Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20-22% | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <20% | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 22-24% | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 24-26% | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| >26% | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 589d | rulki6 fills | 20-22% | BuyYes>99¢ | $55,495 | +$61 +0.1% | 10 |
| 589d | cigarettes8 fills | 22-24% | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $43,135 | +$428 +1.0% | 10 |
| 589d | fkuUMA | 20-22% | SellYes>99¢ | $2,253 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 590d |  Kank2 fills | 20-22% | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,143 | +$27 +0.4% | 10 |
| 591d |  gopfan2 | 20-22% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $9,241 | −$88 −1.0% | — |
| 592d | Webbed-VeilNew account | >26% | BuyNo>99¢ | $73,948 | +$148 +0.2% | 10 |
| 592d |  scrooge4 fills | >26% | SellNo>99¢ | $10,692 | −$20 −0.2% | — |
| 593d |  Flipadelphia2 fills | 20-22% | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,817 | +$35 +0.7% | 10 |
| 593d |  HelloWorld2024 | 20-22% | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,185 | +$8 +0.7% | 10 |
| 594d | rabs4 fills | 22-24% | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $23,427 | −$368 −1.6% | — |
| 595d |  Alphax | 20-22% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,455 | −$45 −1.0% | — |
| 596d |  Skankhunt42.4 fills | 20-22% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $16,181 | −$159 −1.0% | — |
| 596d | iamgone | 20-22% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,639 | −$27 −1.0% | — |
| 599d | Mythlien | <20% | BuyNo>99¢ | $65,972 | +$132 +0.2% | 10 |
| 599d | Sylvaren | <20% | BuyNo>99¢ | $30,971 | +$62 +0.2% | 10 |
| 600d | btcking1337 | >26% | SellNo>99¢ | $1,061 | −$4 −0.4% | — |
| 600d | iamgone | 20-22% | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,537 | +$24 +0.9% | 10 |
| 601d |  Eridpnc | 20-22% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,049 | −$40 −1.3% | — |
| 602d | VvVv | 22-24% | SellNo>99¢ | $3,996 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 602d | okman7 | 20-22% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,477 | −$19 −1.3% | — |
| 603d | Snoorrason | >26% | SellNo>99¢ | $3,332 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 603d | rabs | <20% | SellNo>99¢ | $4,077 | −$12 −0.3% | — |
| 604d | gopfan2 | 22-24% | SellNo>99¢ | $3,067 | −$9 −0.3% | — |
| 605d | mrBet | 20-22% | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $6,068 | −$124 −2.1% | — |
| 605d | Marvin3 | 20-22% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,911 | −$39 −1.4% | — |
| 605d | Marvin3 | 22-24% | SellNo>99¢ | $1,232 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 605d |  ciro2 | 22-24% | SellNo>99¢ | $1,836 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 605d |  mombil | 24-26% | SellNo>99¢ | $1,457 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 605d | keribit | >26% | SellNo>99¢ | $2,997 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 606d | SimSalabim | 20-22% | BuyYes100¢ | $2,229 | +$11 +0.5% | 10 |
| 606d | Predictandbreathe | 20-22% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,522 | −$28 −1.1% | — |
| 606d |  rabbit007 | 20-22% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,980 | −$20 −1.0% | — |
| 606d |  LiberVentus | 20-22% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,261 | −$29 −1.3% | — |
| 606d | Liquidifier | 20-22% | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,262 | +$10 +0.8% | 10 |
| 607d |  OneChaos | 24-26% | SellNo>99¢ | $2,171 | −$9 −0.4% | — |
| 607d |  BuckMySalls | 20-22% | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,187 | +$8 +0.1% | 10 |
| 607d | yoyo753 | 22-24% | SellNo>99¢ | $2,486 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 607d | RobXK | 22-24% | SellNo>99¢ | $21,345 | −$21 −0.1% | — |
| 607d | VvVv | 20-22% | SellYes>99¢ | $2,727 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 607d | z0vulon | 20-22% | SellYes>99¢ | $2,225 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 607d | juniorBrise | 20-22% | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,042 | −$14 −0.7% | — |
| 607d | VvVv | 20-22% | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,456 | +$35 +1.0% | 10 |
| 607d | MemoLee | 22-24% | SellNo>99¢ | $1,524 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 607d | gopfan2 | 22-24% | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,040 | +$16 +0.8% | 10 |
| 607d | mirand | 22-24% | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$16 +1.3% | 10 |
| 607d | cigarettes2 fills | <20% | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,795 | +$105 +2.2% | 10 |
| 607d | 3211234 fills | 20-22% | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $9,127 | +$636 +7.0% | 10 |
| 607d | fortuna1001 | 20-22% | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,520 | +$49 +3.2% | 10 |
| 607d | Wtr | 20-22% | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $6,626 | −$386 −5.8% | — |
| 607d | RobXK2 fills | 22-24% | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,166 | +$58 +1.8% | 10 |
| 607d |  BusDrivaa69 | 20-22% | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,920 | +$80 +4.2% | 10 |
| 607d | MemoLee | 22-24% | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,105 | +$40 +3.6% | 10 |
| 607d | ciro2 | 22-24% | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,588 | +$84 +5.3% | 10 |
| 607d | mrBet | 20-22% | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,243 | +$109 +4.8% | 10 |
| 607d |  Parz1vaI4 fills | 22-24% | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $8,738 | +$1,106 +13% | 10 |
| 607d | Modern-QuiverNew account | 20-22% | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $8,000 | +$508 +6.3% | 13 |
| 607d | Eridpnc | 20-22% | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $2,844 | +$245 +8.6% | 10 |
| 607d | schyllo | 20-22% | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $2,893 | +$814 +28% | 10 |
| 607d | noslajre2 fills | <20% | SellYes25¢ → 0¢ | $2,952 | +$2,952 +100% | — |
| 607d | rabs | <20% | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $3,420 | +$1,080 +32% | 10 |
TimeTraveler4,250 sharesGerman Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025. This market will according to the to the percentage of party list votes the Alternative for Germany (AfD, Alternative für Deutschland) wins in the next German parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results as reported by the German government, specifically the Federal Returning Officer (Bundeswahlleiter) (https://www.bundeswahlleiterin.de/en/).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 20-22% means the market gives it about 100%.