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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 30% | 0% | 0 pts | +4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 60% | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 50% | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 10% | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 40% | 0% | +3 pts | +3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 25% | 100% | +1 pts | +22 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 15% | 100% | +10 pts | +70 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 206d |  beenraping2 fills | ↓ 10% | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,005 | +$12 +0.1% | 10 |
| 206d | beenraping | ↑ 30% | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,315 | +$5 +0.1% | 10 |
| 206d |  49023809234904 | ↑ 30% | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,500 | +$9 +0.2% | 10 |
| 206d | lorenzcurve | ↑ 60% | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,343 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 207d | MarvelousManou | ↓ 10% | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,164 | +$35 +1.6% | 11 |
| 208d |  RememberAmalek | ↑ 50% | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,614 | +$13 +0.5% | 10 |
| 217d |  0xheavy888 | ↑ 60% | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,253 | +$21 +0.9% | 10 |
| 217d | Punctual-Washcloth | ↑ 30% | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,986 | +$61 +1.2% | 10 |
| 217d | Well-Informed-Counsel | ↑ 30% | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,017 | +$61 +1.2% | 10 |
| 217d | Expert-Snakebite | ↑ 30% | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,980 | +$60 +1.2% | 10 |
| 219d | AlannaCuevas | ↑ 50% | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,101 | +$10 +0.9% | 10 |
| 219d | VirginiaReynolds | ↑ 50% | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,090 | +$10 +0.9% | 10 |
| 219d | ErickPerkins | ↑ 50% | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,140 | +$10 +0.9% | 10 |
| 219d | ourdemocracy2 | ↑ 50% | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,154 | +$12 +1.0% | 10 |
| 220d | ZariyahRamirez | ↑ 60% | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,039 | +$13 +1.2% | 10 |
| 221d | ourdemocracy2 | ↑ 30% | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,735 | +$28 +1.6% | 10 |
| 222d | RememberAmalek2 fills | ↑ 40% | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,994 | +$79 +2.6% | 10 |
| 225d | ourdemocracy2 | ↑ 40% | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,756 | +$58 +1.5% | 10 |
| 227d | ourdemocracy | ↑ 40% | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,450 | +$91 +2.0% | 10 |
| 233d | RememberAmalek2 fills | ↑ 30% | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $9,306 | +$588 +6.3% | 10 |
| 241d | ourdemocracy | ↑ 60% | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,015 | +$35 +3.4% | 10 |
| 243d |  95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | ↓ 15% | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,597 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 |
| 243d |  bamesjond | ↓ 15% | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,949 | +$6 +0.3% | 10 |
| 246d | RememberAmalek | ↑ 30% | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,395 | −$112 −4.7% | — |
| 246d | RememberAmalek | ↑ 40% | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,225 | −$44 −3.6% | — |
| 284d |  MasonsConqueredRome | ↑ 50% | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,468 | +$62 +4.2% | 10 |
| 287d | MasonsConqueredRome | ↓ 10% | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,138 | +$74 +6.5% | 10 |
| 314d | bamesjond2 fills | ↑ 25% | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,221 | +$9 +0.1% | 10 |
| 315d |  JaidenAnimations | ↑ 25% | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,261 | +$4 +0.1% | 10 |
rousseauuu100 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for 'Republican Party' in the "Which party will win the House in 2026?" market (https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-house-in-2026?) is priced over the listed value for any four-hour period ending by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will not suffice. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for 'Republican Party' in the "Which party will win the House in 2026?" market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/index/odds-of-us-x-venezuela-military-engagement-in-2025-over-60-by-friday or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the four-hour window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↑ 30% means the market gives it about 0%.