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Polymarket wallet 0x3238761f20d804b6ae5776e94cdefd79ca313291 · on Polymarket since Aug 25, 2024 · also shown as Forthright-Challenge
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 4,523 | 86¢ → 93¢ | $4,184 | +$313 +8.1% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 4,000 | 89¢ → 92¢ | $3,660 | +$100 +2.8% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: OctoberEnds in 7d | Nothing | 2,212 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $2,153 | +$32 +1.5% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1,186 | 85¢ → 93¢ | $1,097 | +$89 +8.8% |
| Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?Ends in 234d | Yes | 1,108 | 85¢ → 88¢ | $970 | +$28 +2.9% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 1,000 | 79¢ → 83¢ | $825 | +$35 +4.4% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 750 | 85¢ → 96¢ | $722 | +$87 +14% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on October 21?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 8,080 | 96¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7,777 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.