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Polymarket wallet 0xd59ecafa6e3324c4de181e2051ab22dc1b105083 · on Polymarket since Oct 22, 2024 · also shown as Super-Scientist
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kamala flips a 2020 Trump state?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 42 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Democrats win popular vote by 2-3%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 172 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$21 −100% |
| Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 229 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$137 −100% |
| Will the Democratic candidate win Pennsylvania by 1.5%-2.0%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 221 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 292 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will Trump win 4 swing states?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 111 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| 2024 October hottest on record?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$32 −100% |
| Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 24 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 717d | Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election? | BuyYes42¢ | $10 |
| 717d | Kamala flips a 2020 Trump state? | BuyYes36¢ | $15 |
| 717d | Will Trump win 4 swing states? | BuyYes18¢ | $20 |
| 717d | Will the Democratic candidate win Pennsylvania by 1.5%-2.0%? | BuyYes5¢ | $10 |
| 728d | Democrats win popular vote by 2-3%? | BuyYes12¢ | $21 |
| 728d | Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? | BuyYes60¢ | $137 |
| 731d | Will Trump say "Kamala" 25 or more times during Georgia rally on October 23? | BuyNo45¢ | $26 |
| 731d | 2024 October hottest on record? | BuyYes32¢ | $32 |
| 731d | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BuyYes34¢ | $100 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.