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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | 1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 722d |  exit-liqudity | Another Iran strike on Israel in October? | BuyNo100¢ | $3,938 | +$20 +0.5% | 20 |
| 722d |  vocifer | Another Iran strike on Israel in October? | BuyNo>99¢ | $68,926 | +$69 +0.1% | 20 |
| 722d |  scout | Another Iran strike on Israel in October? | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,008 | +$6 +0.1% | 20 |
| 722d |  ARudeEgg | Another Iran strike on Israel in October? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,300 | +$5 +0.2% | 20 |
| 722d |  pocahontasporker2 fills | Another Iran strike on Israel in October? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $13,860 | −$140 −1.0% | — |
| 723d |  50Whence6 fills | Another Iran strike on Israel in October? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $22,185 | +$1,425 +6.4% | 20 |
| 723d | Test34 | Another Iran strike on Israel in October? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $19,951 | +$247 +1.2% | 20 |
| 723d | polywiz | Another Iran strike on Israel in October? | BuyYes12¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 25 |
| 723d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec | Another Iran strike on Israel in October? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,906 | −$73 −3.8% | — |
| 723d | polysin | Another Iran strike on Israel in October? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,414 | −$122 −3.6% | — |
| 723d | 0xfe91…70ff2 fills | Another Iran strike on Israel in October? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $4,444 | +$191 +4.3% | 20 |
| 723d | ahahahah2 fills | Another Iran strike on Israel in October? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $5,198 | −$159 −3.1% | — |
| 723d |  Car4 fills | Another Iran strike on Israel in October? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $7,049 | +$469 +6.7% | 20 |
| 723d | Mou-454 | Another Iran strike on Israel in October? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,811 | +$81 +2.9% | 21 |
| 724d |  studmuffin6969 | Another Iran strike on Israel in October? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,059 | −$30 −2.9% | — |
| 724d |  scottilicious5 fills | Another Iran strike on Israel in October? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $42,521 | +$2,002 +4.7% | 20 |
| 724d |  ANudeEgg2 fills | Another Iran strike on Israel in October? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,309 | +$156 +3.6% | 21 |
| 724d | ulfric | Another Iran strike on Israel in October? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,840 | +$156 +3.2% | 21 |
| 724d | Nowhere-Man3 fills | Another Iran strike on Israel in October? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $6,172 | +$291 +4.7% | 21 |
| 724d |  XiJinPing-4783 fills | Another Iran strike on Israel in October? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $9,360 | +$636 +6.8% | 20 |
| 725d | polysin | Another Iran strike on Israel in October? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,896 | +$104 +5.5% | 21 |
| 725d | Ftor15 fills | Another Iran strike on Israel in October? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $29,577 | +$2,260 +7.6% | 20 |
| 725d | adikoriginal | Another Iran strike on Israel in October? | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $4,767 | −$438 −9.2% | — |
| 725d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec3 fills | Another Iran strike on Israel in October? | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $3,311 | +$739 +22% | 20 |
| 725d | Ftor1 | Another Iran strike on Israel in October? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $29,424 | −$1,874 −6.4% | — |
| 725d | Car | Another Iran strike on Israel in October? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,052 | −$64 −6.0% | — |
| 725d |  willis11112 fills | Another Iran strike on Israel in October? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,517 | +$105 +4.2% | 21 |
| 725d |  SearcheR | Another Iran strike on Israel in October? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,375 | −$125 −5.3% | — |
| 725d |  7153649820 | Another Iran strike on Israel in October? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,349 | −$71 −5.3% | — |
| 725d | CHIKITYCHINESECHICKEN | Another Iran strike on Israel in October? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $47,279 | +$2,488 +5.3% | 21 |
| 726d |  Gex-5183 fills | Another Iran strike on Israel in October? | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $10,323 | −$1,011 −9.8% | — |
| 726d | Holl.ow47 | Another Iran strike on Israel in October? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,609 | −$85 −5.3% | — |
| 726d |  ImJustKen7 fills | Another Iran strike on Israel in October? | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $35,639 | +$8,863 +25% | 20 |
| 726d |  Donkov | Another Iran strike on Israel in October? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,095 | −$134 −6.4% | — |
| 726d | VLONA | Another Iran strike on Israel in October? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $6,133 | +$472 +7.7% | 20 |
| 726d | Holl.ow47 | Another Iran strike on Israel in October? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,558 | +$135 +8.7% | 21 |
| 726d | Brisk-ForayNew account | Another Iran strike on Israel in October? | BuyYes10¢ → 0¢ | $1,152 | −$1,152 −100% | 23 |
| 726d | Qtyu3 fills | Another Iran strike on Israel in October? | SellNo85¢ → 100¢ | $10,043 | −$1,736 −17% | — |
| 726d | SMO | Another Iran strike on Israel in October? | BuyYes10¢ → 0¢ | $2,663 | −$2,663 −100% | 29 |
| 727d | aadvark2 fills | Another Iran strike on Israel in October? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $15,878 | +$1,381 +8.7% | 21 |
| 727d | pocahontasporker2 fills | Another Iran strike on Israel in October? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $8,280 | +$720 +8.7% | 21 |
| 727d | Saltyballs | Another Iran strike on Israel in October? | SellYes9¢ → 0¢ | $1,589 | +$1,589 +100% | — |
| 727d | bigguesssss | Another Iran strike on Israel in October? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $13,181 | +$1,465 +11% | 21 |
| 727d | Mandem10 fills | Another Iran strike on Israel in October? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $30,936 | +$3,437 +11% | 21 |
| 727d | Ashamed-Plenty | Another Iran strike on Israel in October? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $3,985 | +$347 +8.7% | 21 |
| 727d | squirrel-farmer | Another Iran strike on Israel in October? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $7,673 | +$667 +8.7% | 21 |
| 727d | YSpan | Another Iran strike on Israel in October? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $2,115 | +$196 +9.2% | 21 |
| 728d |  sigh2 fills | Another Iran strike on Israel in October? | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $3,227 | +$734 +23% | 21 |
| 728d | Happy-Go-Lucky-Caliber | Another Iran strike on Israel in October? | SellNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,579 | −$215 −14% | — |
| 728d | Gregarious-SocksNew account | Another Iran strike on Israel in October? | BuyYes11¢ → 0¢ | $1,439 | −$1,439 −100% | 40 |
| 728d | fkarasek | Another Iran strike on Israel in October? | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,547 | −$135 −8.7% | — |
| 728d |  ohwell | Another Iran strike on Israel in October? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,958 | +$242 +12% | 21 |
| 728d |  Blunderton | Another Iran strike on Israel in October? | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $3,546 | −$365 −10% | — |
| 728d | Magamyman4 fills | Another Iran strike on Israel in October? | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $8,714 | +$1,438 +16% | 21 |
| 728d | SuperTrooper123 | Another Iran strike on Israel in October? | SellYes10¢ → 0¢ | $1,510 | +$1,510 +100% | — |
| 728d |  NERA2 fills | Another Iran strike on Israel in October? | SellNo80¢ → 100¢ | $2,909 | −$710 −24% | — |
| 728d | NERA3 fills | Another Iran strike on Israel in October? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $8,426 | +$1,437 +17% | 21 |
| 728d |  Justifax2 fills | Another Iran strike on Israel in October? | SellNo79¢ → 100¢ | $3,205 | −$872 −27% | — |
| 728d | BitcoinerRetired | Another Iran strike on Israel in October? | BuyNo72¢ → 100¢ | $1,194 | +$462 +39% | 22 |
| 728d | Justifax | Another Iran strike on Israel in October? | BuyNo66¢ → 100¢ | $1,511 | +$779 +52% | 22 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran initiates a military action on Israeli soil, airspace, maritime territory or any official Israeli embassy or consulate between October 2, 12:00 PM ET and October 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a "military action" will be considered to be any use of force executed by Iran on Israeli soil, airspace, maritime territory or any official Israeli embassy or consulate (e.g. if a weapons depot on Israeli soil is hit by an Iranian missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Iranian government or a consensus of credible reporting. This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, or ground invasions. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market. Only actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks on Israel by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market. In the case that the "Yes" resolution criteria are met prior to this market's resolution date, this market will resolve immediately.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.