| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | No | 13,000 | 50¢ → 80¢ | $10,394 | +$3,894 +60% |
| Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?Ends in 24h | No | 8,778 | 89¢ → 99¢ | $8,686 | +$839 +11% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseEnds in 11d | Yes | 7,536 | 67¢ → 67¢ | $5,011 | −$26 −0.5% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 5,000 | 90¢ → 97¢ | $4,840 | +$317 +7.0% |
| Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 30%?Ends in 24h | No | 4,875 | 93¢ → 99¢ | $4,829 | +$311 +6.9% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | No | 6,666 | 70¢ → 72¢ | $4,766 | +$91 +1.9% |
| Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 4d | No | 4,855 | 88¢ → 93¢ | $4,491 | +$217 +5.1% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 5d | Yes | 4,014 | 64¢ → 93¢ | $3,713 | +$1,147 +45% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | No | 5,000 | 67¢ → 68¢ | $3,375 | +$25 +0.7% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 3,893 | 66¢ → 86¢ | $3,364 | +$781 +30% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | Yes | 13,000 | 50¢ → 20¢ | $2,607 | −$3,894 −60% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 3,000 | 62¢ → 87¢ | $2,595 | +$746 +40% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 4,000 | 57¢ → 65¢ | $2,580 | +$285 +12% |
| Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 3,256 | 70¢ → 78¢ | $2,523 | +$235 +10% |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Ends in 24h | Yes | 3,600 | 64¢ → 69¢ | $2,488 | +$173 +7.5% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 3,000 | 84¢ → 83¢ | $2,475 | −$43 −1.7% |
| Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 2,803 | 85¢ → 85¢ | $2,368 | −$14 −0.6% |
| Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 4d | Yes | 3,207 | 58¢ → 70¢ | $2,229 | +$380 +21% |
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 3,000 | 62¢ → 73¢ | $2,175 | +$309 +17% |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Ends in 2d | Yes | 2,329 | 86¢ → 87¢ | $2,015 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?Ends in 800d | No | 2,579 | 75¢ → 75¢ | $1,922 | −$13 −0.7% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 2,000 | 95¢ → 95¢ | $1,909 | +$11 +0.6% |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 2,062 | 91¢ → 91¢ | $1,870 | −$3 −0.1% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends ended | No | 2,000 | 86¢ → 89¢ | $1,770 | +$50 +2.9% |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Ends in 129d | Yes | 2,100 | 60¢ → 83¢ | $1,733 | +$470 +37% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the PA-01 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 4,132 | 35¢ → 40¢ | $1,653 | +$211 +15% |
| Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 4d | No | 2,058 | 76¢ → 79¢ | $1,615 | +$44 +2.8% |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 2,316 | 57¢ → 70¢ | $1,610 | +$293 +22% |
| Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Ends in 525d | Yes | 1,966 | 76¢ → 81¢ | $1,592 | +$103 +6.9% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 1,904 | 72¢ → 82¢ | $1,551 | +$177 +13% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Ends ended | Yes | 1,536 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $1,493 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?Ends in 434d | No | 2,000 | 85¢ → 75¢ | $1,490 | −$214 −13% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?Ends in 24h | Yes | 1,500 | 93¢ → 95¢ | $1,417 | +$22 +1.6% |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 1,918 | 60¢ → 72¢ | $1,371 | +$218 +19% |
| Will Inde Navarrette win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 250d | No | 1,567 | 78¢ → 82¢ | $1,285 | +$63 +5.1% |
| Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Ends in 3d | Yes | 1,973 | 80¢ → 65¢ | $1,273 | −$309 −20% |
| Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 2,000 | 47¢ → 62¢ | $1,240 | +$290 +31% |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 1,400 | 78¢ → 88¢ | $1,225 | +$137 +13% |
| Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 1,505 | 81¢ → 81¢ | $1,211 | −$8 −0.6% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 1,500 | 71¢ → 78¢ | $1,163 | +$103 +9.7% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 1,400 | 82¢ → 83¢ | $1,155 | +$2 +0.1% |
| Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?Ends in 36d | Yes | 1,700 | 65¢ → 64¢ | $1,080 | −$29 −2.7% |
| Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?Ends in 69d | No | 1,072 | 86¢ → 96¢ | $1,024 | +$99 +11% |
| Will the Democrats win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 1,020 | 95¢ → 95¢ | $971 | +$4 +0.4% |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 1,000 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $967 | +$3 +0.3% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 1,026 | 82¢ → 94¢ | $964 | +$123 +15% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | No | 2,000 | 43¢ → 48¢ | $950 | +$92 +11% |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | No | 1,000 | 94¢ → 93¢ | $932 | −$10 −1.0% |
| Papertrade FDV above $50M one day after launch?Ends in 434d | No | 1,900 | 48¢ → 49¢ | $931 | +$11 +1.2% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 1,000 | 92¢ → 92¢ | $915 | −$5 −0.5% |
| Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 945 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $908 | +$1 +0.1% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NM-03 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 895 | 90¢ → 95¢ | $850 | +$48 +6.0% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | No | 1,000 | 90¢ → 85¢ | $845 | −$57 −6.3% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1,000 | 69¢ → 81¢ | $805 | +$116 +17% |
| Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?Ends in 434d | No | 833 | 86¢ → 95¢ | $791 | +$75 +10% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 1,000 | 65¢ → 75¢ | $745 | +$95 +15% |
| Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?Ends in 36d | No | 1,168 | 65¢ → 64¢ | $741 | −$23 −3.0% |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 1,000 | 69¢ → 74¢ | $735 | +$46 +6.6% |
| Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Ends in 24h | No | 1,000 | 70¢ → 72¢ | $715 | +$15 +2.1% |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 2,800 | 26¢ → 25¢ | $700 | −$36 −4.8% |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 1,000 | 54¢ → 70¢ | $695 | +$155 +29% |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 1,000 | 66¢ → 66¢ | $660 | $0 0.0% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 1,000 | 61¢ → 64¢ | $640 | +$30 +4.9% |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,654 | 17¢ → 39¢ | $637 | +$361 +131% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 707 | 63¢ → 87¢ | $612 | +$164 +37% |
| Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Ends in 159d | No | 660 | 87¢ → 90¢ | $594 | +$20 +3.4% |
| Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 1,531 | 36¢ → 39¢ | $590 | +$38 +6.9% |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 650 | 69¢ → 90¢ | $585 | +$135 +30% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MO-05 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 601 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $578 | +$29 +5.3% |
| Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 600 | 63¢ → 96¢ | $577 | +$197 +52% |
| Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 600 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $577 | +$16 +2.8% |
| No one announced as next James Bond?Ends in 69d | No | 700 | 78¢ → 82¢ | $573 | +$29 +5.4% |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 250d | No | 1,000 | 49¢ → 56¢ | $565 | +$75 +15% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 1,500 | 65¢ → 38¢ | $562 | −$418 −43% |
| Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 714 | 72¢ → 79¢ | $560 | +$44 +8.6% |
| Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 11d | Yes | 652 | 65¢ → 86¢ | $558 | +$133 +31% |
| Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 652 | 84¢ → 86¢ | $557 | +$11 +2.1% |
| Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Ends in 3d | No | 831 | 72¢ → 67¢ | $553 | −$50 −8.2% |
| Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of New Zealand?Ends in 15d | No | 593 | 91¢ → 92¢ | $548 | +$7 +1.4% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 696 | 75¢ → 79¢ | $546 | +$24 +4.7% |
| Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 601 | 86¢ → 91¢ | $544 | +$27 +5.2% |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 600 | 92¢ → 91¢ | $543 | −$9 −1.6% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 600 | 67¢ → 90¢ | $537 | +$137 +34% |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 2,100 | 25¢ → 26¢ | $536 | +$11 +2.1% |
| US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 656 | 83¢ → 80¢ | $522 | −$26 −4.7% |
| Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 568 | 53¢ → 92¢ | $519 | +$220 +74% |
| Will PUBG Mobile Win the 2026 Esports Mobile Game of the Year Award?Ends ended | No | 793 | 64¢ → 65¢ | $515 | +$7 +1.3% |
| Will no listed leader be out before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 1,000 | 61¢ → 51¢ | $505 | −$104 −17% |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 2,149 | 48¢ → 23¢ | $500 | −$529 −51% |
| Will His & Hers be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?Ends in 68d | No | 532 | 90¢ → 94¢ | $499 | +$20 +4.2% |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 599 | 83¢ → 82¢ | $488 | −$9 −1.9% |
| Will the Republican Party win the MO-04 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 500 | 91¢ → 97¢ | $483 | +$28 +6.2% |
| Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 500 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $480 | −$0 −0.1% |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 546 | 87¢ → 88¢ | $478 | +$3 +0.7% |
| Will the Republicans win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 500 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $475 | +$3 +0.7% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 2,000 | 23¢ → 24¢ | $470 | +$10 +2.2% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Ends in 23d | Yes | 833 | 66¢ → 56¢ | $462 | −$88 −16% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 434d | Yes | 4,557 | 14¢ → 10¢ | $456 | −$200 −30% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 1,700 | 19¢ → 26¢ | $450 | +$119 +36% |
| Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 520 | 63¢ → 86¢ | $447 | +$118 +36% |
