| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 25,853 | 75¢ → 83¢ | $21,574 | +$2,283 +12% |
| Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?Ends in 799d | No | 13,651 | 79¢ → 71¢ | $9,624 | −$1,102 −10% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseEnds in 10d | No | 9,500 | 91¢ → 93¢ | $8,788 | +$109 +1.3% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 6d | Yes | 9,154 | 83¢ → 86¢ | $7,826 | +$250 +3.3% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 8,327 | 90¢ → 92¢ | $7,619 | +$90 +1.2% |
| US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?Ends in 10d | Yes | 8,750 | 74¢ → 76¢ | $6,606 | +$137 +2.1% |
| France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 6,804 | 90¢ → 96¢ | $6,498 | +$351 +5.7% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 36d | No | 8,787 | 58¢ → 64¢ | $5,624 | +$543 +11% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 6,059 | 86¢ → 90¢ | $5,426 | +$198 +3.8% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Ends in 22d | Yes | 8,496 | 64¢ → 56¢ | $4,800 | −$601 −11% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseEnds in 10d | Yes | 7,000 | 66¢ → 67¢ | $4,655 | +$31 +0.7% |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | No | 5,776 | 84¢ → 80¢ | $4,612 | −$214 −4.4% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 4d | Yes | 4,715 | 91¢ → 95¢ | $4,456 | +$178 +4.2% |
| Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 4,473 | 79¢ → 95¢ | $4,247 | +$725 +21% |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 4,925 | 80¢ → 84¢ | $4,137 | +$188 +4.8% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 24,462 | 21¢ → 17¢ | $4,036 | −$1,202 −23% |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 9,335 | 29¢ → 39¢ | $3,594 | +$849 +31% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 3,757 | 93¢ → 95¢ | $3,550 | +$63 +1.8% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 36d | Yes | 7,235 | 62¢ → 48¢ | $3,437 | −$1,028 −23% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 6,079 | 53¢ → 53¢ | $3,231 | −$1 −0.0% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 67d | No | 5,409 | 45¢ → 60¢ | $3,218 | +$791 +33% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | Yes | 5,000 | 64¢ → 63¢ | $3,125 | −$85 −2.6% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 2,932 | 89¢ → 95¢ | $2,771 | +$155 +5.9% |
| Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 2,975 | 90¢ → 89¢ | $2,648 | −$40 −1.5% |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 10d | No | 2,700 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $2,628 | +$29 +1.1% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 6d | Yes | 2,626 | 80¢ → 91¢ | $2,399 | +$309 +15% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?Ends in 249d | No | 3,745 | 57¢ → 60¢ | $2,228 | +$101 +4.7% |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Ends in 5h | Yes | 3,250 | 70¢ → 69¢ | $2,226 | −$58 −2.5% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 2,731 | 85¢ → 81¢ | $2,199 | −$119 −5.1% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 2,340 | 76¢ → 91¢ | $2,130 | +$348 +20% |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Ends in 7d | No | 2,131 | 93¢ → 98¢ | $2,082 | +$102 +5.1% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 67d | Yes | 2,441 | 86¢ → 85¢ | $2,077 | −$16 −0.8% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Ends in 72d | Yes | 3,324 | 70¢ → 62¢ | $2,061 | −$269 −12% |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | No | 3,000 | 68¢ → 69¢ | $2,055 | +$5 +0.2% |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)Ends in 6d | No | 2,117 | 83¢ → 95¢ | $2,000 | +$237 +13% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 10d | Yes | 3,000 | 67¢ → 67¢ | $1,995 | −$15 −0.7% |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Ends in 433d | No | 2,198 | 91¢ → 91¢ | $1,989 | −$4 −0.2% |
| Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 2,283 | 86¢ → 86¢ | $1,952 | −$12 −0.6% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 2,981 | 66¢ → 65¢ | $1,926 | −$29 −1.5% |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 2,097 | 85¢ → 88¢ | $1,844 | +$62 +3.5% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,923 | 95¢ → 94¢ | $1,813 | −$23 −1.3% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 1,898 | 89¢ → 94¢ | $1,774 | +$76 +4.5% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Ends in 7d | No | 1,813 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $1,743 | +$74 +4.5% |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 1,792 | 82¢ → 96¢ | $1,727 | +$253 +17% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 2,040 | 87¢ → 85¢ | $1,724 | −$60 −3.3% |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?Ends in 799d | No | 2,000 | 83¢ → 83¢ | $1,650 | −$10 −0.6% |
| Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?Ends in 68d | No | 1,751 | 87¢ → 93¢ | $1,635 | +$107 +7.0% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 2,000 | 83¢ → 82¢ | $1,630 | −$34 −2.0% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | No | 6,616 | 21¢ → 25¢ | $1,621 | +$201 +14% |
| Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?Ends in 799d | No | 2,342 | 72¢ → 67¢ | $1,558 | −$135 −8.0% |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 1,701 | 88¢ → 92¢ | $1,556 | +$56 +3.7% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 67d | Yes | 3,061 | 55¢ → 50¢ | $1,515 | −$176 −10% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 1,907 | 77¢ → 78¢ | $1,487 | +$18 +1.2% |
| Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 1,500 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $1,433 | −$10 −0.7% |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?Ends in 37d | No | 2,135 | 62¢ → 67¢ | $1,430 | +$101 +7.6% |
| Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 1,484 | 89¢ → 96¢ | $1,427 | +$113 +8.6% |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again?Ends in 26d | No | 1,472 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $1,422 | +$20 +1.4% |
| Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?Ends in 799d | No | 2,000 | 74¢ → 71¢ | $1,420 | −$60 −4.1% |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 1,508 | 85¢ → 94¢ | $1,410 | +$134 +10% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,500 | 94¢ → 93¢ | $1,395 | −$20 −1.4% |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 1,765 | 74¢ → 79¢ | $1,386 | +$86 +6.6% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 1,456 | 93¢ → 95¢ | $1,376 | +$27 +2.0% |
| Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 1,387 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $1,327 | +$48 +3.8% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Ends in 67d | No | 1,524 | 85¢ → 87¢ | $1,318 | +$15 +1.2% |
| Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Ends in 524d | No | 1,550 | 81¢ → 84¢ | $1,307 | +$45 +3.6% |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?Ends in 10d | No | 1,400 | 96¢ → 93¢ | $1,299 | −$41 −3.1% |
| Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?Ends in 249d | No | 1,534 | 86¢ → 84¢ | $1,281 | −$33 −2.5% |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | No | 5,000 | 25¢ → 26¢ | $1,275 | +$25 +2.0% |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | Yes | 5,000 | 25¢ → 26¢ | $1,275 | +$25 +2.0% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?Ends in 15d | Yes | 2,086 | 65¢ → 61¢ | $1,272 | −$84 −6.2% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | No | 2,000 | 65¢ → 64¢ | $1,270 | −$40 −3.1% |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | Yes | 1,500 | 80¢ → 80¢ | $1,200 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 45d | Yes | 1,600 | 76¢ → 75¢ | $1,192 | −$24 −2.0% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 45d | No | 1,188 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $1,152 | −$0 −0.0% |
| Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?Ends in 10d | No | 1,600 | 71¢ → 71¢ | $1,134 | +$1 +0.0% |
| Iran leadership change by November 30?Ends in 37d | No | 1,234 | 92¢ → 92¢ | $1,129 | −$0 −0.0% |
| Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?Ends in 68d | No | 1,156 | 87¢ → 97¢ | $1,124 | +$123 +12% |
| Will the US announce a diesel export ban by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 1,257 | 87¢ → 89¢ | $1,118 | +$26 +2.3% |
| Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 1,209 | 89¢ → 93¢ | $1,118 | +$43 +4.0% |
| Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 1,166 | 85¢ → 96¢ | $1,114 | +$118 +12% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 1,125 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $1,100 | +$20 +1.8% |
| Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?Ends in 10d | Yes | 1,631 | 58¢ → 67¢ | $1,094 | +$142 +15% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?Ends in 4d | Yes | 1,200 | 84¢ → 89¢ | $1,062 | +$57 +5.7% |
| Amazon matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?Ends in 7d | No | 1,089 | 81¢ → 97¢ | $1,057 | +$178 +20% |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?Ends in 71d | No | 1,471 | 73¢ → 72¢ | $1,051 | −$17 −1.6% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 4d | No | 1,112 | 93¢ → 95¢ | $1,051 | +$19 +1.8% |
| U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 1,150 | 94¢ → 91¢ | $1,041 | −$42 −3.9% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?Ends in 29d | No | 1,661 | 54¢ → 63¢ | $1,038 | +$142 +16% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 1,132 | 91¢ → 92¢ | $1,036 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 176d | No | 1,186 | 87¢ → 87¢ | $1,034 | +$7 +0.7% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 745d | Yes | 5,030 | 42¢ → 21¢ | $1,034 | −$1,074 −51% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 67d | Yes | 2,500 | 36¢ → 41¢ | $1,012 | +$113 +13% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 1,028 | 83¢ → 96¢ | $991 | +$139 +16% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 67d | No | 996 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $972 | +$10 +1.0% |
| US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 1,000 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $970 | +$36 +3.9% |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Ends in 5h | Yes | 1,400 | 69¢ → 69¢ | $969 | +$2 +0.2% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseEnds in 10d | Yes | 3,793 | 28¢ → 26¢ | $967 | −$98 −9.2% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 1,000 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $966 | +$26 +2.8% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 1,105 | 86¢ → 87¢ | $961 | +$13 +1.4% |
| Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Ends in 5h | No | 1,367 | 71¢ → 70¢ | $950 | −$20 −2.0% |
