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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magnus Carlsen | 100% | +5 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fabiano Caruana | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hikaru Nakamura | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Vincent Keymer | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 318d | iamgone | Fabiano Caruana | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,785 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 318d | Waterfall412 | Magnus Carlsen | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,122 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 318d | iamgone | Magnus Carlsen | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,138 | +$67 +5.8% | 5 |
| 319d | 1nvoker1 | Vincent Keymer | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,586 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 319d | iamgone | Hikaru Nakamura | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,884 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 319d | iamgone | Vincent Keymer | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,228 | +$22 +0.5% | 4 |
| 319d |  Birdof | Hikaru Nakamura | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,984 | +$10 +0.2% | 4 |
Fsoficial366 sharesThis market will resolve according to the player who wins the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Tour. If multiple players are declared winners of the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Tour, this market will resolve according to the player whose listed first name comes first in alphabetical order. If the winner of the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Tour is not announced by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Freestyle Chess (https://www.freestyle-chess.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Magnus Carlsen means the market gives it about 100%.