| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 127,580 | 82¢ → 83¢ | $105,254 | +$461 +0.4% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 118,517 | 73¢ → 82¢ | $96,591 | +$10,471 +12% |
| No one announced as next James Bond?Ends in 69d | No | 84,781 | 76¢ → 79¢ | $66,935 | +$2,794 +4.4% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Ends in 76d | No | 29,720 | 92¢ → 94¢ | $28,071 | +$729 +2.7% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 32,426 | 5¢ → 76¢ | $24,741 | +$23,058 +1371% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 5d | Yes | 25,000 | 62¢ → 92¢ | $22,875 | +$7,434 +48% |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 296,646 | 4¢ → 5¢ | $15,574 | +$3,927 +34% |
| Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 68,451 | 22¢ → 20¢ | $13,348 | −$1,758 −12% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 310,496 | 13¢ → 4¢ | $12,109 | −$27,548 −69% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | No | 13,188 | 90¢ → 90¢ | $11,929 | +$46 +0.4% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | Yes | 109,991 | 10¢ → 9¢ | $9,624 | −$1,328 −12% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 9,196 | 71¢ → 97¢ | $8,874 | +$2,339 +36% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | Yes | 43,220 | 20¢ → 20¢ | $8,666 | −$22 −0.2% |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 299,425 | 2¢ → 3¢ | $8,234 | +$3,163 +62% |
| Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 250d | Yes | 9,789 | 83¢ → 84¢ | $8,173 | +$50 +0.6% |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 23,642 | 31¢ → 34¢ | $8,038 | +$683 +9.3% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 56,634 | 17¢ → 13¢ | $7,079 | −$2,761 −28% |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 7,247 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $7,011 | +$176 +2.6% |
| Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 7,782 | 90¢ → 89¢ | $6,887 | −$113 −1.6% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 117,386 | 17¢ → 6¢ | $6,456 | −$13,616 −68% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 36,860 | 32¢ → 18¢ | $6,451 | −$5,330 −45% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | Yes | 15,466 | 41¢ → 38¢ | $5,800 | −$552 −8.7% |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | Yes | 515,223 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $5,410 | +$1,914 +55% |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 250d | No | 8,962 | 47¢ → 56¢ | $5,063 | +$871 +21% |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 5,572 | 82¢ → 83¢ | $4,597 | +$3 +0.1% |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 6,110 | 65¢ → 72¢ | $4,368 | +$425 +11% |
| Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 250d | No | 5,280 | 69¢ → 82¢ | $4,304 | +$674 +19% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | No | 4,817 | 89¢ → 85¢ | $4,073 | −$235 −5.4% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 5,655 | 86¢ → 72¢ | $4,063 | −$809 −17% |
| Stripe IPO before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 4,118 | 83¢ → 98¢ | $4,025 | +$592 +17% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 21,348 | 18¢ → 18¢ | $3,747 | +$3 +0.1% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-06 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 3,831 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $3,682 | +$72 +2.0% |
| Will the Democrats win the Nebraska governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 4,190 | 90¢ → 87¢ | $3,645 | −$137 −3.6% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-03 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 3,510 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $3,369 | +$70 +2.1% |
| New pandemic in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 3,384 | 89¢ → 96¢ | $3,245 | +$225 +7.4% |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 63,803 | 1¢ → 5¢ | $3,190 | +$2,437 +323% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?Ends in 100d | Yes | 7,596 | 46¢ → 42¢ | $3,152 | −$375 −11% |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | Yes | 101,418 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $3,093 | +$397 +15% |
| Will Inde Navarrette win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 250d | No | 3,713 | 77¢ → 82¢ | $3,045 | +$186 +6.5% |
| Will the Republicans win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 3,042 | 95¢ → 98¢ | $2,969 | +$92 +3.2% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 149,999 | 6¢ → 2¢ | $2,925 | −$6,558 −69% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 3,177 | 77¢ → 92¢ | $2,907 | +$476 +20% |
| Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 2,990 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $2,881 | +$65 +2.3% |
| Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?Ends in 69d | No | 2,964 | 86¢ → 93¢ | $2,770 | +$228 +9.0% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 6,509 | 64¢ → 43¢ | $2,766 | −$1,399 −34% |
| Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?Ends in 69d | Yes | 7,371 | 23¢ → 36¢ | $2,657 | +$951 +56% |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 3,055 | 92¢ → 87¢ | $2,643 | −$162 −5.8% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?Ends in 100d | No | 6,370 | 46¢ → 41¢ | $2,612 | −$336 −11% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 17,944 | 12¢ → 15¢ | $2,611 | +$484 +23% |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 2,555 | 74¢ → 96¢ | $2,463 | +$570 +30% |
| Will the Republican Party win the MS-01 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 2,557 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $2,455 | +$51 +2.1% |
| Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 2,555 | 83¢ → 96¢ | $2,440 | +$319 +15% |
| Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 2,482 | 88¢ → 96¢ | $2,378 | +$204 +9.4% |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 70,074 | 1¢ → 3¢ | $2,312 | +$1,788 +341% |
| Will Toy Story 5 have the 3rd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 2,347 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $2,241 | +$106 +5.0% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 57,491 | 11¢ → 4¢ | $2,213 | −$4,111 −65% |
| Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 250d | No | 5,033 | 62¢ → 44¢ | $2,190 | −$919 −30% |
| James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 2,032 | 90¢ → 99¢ | $2,009 | +$183 +10% |
| Will the Democrats win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 2,028 | 91¢ → 98¢ | $1,980 | +$130 +7.0% |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,968 | 65¢ → 97¢ | $1,912 | +$633 +49% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | Yes | 6,662 | 30¢ → 28¢ | $1,899 | −$100 −5.0% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 5d | Yes | 25,000 | 34¢ → 8¢ | $1,875 | −$6,576 −78% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 5,510 | 30¢ → 34¢ | $1,873 | +$214 +13% |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 1,930 | 83¢ → 96¢ | $1,860 | +$266 +17% |
| Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 2,086 | 90¢ → 89¢ | $1,846 | −$31 −1.7% |
| Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 5,521 | 58¢ → 33¢ | $1,794 | −$1,434 −44% |
| Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 250d | Yes | 2,371 | 29¢ → 75¢ | $1,766 | +$1,074 +155% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 100d | Yes | 3,311 | 37¢ → 53¢ | $1,755 | +$530 +43% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maryland governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 1,794 | 94¢ → 98¢ | $1,753 | +$74 +4.4% |
| Will the Republicans win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 1,817 | 93¢ → 95¢ | $1,731 | +$48 +2.9% |
| Tim Walz in jail by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 1,698 | 92¢ → >99¢ | $1,693 | +$131 +8.4% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 7,500 | 43¢ → 23¢ | $1,688 | −$1,538 −48% |
| Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 1,849 | 91¢ → 91¢ | $1,673 | −$14 −0.8% |
| Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?Ends in 69d | No | 1,667 | 90¢ → >99¢ | $1,667 | +$167 +11% |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 1,724 | 84¢ → 91¢ | $1,561 | +$115 +7.9% |
| James Norton announced as next James Bond?Ends in 69d | No | 1,555 | 89¢ → >99¢ | $1,549 | +$173 +13% |
| Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 1,665 | 71¢ → 93¢ | $1,540 | +$364 +31% |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 1,555 | 83¢ → 98¢ | $1,526 | +$236 +18% |
| Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?Ends in 69d | No | 1,555 | 83¢ → 98¢ | $1,520 | +$237 +18% |
| Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1,555 | 91¢ → 97¢ | $1,513 | +$98 +6.9% |
| OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 1,560 | 76¢ → 97¢ | $1,506 | +$321 +27% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1,500 | 88¢ → >99¢ | $1,494 | +$174 +13% |
| Freddie Mac IPO before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 1,555 | 83¢ → 96¢ | $1,487 | +$197 +15% |
| Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 1,656 | 91¢ → 84¢ | $1,391 | −$117 −7.8% |
| Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 70,080 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $1,367 | +$842 +161% |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 1,555 | 89¢ → 80¢ | $1,236 | −$148 −11% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 1,666 | 90¢ → 73¢ | $1,208 | −$295 −20% |
| Will the Republican Party win the LA-03 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 1,246 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $1,189 | +$19 +1.6% |
| OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?Ends in 434d | Yes | 1,555 | 79¢ → 74¢ | $1,152 | −$76 −6.2% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Ends in 76d | Yes | 1,211 | 91¢ → 94¢ | $1,132 | +$34 +3.1% |
| Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond?Ends in 69d | No | 1,287 | 88¢ → 88¢ | $1,126 | −$2 −0.2% |
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Ends in 434d | OpenAI | 22,032 | 11¢ → 5¢ | $1,102 | −$1,378 −56% |
| Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 4,296 | 10¢ → 26¢ | $1,095 | +$666 +155% |
| Will "Avengers: Doomsday" make it into the IMDb Top 250?Ends in 159d | No | 1,795 | 65¢ → 61¢ | $1,086 | −$80 −6.8% |
| Will Dune: Part Three win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 250d | Yes | 1,954 | 50¢ → 53¢ | $1,026 | +$45 +4.6% |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 55,157 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $1,020 | +$312 +44% |
| Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 24,991 | 3¢ → 4¢ | $1,012 | +$262 +35% |
| Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 1,005 | 86¢ → 97¢ | $976 | +$111 +13% |
| Will Andrew Scott win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 250d | Yes | 5,737 | 15¢ → 17¢ | $947 | +$93 +11% |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 999 | 93¢ → 93¢ | $934 | +$9 +0.9% |
