Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 661d | Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,366 | −$1 −0.1% | — | |
| 663d | Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,737 | +$7 +0.4% | 20 | |
| 664d | Moj5 fills | Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024? | SellNo73¢ → 100¢ | $13,317 | −$4,910 −37% | — |
| 665d | D42d | Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024? | SellNo100¢ | $4,199 | −$21 −0.5% | — |
| 665d | TheRealOne-533 | Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024? | SellNo100¢ | $1,990 | −$10 −0.5% | — |
| 668d | System64 | Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $16,339 | +$182 +1.1% | 20 |
| 670d | denizz6 fills | Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024? | SellNo89¢ → 100¢ | $29,316 | −$3,597 −12% | — |
| 670d | Mou-4542 fills | Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,472 | −$58 −2.4% | — |
| 671d | jonesthemoney | Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,891 | −$46 −2.4% | — |
| 672d | Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,973 | −$98 −2.5% | — | |
| 674d | Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024? | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $4,178 | +$1,092 +26% | 20 | |
| 674d | Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024? | SellNo89¢ → 100¢ | $9,125 | −$1,185 −13% | — | |
| 674d | DeezzNutzz9 fills | Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $76,649 | −$4,983 −6.5% | — |
| 674d | TheBoyBilly... | Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,886 | +$114 +6.0% | 20 |
| 674d | Renet3 fills | Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $5,971 | +$471 +7.9% | 20 |
| 675d | Illusion73 | Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,386 | −$79 −5.7% | — |
| 675d | Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024? | BuyNo69¢ → 100¢ | $23,444 | +$10,446 +45% | 20 | |
| 676d | KokoVeLeon32 fills | Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024? | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $10,030 | −$1,059 −11% | — |
| 676d | Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $5,936 | −$344 −5.8% | — | |
| 677d | Saltyballs9 fills | Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024? | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $60,802 | −$5,127 −8.4% | — |
| 678d | Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,595 | +$138 +8.6% | 20 | |
| 679d | Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,395 | +$105 +7.5% | 20 | |
| 679d | KokoVeLeon33 fills | Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $6,147 | +$742 +12% | 20 |
| 680d | Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024? | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $5,187 | −$513 −9.9% | — | |
| 680d | Ez12 | Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,395 | −$105 −7.5% | — |
| 681d | DeezzNutzz15 fills | Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $86,664 | +$7,169 +8.3% | 20 |
| 682d | Renet | Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024? | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,820 | −$180 −9.9% | — |
| 682d | Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024? | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,426 | −$147 −10% | — | |
| 683d | Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024? | BuyYes10¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 23 | |
| 684d | Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $4,600 | +$400 +8.7% | 20 | |
| 684d | atfw | Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024? | SellYes8¢ → 0¢ | $3,887 | +$3,887 +100% | — |
| 684d | 0x2370…0e102 fills | Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024? | SellYes9¢ → 0¢ | $3,700 | +$3,700 +100% | — |
| 684d | blokkibob | Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024? | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,371 | −$152 −11% | — |
| 685d | YasH2 fills | Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $10,725 | +$933 +8.7% | 20 |
| 685d | JamesGorson | Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024? | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,080 | −$120 −11% | — |
| 685d | blokkibob | Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,568 | +$155 +9.9% | 20 |
| 685d | Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$212 +11% | 20 | |
| 685d | Saltyballs16 fills | Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024? | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $71,234 | +$11,745 +16% | 20 |
| 685d | ELICHOU | Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024? | SellNo87¢ → 100¢ | $3,964 | −$577 −15% | — |
| 686d | D42d2 fills | Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $4,523 | +$485 +11% | 20 |
| 687d | Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024? | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $2,334 | −$231 −9.9% | — | |
| 688d | skibby | Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024? | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,117 | −$124 −11% | — |
| 689d | Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024? | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $3,345 | −$331 −9.9% | — | |
| 689d | Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $2,031 | +$177 +8.7% | 20 | |
| 689d | 0xfcb034ffesa540c81ad37321212f6e0c762feac86 fills | Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $64,502 | +$7,005 +11% | 20 |
| 689d | 0x2370…0e107 fills | Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024? | BuyYes28¢ → 0¢ | $15,522 | −$15,522 −100% | 31 |
| 689d | lowrisk243 fills | Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $4,057 | +$507 +12% | 20 |
| 690d | FamilyMart | Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024? | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,247 | −$139 −11% | — |
| 691d | Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $2,297 | +$200 +8.7% | 20 | |
| 691d | Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,564 | +$193 +12% | 20 | |
| 691d | Frogy2 fills | Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024? | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $26,579 | +$7,291 +27% | 20 |
| 691d | Moj4 fills | Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024? | BuyNo69¢ → 100¢ | $7,202 | +$3,303 +46% | 20 |
| 692d | Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024? | BuyYes22¢ → 0¢ | $3,375 | −$3,375 −100% | 27 | |
| 692d | Mou-4543 fills | Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024? | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $5,286 | +$1,294 +24% | 20 |
| 693d | KarlMarx2024 | Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024? | BuyYes15¢ → 0¢ | $4,547 | −$4,547 −100% | 30 |
| 693d | Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024? | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,075 | +$175 +16% | 20 | |
| 693d | Jpegstone | Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024? | SellNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,342 | −$219 −16% | — |
| 694d | denizz7 fills | Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024? | BuyNo72¢ → 100¢ | $20,261 | +$8,043 +40% | 20 |
| 696d | Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024? | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $8,752 | +$2,127 +24% | 20 | |
| 696d | Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024? | SellNo78¢ → 100¢ | $2,874 | −$793 −28% | — |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran initiates a military action on Israeli soil, airspace, maritime territory or any official Israeli embassy or consulate between October 25, 12:00 PM ET and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a "military action" will be considered to be any use of force executed by Iran on Israeli soil, airspace, maritime territory or any official Israeli embassy or consulate (e.g. if a weapons depot on Israeli soil is hit by an Iranian missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Iranian government or a consensus of credible reporting. This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, or ground invasions. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market. Only actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks on Israel by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market. In the case that the "Yes" resolution criteria are met prior to this market's resolution date, this market will resolve immediately.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.