| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 751d | No | 260,000 | 50¢ → 87¢ | $225,810 | +$95,810 +74% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 55,000 | 82¢ → 98¢ | $53,707 | +$8,608 +19% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 751d | Yes | 260,000 | 50¢ → 13¢ | $34,190 | −$95,810 −74% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 16d | No | 20,000 | 90¢ → 91¢ | $18,100 | +$100 +0.6% |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 751d | Yes | 294,448 | 4¢ → 5¢ | $14,575 | +$3,173 +28% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 15,000 | 80¢ → 96¢ | $14,325 | +$2,281 +19% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 7,621 | 69¢ → 89¢ | $6,745 | +$1,479 +28% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 16d | Yes | 10,167 | 59¢ → 65¢ | $6,558 | +$559 +9.3% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 6,335 | 46¢ → >99¢ | $6,326 | +$3,421 +118% |
| Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 5,628 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $5,448 | +$130 +2.4% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 751d | Yes | 53,428 | 12¢ → 9¢ | $4,782 | −$1,491 −24% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 16d | No | 7,123 | 57¢ → 63¢ | $4,452 | +$392 +9.6% |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 751d | Yes | 155,988 | 2¢ → 3¢ | $4,290 | +$692 +19% |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 4,407 | 45¢ → 97¢ | $4,260 | +$2,289 +116% |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 751d | Yes | 114,713 | 2¢ → 3¢ | $3,728 | +$1,359 +57% |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Ends in 16d | Yes | 23,951 | 14¢ → 16¢ | $3,712 | +$288 +8.4% |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Ends in 16d | No | 20,000 | 14¢ → 16¢ | $3,100 | +$300 +11% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 16d | Yes | 2,799 | 5¢ → 96¢ | $2,687 | +$2,541 +1740% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 182d | Yes | 5,603 | 9¢ → 48¢ | $2,681 | +$2,177 +432% |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Ends in 16d | Yes | 3,606 | 60¢ → 73¢ | $2,614 | +$439 +20% |
| Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028?Ends in 1170d | Yes | 4,947 | 48¢ → 51¢ | $2,498 | +$135 +5.7% |
| Will Katie Britt announce a presidential run before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 2,241 | 92¢ → 97¢ | $2,179 | +$107 +5.1% |
| Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?Ends in 16d | No | 1,963 | 91¢ → 99¢ | $1,944 | +$151 +8.4% |
| Will Byron Donalds announce a presidential run before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 1,881 | 95¢ → 99¢ | $1,866 | +$85 +4.8% |
| Will Mike Pence announce a presidential run before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 1,775 | 92¢ → 98¢ | $1,736 | +$100 +6.1% |
| Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders announce a presidential run before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 1,675 | 92¢ → 99¢ | $1,651 | +$115 +7.5% |
| Will Natalie Harp be the next White House Press Secretary?Ends in 439d | No | 1,670 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $1,621 | +$69 +4.5% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 751d | Yes | 10,567 | 16¢ → 15¢ | $1,617 | −$56 −3.4% |
| Will Roy Cooper announce a Presidential run before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 1,452 | 94¢ → 99¢ | $1,431 | +$71 +5.2% |
| Will Stephen A. Smith announce a Presidential run before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 1,408 | 92¢ → 99¢ | $1,399 | +$107 +8.3% |
| Will Chelsea Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 1,405 | 93¢ → 99¢ | $1,389 | +$82 +6.3% |
| Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026?Ends in 73d | No | 1,379 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $1,341 | +$32 +2.4% |
| Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 1,386 | 66¢ → 93¢ | $1,288 | +$371 +41% |
| Will John Thune announce a presidential run before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 1,222 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $1,178 | +$38 +3.3% |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 751d | Yes | 20,802 | 5¢ → 6¢ | $1,175 | +$214 +22% |
| Will Hendrik Wüst be the next Chancellor of Germany?Ends in 1170d | No | 1,294 | 75¢ → 87¢ | $1,120 | +$143 +15% |
| Will Hillary Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 1,101 | 96¢ → 99¢ | $1,086 | +$29 +2.7% |
| Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 1,037 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $1,007 | +$31 +3.1% |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 1,024 | 81¢ → 97¢ | $990 | +$161 +19% |
| Will Elise Stefanik announce a presidential run before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 1,000 | 90¢ → 98¢ | $975 | +$71 +7.8% |
| Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 980 | 94¢ → 98¢ | $958 | +$37 +4.0% |
| Will Mark Cuban announce a Presidential run before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 954 | 93¢ → 99¢ | $943 | +$50 +5.6% |
| Will Liz Cheney announce a Presidential run before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 937 | 92¢ → 97¢ | $907 | +$41 +4.7% |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer announce a Presidential run before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 938 | 92¢ → 97¢ | $906 | +$45 +5.2% |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 751d | Yes | 161,651 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $889 | −$1,160 −57% |
| Will Nikki Haley announce a presidential run before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 917 | 88¢ → 93¢ | $855 | +$43 +5.3% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?Ends in 58d | No | 2,461 | 19¢ → 34¢ | $825 | +$356 +76% |
| Will Erika Kirk announce a presidential run before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 852 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $819 | +$9 +1.1% |
| Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 751d | Yes | 512,474 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $769 | −$556 −42% |
| Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 771 | 90¢ → 90¢ | $691 | −$3 −0.4% |
| Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 721 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $691 | +$9 +1.3% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends ended | Yes | 5,471 | 1¢ → 13¢ | $684 | +$629 +1150% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends ended | Yes | 7,530 | 1¢ → 9¢ | $678 | +$602 +800% |
| Will Greg Abbott announce a presidential run before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 688 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $656 | +$9 +1.4% |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. announce a presidential run before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 669 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $645 | +$10 +1.6% |
| Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?Ends in 74d | No | 669 | 84¢ → 95¢ | $632 | +$69 +12% |
| Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?Ends in 16d | No | 6,573 | 8¢ → 10¢ | $624 | +$99 +19% |
| Will Jared Polis announce a Presidential run before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 616 | 93¢ → 98¢ | $604 | +$31 +5.5% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2027?Ends in 439d | No | 890 | 51¢ → 59¢ | $521 | +$70 +16% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before June 30, 2027?Ends in 255d | No | 757 | 56¢ → 67¢ | $507 | +$83 +20% |
| Will Brian Kemp announce a presidential run before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 522 | 88¢ → 95¢ | $493 | +$36 +7.9% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 511 | 25¢ → 96¢ | $489 | +$361 +283% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 751d | No | 528 | 91¢ → 90¢ | $474 | −$7 −1.5% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 751d | Yes | 3,000 | 8¢ → 15¢ | $443 | +$200 +82% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 751d | Yes | 3,000 | 6¢ → 14¢ | $431 | +$243 +130% |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 751d | Yes | 21,756 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $424 | +$163 +62% |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?Ends in 77d | No | 555 | 69¢ → 74¢ | $408 | +$25 +6.5% |
| Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 751d | Yes | 111,865 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $392 | −$53 −12% |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 25% in 2026?Ends in 77d | No | 351 | 89¢ → 96¢ | $338 | +$27 +8.7% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?Ends in 74d | Yes | 6,051 | 20¢ → 6¢ | $336 | −$866 −72% |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Ends in 16d | No | 444 | 60¢ → 73¢ | $322 | +$55 +21% |
| Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 751d | Yes | 179,443 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $269 | −$598 −69% |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?Ends in 105d | No | 257 | 47¢ → 98¢ | $251 | +$130 +108% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 751d | Yes | 1,115 | 21¢ → 20¢ | $228 | −$2 −0.9% |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 751d | Yes | 9,262 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $227 | +$23 +11% |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 221 | 65¢ → 97¢ | $214 | +$71 +50% |
| Will a 7.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 207 | 60¢ → >99¢ | $206 | +$82 +66% |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 751d | Yes | 7,427 | 2¢ → 3¢ | $189 | +$47 +33% |
| Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 196 | 82¢ → 96¢ | $188 | +$27 +17% |
| Russia x Ukraine Peace ComboEnds in 74d | Yes | 5,436 | 18¢ → 3¢ | $188 | −$808 −81% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 3,000 | 31¢ → 6¢ | $165 | −$765 −82% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 3,345 | 10¢ → 4¢ | $142 | −$199 −58% |
| ECB rate cut in 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 146 | 59¢ → 96¢ | $140 | +$54 +62% |
| Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 144 | 80¢ → 96¢ | $138 | +$23 +19% |
| Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?Ends in 16d | Yes | 552 | 8¢ → 25¢ | $137 | +$93 +212% |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 18,281 | 18¢ → 1¢ | $101 | −$3,224 −97% |
| Will Marco Reus retire before 1 July 2027?Ends in 255d | No | 160 | 51¢ → 56¢ | $90 | +$8 +9.9% |
| Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?Ends in 74d | Yes | 1,484 | 18¢ → 6¢ | $88 | −$178 −67% |
| Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?Ends in 74d | Yes | 1,044 | 30¢ → 7¢ | $73 | −$238 −76% |
| Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 90 | 70¢ → 80¢ | $72 | +$9 +14% |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 48% in 2026?Ends in 77d | No | 72 | 84¢ → 94¢ | $68 | +$7 +11% |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 47% in 2026?Ends in 77d | No | 72 | 92¢ → 85¢ | $62 | −$5 −7.1% |
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Ends in 439d | OpenAI | 1,171 | 35¢ → 5¢ | $55 | −$350 −86% |
| Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 379 | 11¢ → 13¢ | $47 | +$4 +9.0% |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in January 2027 (ET)?Ends in 439d | Yes | 209 | 3¢ → 20¢ | $42 | +$36 +639% |
| Will Stephen Miller leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 46 | 76¢ → 88¢ | $40 | +$6 +16% |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?Ends in 439d | Yes | 744 | 4¢ → 5¢ | $39 | +$9 +29% |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 38 | 42¢ → 92¢ | $34 | +$19 +118% |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 50% in 2026?Ends in 77d | No | 33 | 97¢ → 95¢ | $32 | −$1 −2.8% |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 818 | 39¢ → 3¢ | $27 | −$292 −91% |
