| Will there be no Hormuz agreement?Ends in 11d | Yes | 5,500 | 90¢ → 92¢ | $5,069 | +$111 +2.2% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 4,849 | 66¢ → 87¢ | $4,194 | +$990 +31% |
| US imports Russian diesel by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 3,694 | 88¢ → 97¢ | $3,588 | +$337 +10% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 3,286 | 71¢ → 97¢ | $3,199 | +$874 +38% |
| Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?Ends in 800d | No | 4,074 | 75¢ → 71¢ | $2,873 | −$195 −6.3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 22,000 | 15¢ → 12¢ | $2,530 | −$692 −21% |
| US imports Russian diesel by November 30?Ends in 38d | No | 10,300 | 51¢ → 20¢ | $2,060 | −$3,144 −60% |
| Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?Ends in 800d | No | 2,744 | 74¢ → 72¢ | $1,962 | −$68 −3.3% |
| Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | Yes | 13,636 | 12¢ → 13¢ | $1,705 | +$91 +5.7% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 2,015 | 68¢ → 83¢ | $1,662 | +$297 +22% |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet?Ends in 69d | Yes | 9,773 | 32¢ → 16¢ | $1,564 | −$1,583 −50% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 2,008 | 73¢ → 75¢ | $1,496 | +$30 +2.1% |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 4,410 | 55¢ → 34¢ | $1,477 | −$927 −39% |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Ends in 7d | No | 1,517 | 39¢ → 93¢ | $1,410 | +$824 +141% |
| Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?Ends in 800d | No | 1,831 | 72¢ → 75¢ | $1,364 | +$53 +4.0% |
| US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?Ends in 11d | Yes | 1,844 | 68¢ → 71¢ | $1,300 | +$43 +3.5% |
| Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 1,615 | 79¢ → 79¢ | $1,268 | −$8 −0.6% |
| Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?Ends in 800d | Yes | 5,411 | 20¢ → 20¢ | $1,055 | −$1 −0.1% |
| Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 1,198 | 85¢ → 84¢ | $1,000 | −$13 −1.3% |
| Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | Yes | 7,341 | 12¢ → 14¢ | $991 | +$120 +14% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 5,389 | 32¢ → 18¢ | $943 | −$800 −46% |
| Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 1,000 | 78¢ → 90¢ | $895 | +$119 +15% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 900 | 92¢ → 95¢ | $853 | +$24 +2.9% |
| Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?Ends in 1165d | No | 1,111 | 75¢ → 74¢ | $817 | −$12 −1.4% |
| Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 1,004 | 80¢ → 81¢ | $808 | +$5 +0.6% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1,000 | 82¢ → 80¢ | $795 | −$25 −3.0% |
| Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship?Ends in 250d | Yes | 3,000 | 31¢ → 27¢ | $795 | −$130 −14% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?Ends in 22h | Yes | 800 | 91¢ → 93¢ | $744 | +$15 +2.1% |
| US imports Russian diesel by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 5,127 | 33¢ → 14¢ | $718 | −$983 −58% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Ends in 23d | Yes | 1,200 | 57¢ → 46¢ | $552 | −$134 −20% |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)Ends in 7d | No | 510 | 33¢ → 95¢ | $482 | +$314 +187% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 960 | 53¢ → 50¢ | $475 | −$34 −6.6% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 500 | 83¢ → 83¢ | $413 | −$2 −0.4% |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 410 | 79¢ → 81¢ | $330 | +$4 +1.3% |
| Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?Ends in 800d | Yes | 1,514 | 19¢ → 21¢ | $310 | +$23 +7.9% |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on October 24, 2026?Ends in 22h | Yes | 385 | 79¢ → 81¢ | $310 | +$6 +1.8% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 300 | 80¢ → 92¢ | $275 | +$34 +14% |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on October 25, 2026?Ends in 2d | Yes | 317 | 79¢ → 84¢ | $266 | +$15 +5.9% |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 297 | 68¢ → 90¢ | $265 | +$65 +32% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 400 | 65¢ → 65¢ | $258 | −$2 −0.8% |
| Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d | Yes | 10,005 | 3¢ → 2¢ | $235 | −$35 −13% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?Ends in 159d | No | 359 | 61¢ → 65¢ | $232 | +$14 +6.4% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | Yes | 4,600 | 4¢ → 4¢ | $186 | +$2 +1.3% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 1,000 | 8¢ → 18¢ | $178 | +$99 +126% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 200 | 70¢ → 87¢ | $173 | +$34 +24% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Ends in 38d | Yes | 3,000 | 5¢ → 6¢ | $165 | +$10 +6.5% |
| Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 200 | 78¢ → 80¢ | $160 | +$4 +2.6% |
| Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | Yes | 1,816 | 7¢ → 7¢ | $118 | −$9 −7.1% |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 120 | 77¢ → 92¢ | $110 | +$18 +20% |
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 132 | 66¢ → 73¢ | $96 | +$9 +9.9% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 800 | 27¢ → 11¢ | $84 | −$129 −61% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 98 | 84¢ → 77¢ | $75 | −$7 −8.0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?Ends in 100d | No | 89 | 71¢ → 76¢ | $67 | +$4 +6.3% |
| Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 250d | Yes | 271 | 45¢ → 22¢ | $58 | −$64 −52% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?Ends in 37d | No | 200 | 37¢ → 25¢ | $50 | −$24 −32% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | Yes | 330 | 5¢ → 13¢ | $42 | +$26 +172% |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 47 | 73¢ → 75¢ | $35 | +$1 +2.7% |
| Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 200 | 20¢ → 18¢ | $35 | −$6 −15% |
| Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 200 | 20¢ → 18¢ | $35 | −$5 −13% |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on October 29, 2026?Ends in 6d | Yes | 50 | 72¢ → 70¢ | $35 | −$1 −3.5% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 37 | 42¢ → 65¢ | $24 | +$8 +55% |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 17 | 84¢ → 99¢ | $17 | +$3 +18% |
| Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 973 | 10¢ → 1¢ | $13 | −$81 −87% |
| Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 13 | 81¢ → 96¢ | $13 | +$2 +18% |
| Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 10 | 51¢ → 92¢ | $9 | +$4 +79% |
| Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 87¢ → 91¢ | $9 | +$0 +4.7% |
| Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d | Yes | 8,500 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $9 | $0 0.0% |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 5 | 80¢ → 94¢ | $5 | +$1 +17% |
| Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 12 | 42¢ → 38¢ | $5 | −$0 −9.5% |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 5 | 70¢ → 75¢ | $4 | +$0 +6.4% |
| Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 5 | 45¢ → 70¢ | $3 | +$1 +54% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 3 | 65¢ → >99¢ | $3 | +$1 +54% |
| Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?Ends in 1165d | Yes | 5 | 19¢ → 19¢ | $1 | −$0 −2.6% |
| Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?Ends in 800d | Yes | 5 | 18¢ → 16¢ | $1 | −$0 −12% |
| Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | Yes | 7 | 9¢ → 11¢ | $1 | +$0 +17% |
| Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | Yes | 3 | 16¢ → 16¢ | $0 | −$0 −3.9% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,590 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$330 −100% |
| Will China win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Will United States of America win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 825 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$59 −100% |
| Will France win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,282 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| Trump renames AI by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 200 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$64 −100% |
| EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 6,061 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$145 −100% |
| Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 327 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$42 −100% |
| Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 30,010 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$75 −100% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 250 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will Uzbekistan win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,120 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$551 −100% |
| Trump renames AI by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,281 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$45 −100% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,021 | 70¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$719 −100% |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by November 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 500 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,208 | 76¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$924 −100% |
| Will Bitget resume withdrawals by September 27, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,457 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$64 −100% |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 186 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3,060 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$209 −100% |
| Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 203 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$64 −100% |
| Will Ukraine win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,000 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$153 −100% |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by November 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 500 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by October 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 200 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$24 −100% |
