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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20-25% | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <10% | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 10-15% | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 25-30% | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| >30% | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 15-20% | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Unknown | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 589d |  ScamWick | 20-25% | BuyYes>99¢ | $11,105 | +$11 +0.1% | 10 |
| 589d | rpo | 20-25% | BuyYes>99¢ | $14,985 | +$15 +0.1% | 10 |
| 589d |  Slowroasted | 20-25% | BuyYes>99¢ | $21,145 | +$21 +0.1% | 10 |
| 589d |  pirateshere | 20-25% | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,047 | +$5 +0.1% | 10 |
| 589d |  occasionalAwareness4 fills | 20-25% | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $55,393 | +$302 +0.5% | 10 |
| 589d | VvVv | 25-30% | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,934 | +$4 +0.1% | 10 |
| 589d |  ciro23 fills | 20-25% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $38,840 | −$284 −0.7% | — |
| 589d | keribit4 fills | 20-25% | SellYes>99¢ | $22,887 | −$113 −0.5% | — |
| 589d | rulki3 fills | 20-25% | BuyYes>99¢ | $64,008 | +$72 +0.1% | 10 |
| 590d |  DuduAI2 fills | 20-25% | BuyYes>99¢ | $33,818 | +$68 +0.2% | 10 |
| 590d | goldingboy | 25-30% | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,767 | +$22 +0.2% | 10 |
| 590d | goldingboy2 fills | 20-25% | BuyYes>99¢ | $13,131 | +$29 +0.2% | 10 |
| 590d | Snoorrason2 fills | 25-30% | BuyNo>99¢ | $19,957 | +$43 +0.2% | 10 |
| 590d | Isaak👴 | 20-25% | SellYes>99¢ | $4,980 | −$20 −0.4% | — |
| 590d |  Old-Loompa | 20-25% | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,994 | +$6 +0.3% | 10 |
| 590d | rbczz | 20-25% | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $12,674 | +$77 +0.6% | 10 |
| 590d |  Kank | 20-25% | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,640 | +$19 +0.7% | 10 |
| 590d | zerozerozerozero2 fills | 20-25% | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,009 | +$30 +0.8% | 10 |
| 591d |  Mr.Eggplant | 20-25% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,102 | −$9 −0.8% | — |
| 591d | wubddh | 20-25% | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,158 | +$22 +0.7% | 10 |
| 591d |  gopfan213 fills | 20-25% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $132,804 | −$1,210 −0.9% | — |
| 591d | Vinivi6 fills | 20-25% | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $101,296 | +$585 +0.6% | 10 |
| 591d |  Tenebrus72 fills | 20-25% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,429 | −$48 −0.8% | — |
| 591d | almost-never | 20-25% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,860 | −$40 −0.7% | — |
| 592d | ffbb123 | 20-25% | SellYes100¢ | $1,324 | −$7 −0.5% | — |
| 592d | Isaak👴 | 20-25% | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,928 | +$42 +0.5% | 10 |
| 592d | zollar | 20-25% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,236 | −$18 −0.8% | — |
| 592d | GeorgiiRach | 20-25% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,270 | −$10 −0.8% | — |
| 592d |  Alphax7 fills | 20-25% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $28,492 | −$232 −0.8% | — |
| 592d |  Flipadelphia2 fills | 20-25% | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $13,482 | +$120 +0.9% | 10 |
| 592d | Asterlok | 20-25% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,487 | −$13 −0.8% | — |
| 593d |  sigh | 20-25% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $9,910 | −$90 −0.9% | — |
| 594d |  debased | 20-25% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,152 | −$9 −0.8% | — |
| 595d | Mhhhhhh | 20-25% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,895 | −$49 −1.0% | — |
| 595d | 0xe215…93a7 | 25-30% | BuyNo>99¢ | $34,109 | +$103 +0.3% | 10 |
| 595d |  big-short | 20-25% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,145 | −$19 −0.9% | — |
| 596d | Draythar | 25-30% | BuyNo>99¢ | $41,913 | +$126 +0.3% | 10 |
| 596d | aaabbbcccdddeee | 20-25% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,612 | −$16 −1.0% | — |
| 596d |  sleepy-panda | 20-25% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $18,419 | −$186 −1.0% | — |
| 596d | Bombarda | 20-25% | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,972 | +$28 +0.7% | 10 |
| 596d | Tenebrus72 fills | 20-25% | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,794 | +$35 +0.7% | 10 |
| 596d | LeftieFTW3 fills | 20-25% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,412 | −$39 −0.6% | — |
| 597d | ceoanddj | 20-25% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,070 | −$41 −1.0% | — |
| 597d |  Eridpnc | 20-25% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $12,636 | −$115 −0.9% | — |
| 597d | wolfmoon7 fills | 25-30% | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $19,748 | −$101 −0.5% | — |
| 597d | iamgone | 20-25% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,204 | −$29 −0.9% | — |
| 597d | Timmi2001 | 25-30% | SellNo>99¢ | $1,173 | −$5 −0.4% | — |
| 597d |  Kiamphetamine14 fills | 20-25% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $78,604 | −$721 −0.9% | — |
| 598d | Nowhere-Man | 20-25% | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,466 | +$12 +0.8% | 10 |
| 598d | Winfredo | 20-25% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,253 | −$11 −0.9% | — |
| 598d | sky003 | 25-30% | SellNo>99¢ | $1,495 | −$5 −0.3% | — |
| 598d | villocucho | 20-25% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,225 | −$73 −1.0% | — |
| 598d |  gjkfk | 20-25% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,982 | −$18 −0.9% | — |
| 598d | k00pa | >30% | SellNo>99¢ | $6,684 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 598d | xasayarrr | 20-25% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,399 | −$14 −1.0% | — |
| 598d | VvVv7 fills | 20-25% | SellYes>99¢ | $26,349 | −$98 −0.4% | — |
| 598d | BunnyProfit4 fills | 20-25% | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $20,242 | −$388 −1.9% | — |
| 598d |  BuckMySalls | 25-30% | SellNo>99¢ | $8,083 | −$24 −0.3% | — |
| 599d | sky003 | 25-30% | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,497 | +$3 +0.2% | 10 |
| 599d |  Mester | 20-25% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $10,974 | −$110 −1.0% | — |
TimeTraveler2,000 sharesThis is a market on the percentage of votes received by the AfD in the upcoming German election.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 20-25% means the market gives it about 100%.