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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −8 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 714d | poly0xd412 fills | 2024 October hottest on record? | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,795 | +$29 +0.2% | 4 |
| 714d |  AgricultureSecretary | 2024 October hottest on record? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,970 | +$30 +1.0% | 4 |
| 714d |  456ythgbvcadscvb6 fills | 2024 October hottest on record? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $23,242 | +$161 +0.7% | 4 |
| 714d |  carp8 fills | 2024 October hottest on record? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $59,235 | +$3,317 +5.6% | 4 |
| 714d |  Dropper | 2024 October hottest on record? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,360 | +$114 +1.2% | 4 |
| 714d | junkbonds | 2024 October hottest on record? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $20,595 | −$1,532 −7.4% | — |
| 714d | LFC8 | 2024 October hottest on record? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $6,636 | +$276 +4.2% | 4 |
| 715d |  pocahontasporker2 fills | 2024 October hottest on record? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $13,415 | +$601 +4.5% | 4 |
| 715d |  aenews2 | 2024 October hottest on record? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $3,656 | +$275 +7.5% | 4 |
| 715d |  gopfan24 fills | 2024 October hottest on record? | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $32,908 | +$5,524 +17% | 4 |
| 715d | Throcko1540 | 2024 October hottest on record? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,987 | +$173 +8.7% | 4 |
| 716d | W1nner | 2024 October hottest on record? | SellNo72¢ → 100¢ | $1,576 | −$598 −38% | — |
| 716d | W1nner | 2024 October hottest on record? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$174 +8.7% | 4 |
| 716d | 0m02 fills | 2024 October hottest on record? | SellNo80¢ → 100¢ | $3,332 | −$821 −25% | — |
| 718d | carp | 2024 October hottest on record? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $20,578 | −$1,549 −7.5% | — |
| 718d | aenews2 | 2024 October hottest on record? | SellYes18¢ → 0¢ | $1,824 | +$1,824 +100% | — |
| 719d | 0m0 | 2024 October hottest on record? | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $11,717 | +$3,398 +29% | 4 |
| 721d | junkbonds2 fills | 2024 October hottest on record? | BuyNo71¢ → 100¢ | $10,935 | +$4,402 +40% | 9 |
| 721d | Dufu | 2024 October hottest on record? | BuyYes33¢ → 0¢ | $3,291 | −$3,291 −100% | 8 |
| 722d |  Chrome | 2024 October hottest on record? | SellYes26¢ → 0¢ | $1,228 | +$1,228 +100% | — |
| 723d | Impure-Venom4 fills | 2024 October hottest on record? | SellNo50¢ → 100¢ | $16,368 | −$16,622 −102% | — |
| 723d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly2 fills | 2024 October hottest on record? | SellNo63¢ → 100¢ | $20,087 | −$11,730 −58% | — |
| 726d | Impure-Venom | 2024 October hottest on record? | BuyNo54¢ → 100¢ | $2,569 | +$2,149 +84% | 6 |
| 727d |  LinaBell | 2024 October hottest on record? | SellYes49¢ → 0¢ | $2,254 | +$2,254 +100% | — |
| 727d | russell110320 | 2024 October hottest on record? | BuyNo48¢ → 100¢ | $1,070 | +$1,160 +108% | 6 |
| 727d | Lowyrok | 2024 October hottest on record? | BuyNo47¢ → 100¢ | $1,545 | +$1,742 +113% | 6 |
| 727d | Lowyrok | 2024 October hottest on record? | SellYes53¢ → 0¢ | $1,544 | +$1,544 +100% | — |
| 727d | Impure-Venom | 2024 October hottest on record? | SellYes53¢ → 0¢ | $2,652 | +$2,652 +100% | — |
| 727d | pocahontasporker2 fills | 2024 October hottest on record? | SellYes53¢ → 0¢ | $5,876 | +$5,876 +100% | — |
| 727d |  mango-lassi | 2024 October hottest on record? | SellYes54¢ → 0¢ | $3,178 | +$3,178 +100% | — |
| 727d | gopfan22 fills | 2024 October hottest on record? | SellYes55¢ → 0¢ | $15,402 | +$15,402 +100% | — |
| 727d | comon119 | 2024 October hottest on record? | BuyYes55¢ → 0¢ | $1,971 | −$1,971 −100% | 6 |
| 728d | Impure-Venom | 2024 October hottest on record? | BuyYes63¢ → 0¢ | $3,150 | −$3,150 −100% | 6 |
| 728d |  0x203b348f5u28dx623l231m23352 fills | 2024 October hottest on record? | SellNo36¢ → 100¢ | $4,932 | −$8,758 −178% | — |
| 729d | Chrome | 2024 October hottest on record? | BuyYes55¢ → 0¢ | $1,140 | −$1,140 −100% | 6 |
| 729d | Loose-SonNew account | 2024 October hottest on record? | BuyNo54¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$835 +84% | 6 |
| 729d | Lowyrok | 2024 October hottest on record? | SellNo55¢ → 100¢ | $2,248 | −$1,840 −82% | — |
| 730d | aenews2 | 2024 October hottest on record? | BuyYes39¢ → 0¢ | $2,298 | −$2,298 −100% | 6 |
| 731d | 0x203b348f5u28dx623l231m23352 fills | 2024 October hottest on record? | BuyNo68¢ → 100¢ | $3,001 | +$1,400 +47% | 4 |
| 731d |  tsybka | 2024 October hottest on record? | BuyYes30¢ → 0¢ | $2,400 | −$2,400 −100% | 7 |
| 731d |  TradeDeficitArchitect | 2024 October hottest on record? | BuyYes28¢ → 0¢ | $1,027 | −$1,027 −100% | 4 |
| 732d | FactCheck-938 | 2024 October hottest on record? | SellYes27¢ → 0¢ | $3,345 | +$3,345 +100% | — |
| 733d | pushpushino | 2024 October hottest on record? | BuyNo69¢ → 100¢ | $1,189 | +$546 +46% | 4 |
| 734d | muaq | 2024 October hottest on record? | BuyNo64¢ → 100¢ | $1,038 | +$584 +56% | 4 |
| 734d | pocahontasporker | 2024 October hottest on record? | BuyYes40¢ → 0¢ | $1,600 | −$1,600 −100% | 5 |
| 734d | mango-lassi | 2024 October hottest on record? | BuyYes39¢ → 0¢ | $1,043 | −$1,043 −100% | 4 |
| 734d | gopfan2 | 2024 October hottest on record? | BuyYes30¢ → 0¢ | $1,505 | −$1,505 −100% | 6 |
| 734d | Slow-Trinket | 2024 October hottest on record? | SellYes23¢ → 0¢ | $2,300 | +$2,300 +100% | — |
| 734d | ExhaustedBoyBilly3 fills | 2024 October hottest on record? | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $23,657 | +$6,985 +30% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for October 2024 shows an increase greater than that of any prior October when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". At the point the data for October 2024 is first released, it will be compared to all previous data points for October, and if 2024 October is higher than all previous data points, this market will resolve to "Yes". Note: If 2024 October is tied for highest with another year, it will NOT suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" - it must be higher. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Oct" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for October 2024 is provided by NASA by February 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.