| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 151,939 | 30¢ → 89¢ | $134,466 | +$89,111 +196% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseEnds in 11d | Yes | 72,277 | 36¢ → 67¢ | $48,064 | +$22,255 +86% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 221,904 | 18¢ → 17¢ | $37,724 | −$3,176 −7.8% |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends ended | Yes | 70,884 | 25¢ → 43¢ | $30,126 | +$12,262 +69% |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Ends in 8d | No | 28,569 | 79¢ → 97¢ | $27,841 | +$5,285 +23% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | No | 26,001 | 51¢ → 78¢ | $20,151 | +$7,002 +53% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 21,651 | 45¢ → 68¢ | $14,614 | +$4,875 +50% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | No | 20,576 | 46¢ → 68¢ | $13,889 | +$4,422 +47% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 17,848 | 34¢ → 77¢ | $13,805 | +$7,658 +125% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 13,293 | 37¢ → 91¢ | $12,110 | +$7,128 +143% |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 10,224 | 77¢ → 97¢ | $9,902 | +$2,019 +26% |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 12,393 | 56¢ → 80¢ | $9,853 | +$2,913 +42% |
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | Yes | 817,184 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $6,946 | −$161 −2.3% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | Yes | 53,965 | 6¢ → 13¢ | $6,827 | +$3,505 +106% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 45,608 | 21¢ → 14¢ | $6,157 | −$3,311 −35% |
| Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 6,784 | 88¢ → 88¢ | $5,936 | −$26 −0.4% |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 195,829 | 6¢ → 3¢ | $5,875 | −$5,438 −48% |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 4,952 | 71¢ → 96¢ | $4,773 | +$1,249 +35% |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 38,476 | 12¢ → 12¢ | $4,598 | −$3 −0.1% |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 10,735 | 40¢ → 43¢ | $4,562 | +$268 +6.2% |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?Ends in 11d | No | 4,446 | 95¢ → >99¢ | $4,444 | +$235 +5.6% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 5,000 | 65¢ → 87¢ | $4,325 | +$1,083 +33% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 170,499 | 8¢ → 3¢ | $4,262 | −$9,065 −68% |
| Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 4,579 | 87¢ → 87¢ | $3,984 | +$3 +0.1% |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 4,580 | 69¢ → 87¢ | $3,962 | +$780 +24% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?Ends in 96d | Yes | 12,142 | 31¢ → 30¢ | $3,582 | −$210 −5.5% |
| Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 9,347 | 24¢ → 36¢ | $3,318 | +$1,065 +47% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Ends in 38d | Yes | 60,005 | 11¢ → 6¢ | $3,300 | −$3,085 −48% |
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 4d | No | 4,561 | 51¢ → 70¢ | $3,170 | +$859 +37% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | No | 3,810 | 76¢ → 79¢ | $3,027 | +$143 +4.9% |
| Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 4d | Yes | 10,242 | 20¢ → 28¢ | $2,852 | +$846 +42% |
| Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?Ends in 85d | No | 8,882 | 29¢ → 32¢ | $2,798 | +$223 +8.6% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | No | 5,000 | 50¢ → 56¢ | $2,793 | +$293 +12% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 46d | Yes | 3,323 | 33¢ → 74¢ | $2,442 | +$1,340 +122% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 2,500 | 74¢ → 96¢ | $2,408 | +$557 +30% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 3,540 | 21¢ → 65¢ | $2,292 | +$1,532 +201% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | No | 2,500 | 87¢ → 92¢ | $2,288 | +$113 +5.2% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 5,000 | 50¢ → 44¢ | $2,208 | −$293 −12% |
| Republican Senate odds dip to 30% by October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 3,295 | 37¢ → 64¢ | $2,092 | +$857 +69% |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 4,882 | 40¢ → 43¢ | $2,075 | +$136 +7.0% |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 14,016 | 11¢ → 14¢ | $2,032 | +$560 +38% |
| Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 4d | Yes | 4,533 | 24¢ → 45¢ | $2,017 | +$946 +88% |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 1,861 | 89¢ → 99¢ | $1,845 | +$181 +11% |
| Will there be between 30 and 34 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 2,141 | 87¢ → 85¢ | $1,809 | −$47 −2.6% |
| Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?Ends in 11d | Yes | 3,099 | 56¢ → 58¢ | $1,798 | +$71 +4.1% |
| Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 22,794 | 10¢ → 7¢ | $1,596 | −$632 −28% |
| Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Ends in 15d | Yes | 3,794 | 57¢ → 41¢ | $1,555 | −$620 −29% |
| Will Peter Obi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?Ends in 85d | Yes | 6,238 | 26¢ → 24¢ | $1,497 | −$141 −8.6% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 1,686 | 32¢ → 85¢ | $1,433 | +$895 +167% |
| Republican Senate odds hit 45% by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 1,362 | 56¢ → 98¢ | $1,334 | +$571 +75% |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 7d | No | 15,620 | 9¢ → 9¢ | $1,328 | −$84 −6.0% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 46d | No | 1,333 | 96¢ → 99¢ | $1,324 | +$48 +3.7% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends ended | Yes | 7,440 | 10¢ → 18¢ | $1,302 | +$563 +76% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1,556 | 55¢ → 80¢ | $1,237 | +$382 +45% |
| House control favorite on November 2?Ends in 10d | Democratic Party | 1,208 | 95¢ → 99¢ | $1,195 | +$47 +4.1% |
| Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 4d | Yes | 1,717 | 35¢ → 70¢ | $1,193 | +$595 +99% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 49,276 | 6¢ → 2¢ | $1,183 | −$2,009 −63% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 6,221 | 17¢ → 18¢ | $1,104 | +$17 +1.6% |
| Republican Senate odds hit 40% by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 1,140 | 42¢ → 92¢ | $1,045 | +$565 +118% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 1,182 | 48¢ → 86¢ | $1,010 | +$445 +79% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 29,249 | 14¢ → 3¢ | $994 | −$3,002 −75% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 23,103 | 8¢ → 4¢ | $993 | −$869 −47% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 5d | Yes | 15,073 | 25¢ → 7¢ | $980 | −$2,758 −74% |
| Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 5,573 | 21¢ → 18¢ | $975 | −$180 −16% |
| Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 4,238 | 25¢ → 23¢ | $954 | −$86 −8.3% |
| Republican House odds hit 20% by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 955 | 88¢ → 99¢ | $947 | +$105 +12% |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 1,009 | 34¢ → 94¢ | $943 | +$596 +171% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 12,263 | 15¢ → 8¢ | $920 | −$874 −49% |
| Republican House odds hit 12% by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 919 | 62¢ → 95¢ | $869 | +$298 +52% |
| Republicans flip Democrats for Senate by November 2?Ends in 10d | No | 864 | 74¢ → 98¢ | $845 | +$206 +32% |
| Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?Ends in 24d | Yes | 1,681 | 50¢ → 50¢ | $832 | −$14 −1.7% |
| Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Ends in 15d | No | 1,845 | 53¢ → 45¢ | $821 | −$165 −17% |
| Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,311 | 36¢ → 60¢ | $791 | +$319 +68% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 7d | No | 4,500 | 16¢ → 18¢ | $787 | +$72 +10% |
| Will Uba Sani win the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election?Ends in 106d | No | 2,207 | 30¢ → 35¢ | $772 | +$119 +18% |
| Will Oborevwori Sheriff Francis Orohwedor win the 2027 Delta State gubernatorial election?Ends in 106d | No | 2,298 | 12¢ → 34¢ | $770 | +$496 +181% |
| Will Eno Umo Bassey win the 2027 Akwa Ibom State gubernatorial election?Ends in 106d | No | 2,022 | 22¢ → 32¢ | $637 | +$198 +45% |
| Rubio flips Vance for GOP nomination by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 623 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $613 | +$12 +1.9% |
| Will Alia Hyacinth Iormem win the 2027 Benue State gubernatorial election?Ends in 106d | No | 1,485 | 40¢ → 39¢ | $579 | −$9 −1.6% |
| Will Democrats win exactly 3 House seats in North Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 11d | No | 634 | 88¢ → 89¢ | $561 | +$6 +1.1% |
| Will Ken Calvert win the CA-40 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 1,000 | 63¢ → 54¢ | $535 | −$95 −15% |
| Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 3,056 | 21¢ → 18¢ | $535 | −$96 −15% |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30?Ends in 38d | No | 601 | 47¢ → 89¢ | $532 | +$250 +89% |
| Turek flips Hinson for Iowa Senate by November 2?Ends in 10d | Yes | 1,197 | 38¢ → 41¢ | $491 | +$32 +6.9% |
| Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 500 | 75¢ → 94¢ | $470 | +$95 +25% |
| Will Umaru Dikko Radda win the 2027 Katsina State gubernatorial election?Ends in 106d | No | 2,235 | 17¢ → 21¢ | $469 | +$98 +26% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the SC-06 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 457 | 23¢ → 96¢ | $441 | +$336 +322% |
| Will Yakubu Adamu win the 2027 Bauchi State gubernatorial election?Ends in 106d | No | 554 | 59¢ → 78¢ | $432 | +$106 +33% |
| Will John James Akpanudoedehe win the 2027 Akwa Ibom State gubernatorial election?Ends in 106d | Yes | 2,499 | 5¢ → 17¢ | $412 | +$283 +218% |
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 1,739 | 18¢ → 23¢ | $400 | +$93 +30% |
| Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,300 | 15¢ → 31¢ | $397 | +$204 +106% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | Yes | 2,554 | 37¢ → 16¢ | $396 | −$543 −58% |
| Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 4,069 | 10¢ → 10¢ | $387 | −$21 −5.1% |
| Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?Ends in 69d | No | 411 | 58¢ → 93¢ | $380 | +$142 +60% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | Yes | 1,313 | 28¢ → 28¢ | $374 | +$5 +1.4% |
| Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 26,575 | 10¢ → 1¢ | $359 | −$2,324 −87% |
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 24,142 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $350 | −$45 −11% |
| Will Mbah Peter Ndubuisi win the 2027 Enugu State gubernatorial election?Ends in 106d | No | 1,423 | 19¢ → 25¢ | $349 | +$76 +28% |
| Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 21,893 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $339 | −$111 −25% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30?Ends in 38d | Yes | 2,774 | 7¢ → 12¢ | $319 | +$125 +64% |
