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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $2B | 12% | −21 pts | +8 pts | 4¢ · 20¢ (16¢) | — | in 435d |
| $400M | 10% | −1 pts | −2 pts | 6¢ · 14¢ (8¢) | — | in 435d |
| $1.5B | 4% | — | −1 pts | 3¢ · 5¢ (2¢) | — | in 435d |
| $200M | 39% | −3 pts | −3 pts | 23¢ · 55¢ (32¢) | — | in 435d |
| $600M | 13% | −1 pts | +8 pts | 5¢ · 21¢ (16¢) | — | in 435d |
| $500M | 13% | — | — | 10¢ · 15¢ (5¢) | — | in 435d |
| $800M | 9% | +2 pts | +2 pts | 6¢ · 11¢ (5¢) | — | in 435d |
| $100M | 75% | — | +2 pts | 69¢ · 80¢ (11¢) | — | in 435d |
| $1B | 8% | −2 pts | +3 pts | 3¢ · 13¢ (10¢) | — | in 435d |
| $80M | 85% | +4 pts | +5 pts | 74¢ · 97¢ (23¢) | — | in 435d |
| $300M | 17% | −1 pts | +1 pts | 10¢ · 24¢ (14¢) | — | in 435d |
| $40M | 85% | −9 pts | −8 pts | 73¢ · 98¢ (24¢) | $607 | in 435d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 121d |  Dreamwalker | $2B | BuyNo95¢ → 88¢ | $1,375 | −$101 −7.3% | 2 |
LornaPredicts44 shares
Dr.PNL10 shares
voltzbeliever38 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of 3Jane's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If 3Jane (https://x.com/3janexyz) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 12¢ for $2B means the market gives it about 12%.