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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Swift | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| AI | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Volodymyr Zelenskyy | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Sam Altman | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Elon Musk | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Joe Biden | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Benjamin Netanyahu | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Xi Jinping | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1053d | quackerandqj | Taylor Swift | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,321 | −$13 −1.0% | — |
| 1055d | AI | BuyNo59¢ → 100¢ | $1,239 | +$844 +68% | 20 | |
| 1056d | Taylor Swift | BuyNo82¢ → 0¢ | $1,601 | −$1,601 −100% | 20 | |
| 1058d | Sam Altman | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,490 | +$364 +24% | 20 | |
| 1058d | Sam Altman | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $1,794 | +$585 +33% | 20 | |
| 1059d | Sam Altman | BuyNo73¢ → 100¢ | $1,142 | +$433 +38% | 20 |
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Taylor Swift means the market gives it about 100%.