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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January 4, 11:59 PM | 98% | — | — | 98¢ · 98¢ (<1¢) | — | in 73d |
| November 18, 11:59 PM | 90% | −2 pts | — | 88¢ · 91¢ (3¢) | — | in 26d |
| November 6, 11:59 PM | 82% | +1 pts | — | 79¢ · 85¢ (6¢) | $476 | in 14d |
| December 2, 11:59 PM | 90% | −2 pts | — | 88¢ · 91¢ (3¢) | — | in 40d |
| November 13, 11:59 PM | 82% | −3 pts | — | 72¢ · 92¢ (20¢) | $290 | in 21d |
| November 4, 11:59 PM | 75% | −1 pts | — | 72¢ · 78¢ (6¢) | $182 | in 12d |
| November 4, 3:59 AM | 56% | +5 pts | — | 52¢ · 60¢ (8¢) | $85 | in 11d |
| November 4, 12:59 AM | 52% | +7 pts | — | 36¢ · 67¢ (31¢) | $60 | in 11d |
| November 3, 11:59 PM | 28% | −19 pts | — | 13¢ · 44¢ (31¢) | $60 | in 11d |
| November 3, 10:59 PM | 17% | −3 pts | — | 12¢ · 21¢ (9¢) | $42.4 | in 11d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d | Reckless-Estrogen-CompetenceNew account | January 4, 11:59 PM | BuyYes87¢ → 98¢ | $1,045 | +$136 +13% | 15 |
chessplayer35 shares
aliiz20 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the Associated Press calls control of the United States Senate for the Congress that will convene following the 2026 midterm elections by the specified date and time (ET). Otherwise it will resolve to “No”. Only calls that Senate control has been determined will qualify. Individual race calls that do not state that Senate control has been determined will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be the Associated Press.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 98¢ for January 4, 11:59 PM means the market gives it about 98%.