| Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?Ends in 133d | No | 1,175 | 13¢ → 94¢ | $1,099 | +$947 +625% |
| Will Oura not IPO before January 2027?Ends in 74d | Yes | 961 | 4¢ → 91¢ | $878 | +$841 +2266% |
| Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?Ends in 74d | No | 1,029 | 18¢ → 83¢ | $854 | +$673 +372% |
| Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 823 | 24¢ → 95¢ | $777 | +$581 +296% |
| Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 832 | 29¢ → 92¢ | $766 | +$525 +219% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 800 | 16¢ → 95¢ | $756 | +$628 +491% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 800 | 23¢ → 94¢ | $748 | +$564 +307% |
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 774 | 28¢ → 92¢ | $708 | +$491 +227% |
| Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 583 | 24¢ → 89¢ | $516 | +$376 +269% |
| Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch?Ends in 439d | Yes | 706 | 34¢ → 71¢ | $501 | +$261 +109% |
| Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch?Ends in 74d | No | 708 | 13¢ → 67¢ | $474 | +$381 +410% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 555 | 74¢ → 85¢ | $469 | +$58 +14% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 840 | 3¢ → 53¢ | $447 | +$421 +1666% |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends ended | No | 730 | 15¢ → 61¢ | $442 | +$332 +303% |
| Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 800 | 2¢ → 51¢ | $408 | +$392 +2450% |
| Natural Disaster in 2026?Ends in 133d | No | 439 | 12¢ → 92¢ | $404 | +$351 +655% |
| Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 387 | 5¢ → 92¢ | $356 | +$337 +1718% |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 436 | 31¢ → 76¢ | $329 | +$192 +141% |
| Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?Ends in 74d | No | 330 | 31¢ → 98¢ | $324 | +$221 +215% |
| Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Ends in 439d | No | 310 | 39¢ → >99¢ | $309 | +$187 +154% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 105d | No | 721 | 16¢ → 42¢ | $303 | +$187 +162% |
| Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?Ends in 439d | Yes | 800 | 19¢ → 37¢ | $296 | +$144 +95% |
| VALORANT Champions 2026: Tier 2 Team to Qualify?Ends ended | No | 293 | 20¢ → >99¢ | $293 | +$234 +397% |
| Will Manuel Bompard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Ends in 182d | No | 300 | 97¢ → 95¢ | $286 | −$3 −1.2% |
| Will Sergio Ramos attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?Ends in 43d | Yes | 987 | 27¢ → 29¢ | $286 | +$20 +7.4% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Ends in 78d | No | 328 | 28¢ → 86¢ | $280 | +$189 +205% |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?Ends ended | No | 284 | 52¢ → 98¢ | $279 | +$130 +87% |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026?Ends ended | No | 279 | 41¢ → 99¢ | $275 | +$162 +143% |
| MagicBlock FDV above $10M one day after launch?Ends in 74d | No | 397 | 9¢ → 69¢ | $275 | +$239 +652% |
| Will Russia capture Dobropillia by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 281 | 5¢ → 97¢ | $271 | +$257 +1830% |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 300 | 72¢ → 89¢ | $267 | +$52 +24% |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 264 | 97¢ → >99¢ | $264 | +$8 +3.1% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 9d | Yes | 923 | 13¢ → 28¢ | $263 | +$141 +116% |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 293 | 72¢ → 90¢ | $262 | +$51 +24% |
| Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $45B by December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 266 | 60¢ → 98¢ | $260 | +$101 +64% |
| Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 291 | 28¢ → 89¢ | $259 | +$178 +220% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 278 | 91¢ → 93¢ | $257 | +$4 +1.6% |
| Over 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31?Ends in 74d | Yes | 543 | 4¢ → 47¢ | $256 | +$235 +1101% |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in IonQ, Inc.?Ends in 74d | No | 280 | 36¢ → 92¢ | $256 | +$154 +152% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?Ends in 78d | No | 277 | 70¢ → 92¢ | $255 | +$62 +32% |
| Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 281 | 74¢ → 90¢ | $251 | +$44 +21% |
| Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?Ends in 12d | No | 265 | 34¢ → 95¢ | $251 | +$160 +176% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the IL-01 House seat?Ends in 16d | Yes | 258 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $249 | +$8 +3.5% |
| Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 299 | 66¢ → 83¢ | $248 | +$50 +26% |
| Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election?Ends in 41d | No | 731 | 30¢ → 34¢ | $245 | +$29 +13% |
| Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 261 | 87¢ → 93¢ | $243 | +$17 +7.4% |
| Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?Ends in 24d | Yes | 244 | 13¢ → 99¢ | $241 | +$209 +655% |
| Will Oliver Marmol win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year?Ends in 61d | No | 240 | 5¢ → >99¢ | $240 | +$227 +1751% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 262 | 55¢ → 92¢ | $240 | +$96 +66% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 280 | 60¢ → 86¢ | $240 | +$72 +43% |
| Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?Ends in 439d | Yes | 290 | 65¢ → 82¢ | $237 | +$47 +25% |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Ends in 16d | Yes | 292 | 81¢ → 81¢ | $235 | −$3 −1.1% |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 254 | 86¢ → 93¢ | $235 | +$17 +7.8% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 250 | 93¢ → 94¢ | $234 | +$1 +0.3% |
| Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 265 | 79¢ → 88¢ | $232 | +$22 +10% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 259 | 16¢ → 89¢ | $230 | +$189 +463% |
| Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2027?Ends in 439d | No | 395 | 23¢ → 58¢ | $229 | +$138 +152% |
| Will the Florida Panthers be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?Ends in 255d | No | 250 | 4¢ → 92¢ | $229 | +$219 +2188% |
| Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 257 | 90¢ → 88¢ | $226 | −$6 −2.6% |
| Pakistan military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026?Ends in 73d | No | 260 | 24¢ → 87¢ | $225 | +$162 +260% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 256 | 93¢ → 87¢ | $222 | −$17 −6.9% |
| Will Jacob Misiorowski win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?Ends in 74d | Yes | 224 | 1¢ → 98¢ | $220 | +$218 +11183% |
| Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?Ends in 27d | Yes | 333 | 6¢ → 65¢ | $218 | +$198 +990% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Ends in 78d | No | 251 | 72¢ → 87¢ | $217 | +$37 +21% |
| Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 241 | 82¢ → 90¢ | $216 | +$17 +8.7% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Ends in 78d | No | 284 | 65¢ → 76¢ | $215 | +$30 +16% |
| Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?Ends in 73d | No | 241 | 69¢ → 89¢ | $213 | +$46 +28% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Ends in 74d | Yes | 902 | 14¢ → 24¢ | $212 | +$86 +68% |
| Bank of England rate hike in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 216 | 12¢ → 98¢ | $212 | +$186 +718% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?Ends in 73d | No | 218 | 27¢ → 97¢ | $211 | +$152 +257% |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?Ends in 74d | No | 243 | 83¢ → 87¢ | $210 | +$9 +4.6% |
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 295 | 54¢ → 70¢ | $206 | +$47 +29% |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Ends in 74d | No | 263 | 73¢ → 79¢ | $206 | +$15 +7.6% |
| Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 244 | 28¢ → 83¢ | $202 | +$133 +195% |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?Ends in 105d | Yes | 225 | 71¢ → 89¢ | $199 | +$39 +24% |
| Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 356 | 14¢ → 55¢ | $197 | +$147 +294% |
| Trump goes to space in 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 200 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $197 | −$0 −0.1% |
| Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?Ends in 105d | Yes | 229 | 77¢ → 86¢ | $196 | +$20 +12% |
| Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 254 | 8¢ → 77¢ | $196 | +$175 +838% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 289 | 40¢ → 68¢ | $195 | +$81 +70% |
| New pandemic in 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 200 | 89¢ → 96¢ | $193 | +$15 +8.4% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?Ends in 12d | Yes | 210 | 84¢ → 92¢ | $192 | +$15 +8.4% |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 220 | 40¢ → 87¢ | $191 | +$103 +117% |
| Kash Patel out by December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 237 | 74¢ → 81¢ | $191 | +$15 +8.3% |
| Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?Ends in 7d | No | 256 | 40¢ → 74¢ | $189 | +$86 +83% |
| Ethereal FDV above $25M one day after launch?Ends in 439d | No | 337 | 14¢ → 56¢ | $187 | +$140 +296% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Ends in 77d | No | 200 | 85¢ → 94¢ | $187 | +$17 +10% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 209 | 66¢ → 90¢ | $187 | +$49 +35% |
| Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 254 | 71¢ → 74¢ | $186 | +$6 +3.5% |
| Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium?Ends in 74d | No | 195 | 88¢ → 96¢ | $186 | +$15 +8.5% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 194 | 86¢ → 95¢ | $183 | +$16 +9.9% |
| Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $125B by December 31?Ends in 78d | No | 188 | 90¢ → 96¢ | $181 | +$12 +7.0% |
| Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $60B by December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 180 | 84¢ → >99¢ | $180 | +$28 +19% |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Ends in 74d | No | 207 | 79¢ → 87¢ | $179 | +$15 +9.4% |
| Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?Ends in 5d | Yes | 197 | 66¢ → 91¢ | $179 | +$50 +39% |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Ends in 74d | No | 222 | 77¢ → 80¢ | $178 | +$6 +3.7% |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 185 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $177 | +$8 +4.5% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 230 | 91¢ → 76¢ | $174 | −$36 −17% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 439d | No | 213 | 90¢ → 81¢ | $173 | −$19 −9.8% |
| Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?Ends in 16d | Yes | 248 | 11¢ → 70¢ | $172 | +$145 +532% |
