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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javokhir Sindarov | 100% | +1 pts | +7 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Hikaru Nakamura | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fabiano Caruana | 0% | 0 pts | −13 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Wei Yi | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Anish Giri | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Praggnanandhaa R | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Matthias Bluebaum | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Andrey Esipenko | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| placeholder 1 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| placeholder 2 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| placeholder 3 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| placeholder 4 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| placeholder 5 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 192d | Elgrecos | Javokhir Sindarov | SellYes>99¢ | $1,013 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 192d |  John-Silver | Javokhir Sindarov | SellYes>99¢ | $6,788 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 193d | markmir | Javokhir Sindarov | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,367 | +$8 +0.1% | 4 |
| 193d | randomlypunting | Javokhir Sindarov | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,431 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 193d | stevemaster2 fills | Javokhir Sindarov | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,929 | +$38 +0.8% | 4 |
| 193d |  JohanTheWise | Javokhir Sindarov | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,689 | −$69 −1.2% | — |
| 194d | LunarGrit | Javokhir Sindarov | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,240 | −$15 −1.2% | — |
| 194d | pengu1n | Javokhir Sindarov | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,724 | −$24 −1.4% | — |
| 194d | olddirtyfighter4 fills | Javokhir Sindarov | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,148 | +$59 +1.0% | 4 |
| 195d |  Rhabarberbarbarbar3 fills | Javokhir Sindarov | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $12,811 | +$896 +7.0% | 4 |
| 195d | onedimensionchess2 fills | Javokhir Sindarov | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,188 | +$53 +2.4% | 4 |
| 195d | onedimensionchess | Javokhir Sindarov | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,116 | −$32 −2.9% | — |
| 195d |  Snow-White2 fills | Javokhir Sindarov | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $4,221 | −$175 −4.1% | — |
| 195d | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935 | Javokhir Sindarov | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,953 | −$47 −2.4% | — |
| 195d | AlphaBetaGamma2357 | Javokhir Sindarov | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $5,160 | +$101 +2.0% | 4 |
| 195d | Misguided-Sock5 fills | Javokhir Sindarov | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $7,085 | −$200 −2.8% | — |
| 195d |  Socialista2 fills | Javokhir Sindarov | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $3,329 | −$260 −7.8% | — |
| 196d | normalOne | Javokhir Sindarov | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,995 | +$64 +3.2% | 4 |
| 196d | ccolombo | Javokhir Sindarov | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,112 | +$44 +4.0% | 4 |
| 196d | bromberg | Praggnanandhaa R | SellNo>99¢ | $2,011 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 197d | GGesnord | Javokhir Sindarov | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,465 | −$60 −4.1% | — |
| 197d | XXuXX | Javokhir Sindarov | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $3,555 | −$130 −3.7% | — |
| 197d | XXuXX | Hikaru Nakamura | SellNo>99¢ | $2,037 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 197d | chickenwings93 | Javokhir Sindarov | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $9,997 | +$262 +2.6% | 4 |
| 198d | omgclayaiken | Javokhir Sindarov | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,092 | −$33 −3.1% | — |
| 198d |  Parz1vaI | Javokhir Sindarov | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,152 | −$77 −2.5% | — |
| 198d | onedimensionchess | Anish Giri | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,122 | −$55 −4.9% | — |
| 198d | Socialista | Javokhir Sindarov | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,140 | +$60 +5.3% | 4 |
| 198d | Rhabarberbarbarbar | Fabiano Caruana | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,234 | +$57 +0.9% | 4 |
| 198d | onedimensionchess | Anish Giri | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,086 | +$91 +8.4% | 4 |
| 198d | onedimensionchess | Fabiano Caruana | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,086 | −$17 −1.6% | — |
| 198d | 0x54dC1507557 | Javokhir Sindarov | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,131 | +$126 +11% | 4 |
| 198d | operationcastle | Javokhir Sindarov | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $2,750 | −$316 −11% | — |
| 198d | TwoTierKeir | Javokhir Sindarov | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,576 | +$175 +11% | 4 |
| 198d | stevemaster | Praggnanandhaa R | SellNo>99¢ | $1,201 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 198d | influenz.eth3 fills | Hikaru Nakamura | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,686 | +$6 +0.2% | 4 |
| 198d | Warzone | Javokhir Sindarov | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $2,233 | −$239 −11% | — |
| 199d | timetowander | Javokhir Sindarov | SellYes91¢ → 100¢ | $2,713 | −$264 −9.7% | — |
| 199d | givemetheloot | Javokhir Sindarov | SellYes91¢ → 100¢ | $2,533 | −$247 −9.8% | — |
| 199d | stevemaster | Fabiano Caruana | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,948 | +$52 +1.3% | 4 |
| 199d | pengu1n | Praggnanandhaa R | SellNo>99¢ | $1,277 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 199d | randomlypunting | Javokhir Sindarov | SellYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,740 | −$174 −10% | — |
| 200d |  STDgambler | Praggnanandhaa R | SellNo>99¢ | $2,994 | −$6 −0.2% | — |
| 200d | Cigarettes-645 | Javokhir Sindarov | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,413 | +$102 +7.3% | 4 |
| 200d |  DumplingBMF | Javokhir Sindarov | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $3,264 | +$445 +14% | 4 |
| 200d | jocpolitic | Javokhir Sindarov | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $1,744 | +$261 +15% | 4 |
| 201d | JohanTheWise3 fills | Javokhir Sindarov | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $5,042 | +$905 +18% | 4 |
| 201d | influenz.eth2 fills | Praggnanandhaa R | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,197 | +$11 +0.5% | 4 |
| 201d | influenz.eth2 fills | Wei Yi | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,205 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 201d | influenz.eth2 fills | Anish Giri | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,194 | +$13 +0.6% | 4 |
| 201d | influenz.eth | Fabiano Caruana | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,019 | +$166 +16% | 4 |
| 201d | Exhausted-Weasel | Javokhir Sindarov | SellYes84¢ → 100¢ | $3,971 | −$759 −19% | — |
| 201d | Dude21373 fills | Javokhir Sindarov | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $4,250 | +$750 +18% | 4 |
| 202d |  tetrase | Hikaru Nakamura | SellNo>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 202d |  gopfan25 fills | Javokhir Sindarov | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $44,368 | +$12,734 +29% | 4 |
| 202d |  mountaindewd | Javokhir Sindarov | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $1,586 | +$302 +19% | 4 |
| 202d | Bite-Sized-Maid | Javokhir Sindarov | SellYes82¢ → 100¢ | $1,233 | −$271 −22% | — |
| 202d |  norrisfan2 fills | Javokhir Sindarov | BuyNo25¢ → 0¢ | $5,568 | −$5,568 −100% | 4 |
| 202d | h038596027355 | Javokhir Sindarov | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $1,665 | +$294 +18% | 4 |
| 203d |  Nunca.Pasa.Nada | Fabiano Caruana | SellNo85¢ → 100¢ | $2,091 | −$374 −18% | — |
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament scheduled for March 29 - April 16, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament per the rules of the FIDE, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament is cancelled, or postponed after April 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIDE; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Javokhir Sindarov means the market gives it about 100%.