 | −$203 −12% |
| US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?Ends in 11d | Yes | 2,000 | 79¢ → 74¢ | $1,470 | −$120 −7.5% |
| France declares state of siege (martial law) by November 15, 2026?Ends in 23d | No | 1,468 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $1,436 | +$4 +0.3% |
| Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?Ends in 800d | No | 1,900 | 75¢ → 75¢ | $1,416 | −$10 −0.7% |
| Will Chang San-cheng win the next Taoyuan Mayor election?Ends in 36d | Yes | 1,569 | 90¢ → 87¢ | $1,357 | −$54 −3.8% |
| Republican Senate odds dip to 25% by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 1,538 | 94¢ → 88¢ | $1,350 | −$98 −6.8% |
| Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 1,475 | 90¢ → 92¢ | $1,350 | +$20 +1.5% |
| Will Chuang Ching-cheng win the next Hsinchu City Mayor election?Ends in 36d | No | 1,542 | 89¢ → 87¢ | $1,340 | −$32 −2.3% |
| Will Chang Chia-chun win the next Yunlin County Magistrate election?Ends in 36d | Yes | 1,600 | 90¢ → 84¢ | $1,336 | −$97 −6.8% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 46d | No | 1,677 | 80¢ → 80¢ | $1,333 | −$8 −0.6% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 2,134 | 83¢ → 62¢ | $1,313 | −$461 −26% |
| Will Tung Tzu-wei win the next Keelung Mayor election?Ends in 36d | No | 2,000 | 76¢ → 66¢ | $1,310 | −$220 −14% |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.45% before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 1,788 | 80¢ → 72¢ | $1,288 | −$143 −10.0% |
| Will Elmedin Konaković be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?Ends in 647d | No | 1,360 | 91¢ → 89¢ | $1,210 | −$34 −2.7% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.7% before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 1,950 | 84¢ → 61¢ | $1,190 | −$439 −27% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 4,631 | 54¢ → 26¢ | $1,181 | −$1,337 −53% |
| Will Chen Ying win the next Taitung County Magistrate election?Ends in 36d | No | 1,500 | 86¢ → 76¢ | $1,135 | −$157 −12% |
| Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?Ends in 95d | Yes | 1,945 | 60¢ → 57¢ | $1,118 | −$39 −3.4% |
| Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1,566 | 72¢ → 70¢ | $1,088 | −$46 −4.0% |
| Will Wu Hsiu-hua win the next Taitung County Magistrate election?Ends in 36d | Yes | 1,438 | 84¢ → 74¢ | $1,057 | −$154 −13% |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d | No | 1,220 | 89¢ → 86¢ | $1,052 | −$29 −2.7% |
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Ends in 434d | Anthropic | 1,074 | 95¢ → 95¢ | $1,022 | −$4 −0.4% |
| No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?Ends in 3d | No change | 1,029 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $1,008 | +$8 +0.8% |
| Will Nick Stewart attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 1,326 | 81¢ → 76¢ | $1,001 | −$71 −6.6% |
| Will Hsieh Kuo-liang win the next Keelung Mayor election?Ends in 36d | Yes | 1,700 | 77¢ → 57¢ | $977 | −$335 −26% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 1,031 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $977 | +$9 +0.9% |
| Will Lauren Boebert resign by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 991 | 96¢ → 95¢ | $942 | −$10 −1.0% |
| Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?Ends in 525d | No | 1,000 | 93¢ → 94¢ | $940 | +$5 +0.5% |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?Ends in 11d | No | 1,000 | 94¢ → 94¢ | $939 | −$0 −0.0% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?Ends in 8d | No | 1,500 | 87¢ → 63¢ | $938 | −$372 −28% |
| Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 1,000 | 91¢ → 92¢ | $915 | +$5 +0.5% |
