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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poland | 0% | +1 pts | +1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Italy | 0% | +2 pts | +2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ukraine | 0% | +6 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Turkey | 100% | −1 pts | −3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Sweden | 100% | +1 pts | −1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Denmark | 0% | +1 pts | +1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bosnia and Herzegovina | 100% | −1 pts | −1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Czechia | 100% | −1 pts | +1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Kosovo | 0% | — | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bolivia | 0% | — | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Belgium | 100% | 0 pts | +3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Albania | 0% | −2 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Colombia | 100% | +1 pts | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| DR Congo | 100% | −1 pts | −4 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Slovakia | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Romania | 0% | — | +1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ireland | 0% | — | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| New Caledonia | 0% | +4 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Saudi Arabia | 100% | +20 pts | +25 pts | 99¢ · >99¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Uruguay | 100% | — | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Iraq | 100% | −1 pts | −5 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Oman | 0% | −12 pts | −23 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Netherlands | 100% | 0 pts | +7 pts | >99¢ · >99¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Jamaica | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Croatia | 100% | +1 pts | +9 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Wales | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Finland | 0% | −5 pts | −10 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| United Arab Emirates | 0% | −35 pts | −30 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Northern Ireland | 0% | +2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| North Macedonia | 0% | +2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Suriname | 0% | +5 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Austria | 100% | +17 pts | +2 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Australia | 100% | +1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 206d | BlueBase-568 | Italy | SellNo>99¢ | $1,210 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 206d |  DCABC | Bolivia | BuyYes53¢ → 0¢ | $1,450 | −$1,450 −100% | 4 |
| 206d | DCABC | Turkey | SellYes>99¢ | $4,545 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 206d | cy14 | Italy | SellNo>99¢ | $2,248 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 206d | tsihkodiives2 fills | Italy | SellNo>99¢ | $4,755 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 206d | 0x89cd…4d7d | Italy | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,346 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 206d | 0x903221b1 | Italy | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,864 | −$79 −1.0% | — |
| 206d |  cryptojo | Czechia | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,546 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 206d |  mombil | Italy | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,653 | +$295 +18% | 4 |
| 206d | cryptojo2 fills | Denmark | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,351 | +$24 +0.7% | 4 |
| 206d |  1922 | Denmark | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,713 | +$143 +5.3% | 4 |
| 206d |  nestea4k | Italy | BuyYes61¢ → 0¢ | $1,245 | −$1,245 −100% | 4 |
| 206d |  TheGoldenDeer | Italy | SellNo40¢ → 100¢ | $1,182 | −$1,774 −150% | — |
| 206d | Tobias1909 | Poland | SellNo>99¢ | $3,900 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 206d | 0x1ed8…e5ae | Turkey | SellYes>99¢ | $1,477 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 206d | 0x89cd…4d7d | Italy | SellNo50¢ → 100¢ | $1,020 | −$1,020 −100% | — |
| 206d |  chartmaker | Turkey | SellYes>99¢ | $1,580 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 206d |  chhfgvchb | Italy | BuyYes47¢ → 0¢ | $1,501 | −$1,501 −100% | 4 |
| 206d | Knotty-Associate | Turkey | SellYes>99¢ | $1,447 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 206d | cy14 | Italy | BuyNo53¢ → 100¢ | $1,085 | +$962 +89% | 4 |
| 206d |  chiriloi | Turkey | SellYes>99¢ | $1,335 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 206d | Tobias1909 | Poland | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,485 | +$15 +1.0% | 4 |
| 206d | blkmont | Poland | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $2,859 | +$325 +11% | 4 |
| 206d |  middleoftheocean2 fills | Denmark | BuyYes68¢ → 0¢ | $8,060 | −$8,060 −100% | 4 |
| 206d | nevercomingback1 | Turkey | BuyYes69¢ → 100¢ | $4,601 | +$2,107 +46% | 4 |
| 206d |  uuu3456 | Sweden | BuyNo40¢ → 0¢ | $1,301 | −$1,301 −100% | 4 |
| 206d |  iamkrisas | Italy | BuyYes82¢ → 0¢ | $1,394 | −$1,394 −100% | 4 |
| 206d | iamkrisas | Denmark | BuyYes63¢ → 0¢ | $2,003 | −$2,003 −100% | 4 |
| 206d | DCABC | Bosnia and Herzegovina | BuyNo82¢ → 0¢ | $2,050 | −$2,050 −100% | 4 |
| 206d | Thebigshot | Denmark | BuyNo37¢ → 100¢ | $1,121 | +$1,909 +170% | 4 |
| 206d | wshchadi | Denmark | BuyYes65¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 4 |
| 206d | Joyful-Greed | Italy | BuyYes81¢ → 0¢ | $2,511 | −$2,511 −100% | 4 |
| 206d |  norrisfan | Kosovo | BuyYes35¢ → 0¢ | $2,081 | −$2,081 −100% | 4 |
| 206d | norrisfan2 fills | Turkey | BuyNo34¢ → 0¢ | $3,474 | −$3,474 −100% | 4 |
| 206d |  su2812 fills | Bosnia and Herzegovina | BuyNo79¢ → 0¢ | $2,370 | −$2,370 −100% | 4 |
| 206d |  Reconquistador | Italy | BuyYes80¢ → 0¢ | $1,187 | −$1,187 −100% | 4 |
| 206d |  Wagienomics | Italy | BuyYes80¢ → 0¢ | $2,557 | −$2,557 −100% | 4 |
| 206d | trampec | Bosnia and Herzegovina | BuyNo79¢ → 0¢ | $1,185 | −$1,185 −100% | 4 |
| 206d | su2812 fills | Italy | BuyYes78¢ → 0¢ | $4,665 | −$4,665 −100% | 4 |
| 206d |  MettaWorldPeace00 | Italy | BuyYes79¢ → 0¢ | $1,580 | −$1,580 −100% | 4 |
| 207d |  Xero100i2 fills | Italy | SellYes77¢ → 0¢ | $3,080 | +$3,080 +100% | — |
| 208d | Goktug | Turkey | SellYes66¢ → 100¢ | $1,208 | −$618 −51% | — |
| 209d | Knotty-Associate | Turkey | BuyYes69¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$449 +45% | 4 |
| 209d |  Pmguy | Italy | SellYes75¢ → 0¢ | $2,227 | +$2,227 +100% | — |
| 210d | Francis051991 | Italy | SellYes75¢ → 0¢ | $1,994 | +$1,994 +100% | — |
| 210d | GoodGuyGrego | Denmark | SellYes60¢ → 0¢ | $1,083 | +$1,083 +100% | — |
| 210d | MettaWorldPeace00 | Turkey | BuyYes68¢ → 100¢ | $2,254 | +$1,068 +47% | 4 |
| 211d | shcc | New Caledonia | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,291 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 211d | woniudadoudou | New Caledonia | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,413 | +$4 +0.3% | 4 |
| 211d | fmk | Turkey | BuyYes66¢ → 100¢ | $1,083 | +$558 +52% | 4 |
| 211d | 1922 | Czechia | BuyYes39¢ → 100¢ | $1,852 | +$2,938 +159% | 4 |
| 211d | Tobias1909 | Italy | BuyYes75¢ → 0¢ | $2,143 | −$2,143 −100% | 4 |
| 211d |  Xplayer | Ireland | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,124 | +$61 +5.5% | 4 |
| 211d |  MiLive | Czechia | BuyNo99¢ → 0¢ | $1,100 | −$1,100 −100% | 4 |
| 211d | pelik | Albania | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,711 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 211d | StackingMillions | Albania | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,201 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 211d |  Festka2 fills | Ukraine | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,127 | +$7 +0.1% | 4 |
| 211d | leegunner | Wales | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $1,935 | +$578 +30% | 4 |
| 211d | StackingMillions | Slovakia | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,990 | +$10 +0.2% | 4 |
| 211d | StackingMillions | Ukraine | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,666 | +$5 +0.2% | 4 |
RufusHowl2,613 sharesThis is a market on which teams will qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Poland means the market gives it about 0%.