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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump said by every candidate | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Biden said by every candidate | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Hamas 15 or more times | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Ukraine 10 or more times | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Israel 15 or more times | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Terrorist 10 or more times | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Ceasefire 5 or more times | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Alien | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1079d |  MAGA4eva2 fills | Hamas 15 or more times | BuyYes>99¢ | $20,368 | +$32 +0.2% | 20 |
| 1079d |  fhantombets2 fills | Hamas 15 or more times | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $10,772 | +$111 +1.0% | 20 |
| 1079d |  ImJustKen | Alien | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,125 | +$23 +2.0% | 20 |
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Trump said by every candidate means the market gives it about 100%.