| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher?Ends in 250d | Yes | 172 | 90¢ → 88¢ | $151 | −$5 −2.9% |
| Will there be between 35 and 59 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?Ends in 18d | Yes | 150 | 88¢ → 97¢ | $145 | +$13 +10% |
| Will the Democrats win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 150 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $144 | +$7 +4.8% |
| Nuñez out as French Interior Minister by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 150 | 92¢ → 90¢ | $135 | −$3 −2.1% |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 27, 2026?Ends in 4d | No | 150 | 88¢ → 89¢ | $134 | +$3 +2.1% |
| Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 115 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $111 | +$5 +4.8% |
| Will Microsoft (MSFT) Q1 total capital expenditures be above $68B?Ends in 4d | No | 100 | 92¢ → 98¢ | $98 | +$6 +6.1% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the IA-01 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 100 | 92¢ → 92¢ | $92 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Joakim Nilsson win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?Ends in 19d | No | 100 | 91¢ → 87¢ | $87 | −$4 −3.9% |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?Ends ended | No | 86 | 93¢ → >99¢ | $86 | +$6 +7.0% |
| Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?Ends in 250d | No | 100 | 90¢ → 84¢ | $84 | −$6 −7.2% |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 90 | 88¢ → 88¢ | $79 | +$1 +0.7% |
| Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Ends ended | Yes | 80 | 93¢ → 95¢ | $76 | +$1 +2.0% |
| Will Core PCE MoM be 0.4% in September?Ends in 5d | No | 100 | 84¢ → 76¢ | $76 | −$9 −10% |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | Yes | 95 | 83¢ → 79¢ | $75 | −$3 −4.2% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.3T by December 31?Ends in 73d | Yes | 100 | 94¢ → 70¢ | $70 | −$24 −26% |
| Rogers flips El-Sayed for Michigan Senate by November 2?Ends in 10d | No | 61 | 93¢ → 91¢ | $56 | −$1 −2.2% |
| Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 4?Ends ended | Yes | 59 | 91¢ → 92¢ | $54 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Will "Clayface" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Ends in 2d | Yes | 50 | 90¢ → >99¢ | $50 | +$5 +11% |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 24, 2026?Ends in 1d | No | 50 | 98¢ → 99¢ | $49 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Will "Cry to Heaven" be nominated for Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | No | 50 | 91¢ → 98¢ | $49 | +$4 +7.9% |
| Walmart (WMT) Q3 US eCommerce sales growth <17%?Ends in 26d | No | 50 | 92¢ → 98¢ | $49 | +$3 +6.4% |
| Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 8?Ends ended | Yes | 50 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $49 | +$2 +4.7% |
| Will Fabián Ruiz attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?Ends in 38d | No | 50 | 92¢ → 97¢ | $48 | +$2 +4.9% |
| Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Google by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 49 | 92¢ → 98¢ | $48 | +$3 +6.5% |
| Will Apple (AAPL) Q4 iPad revenue be above $8B?Ends in 9d | No | 50 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $48 | +$2 +4.5% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 50 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $48 | +$2 +5.2% |
| Will the Republicans win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 50 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $48 | +$2 +3.5% |
| Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 50 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $48 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Will Islam Makhachev be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 50 | 93¢ → 95¢ | $48 | +$1 +2.9% |
| Will the Republican Party win the UT-04 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 50 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $48 | +$0 +1.0% |
| Will Houthis target Pakistan by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 48 | 91¢ → 98¢ | $47 | +$3 +7.5% |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-24 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 50 | 91¢ → 95¢ | $47 | +$2 +3.8% |
| Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?Ends in 525d | No | 50 | 92¢ → 95¢ | $47 | +$1 +2.7% |
| Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Meta by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 50 | 91¢ → 95¢ | $47 | +$2 +3.8% |
| Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 50 | 94¢ → 94¢ | $47 | +$0 +0.3% |
| Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 9?Ends ended | No | 50 | 92¢ → 94¢ | $47 | +$1 +2.2% |
| Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 50 | 89¢ → 94¢ | $47 | +$2 +5.1% |
| Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation be at least 3,500 but below 3,510 ft?Ends in 174d | No | 50 | 92¢ → 94¢ | $47 | +$1 +1.6% |
| Will Mark Warner vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?Ends in 70d | No | 50 | 90¢ → 93¢ | $47 | +$2 +3.6% |
| Will the Republican Party win the UT-02 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 50 | 93¢ → 94¢ | $47 | +$0 +1.1% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NC-06 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 50 | 91¢ → 93¢ | $47 | +$1 +2.2% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NM-02 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 50 | 93¢ → 92¢ | $46 | −$1 −1.1% |
| Will Lionel Messi win 2026 MLS Most Valuable Player?Ends in 69d | Yes | 50 | 92¢ → 93¢ | $46 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Will Intel (INTC) Q3 Foundry revenue be above $7.5B?Ends in 5d | No | 50 | 94¢ → 93¢ | $46 | −$1 −1.6% |
| Will there be no next Meta Muse Spark model release by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 50 | 91¢ → 93¢ | $46 | +$1 +1.6% |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?Ends in 250d | No | 51 | 92¢ → 91¢ | $46 | −$1 −1.2% |
| Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia?Ends in 2h | No | 50 | 91¢ → 92¢ | $46 | +$0 +0.7% |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 32% by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 50 | 92¢ → 92¢ | $46 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Phil Lord be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | No | 50 | 92¢ → 92¢ | $46 | +$0 +0.4% |
| Kimberly Guilfoyle federally charged by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 50 | 93¢ → 92¢ | $46 | −$1 −1.6% |
| Will Michael Echols be the Republican nominee for LA-05?Ends ended | No | 50 | 84¢ → 91¢ | $46 | +$3 +8.1% |
| Will Peloton (PTON) beat quarterly earnings?Ends in 5d | No | 50 | 93¢ → 91¢ | $46 | −$1 −2.2% |
| Will Brice Turang win the 2026 World Series MVP?Ends in 23d | No | 50 | 95¢ → 91¢ | $46 | −$2 −4.3% |
| Will Tyreek Hill sign with the Miami Dolphins in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 50 | 95¢ → 91¢ | $45 | −$2 −4.4% |
| Will "El Cuerpo de Cristo" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | No | 50 | 91¢ → 90¢ | $45 | −$1 −1.1% |
| Will Hyatt Hotels (H) Q3 system-wide hotels RevPAR be above $146?Ends in 5d | Yes | 50 | 91¢ → 90¢ | $45 | −$1 −1.6% |
| Ed Davey out as Liberal Democrats Leader by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 50 | 91¢ → 90¢ | $45 | −$1 −1.6% |
| Will PP win the most seats in Cantabria in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 37d | Yes | 50 | 92¢ → 89¢ | $45 | −$2 −3.3% |
| Lyon curfew effectively lifted by November 7?Ends in 14d | Yes | 50 | 89¢ → 89¢ | $44 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Ends ended | Yes | 52 | 92¢ → 84¢ | $44 | −$4 −8.3% |
| Will Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) Q3 Data Center revenue be above $8.8B?Ends in 10d | No | 50 | 91¢ → 88¢ | $44 | −$2 −3.3% |
| Will the Republican Party win the AZ-01 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 50 | 87¢ → 88¢ | $44 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will S&P Global (SPGI) Q3 Rating revenues be above $1.45B?Ends in 3d | No | 50 | 93¢ → 88¢ | $44 | −$3 −5.9% |
| Will Altria (MO) Q3 total domestic cigarettes shipment volume (sticks in billions) be above 14.5B?Ends in 5d | Yes | 50 | 92¢ → 88¢ | $44 | −$2 −4.9% |
| Will Na Hong-jin be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | No | 46 | 93¢ → 94¢ | $43 | +$0 +1.1% |
| Will Lyft (LYFT) Q3 rides be above 285M?Ends in 12d | No | 50 | 91¢ → 87¢ | $43 | −$2 −4.9% |
| Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 26, 2026?Ends in 3d | No | 50 | 94¢ → 86¢ | $43 | −$4 −8.5% |
| Will "Minions & Monsters" be nominated for Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | No | 50 | 92¢ → 86¢ | $43 | −$3 −6.5% |
| France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30?Ends in 38d | No | 50 | 88¢ → 86¢ | $43 | −$1 −2.8% |
| Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?Ends in 36d | No | 50 | 86¢ → 86¢ | $43 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 11d | Yes | 50 | 86¢ → 85¢ | $42 | −$1 −1.7% |
| Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 11d | No | 50 | 88¢ → 85¢ | $42 | −$2 −4.0% |
| Will there be between 30 and 34 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 50 | 90¢ → 84¢ | $42 | −$3 −6.7% |
| Will the Republican Party win the WA-05 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 50 | 84¢ → 84¢ | $42 | $0 0.0% |
| Will "Clarissa" be nominated for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | No | 50 | 93¢ → 84¢ | $42 | −$5 −10% |
| Will Starbucks (SBUX) beat quarterly earnings?Ends in 5d | No | 45 | 93¢ → 92¢ | $41 | −$0 −1.0% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 27, 2026?Ends in 4d | No | 50 | 87¢ → 82¢ | $41 | −$2 −5.7% |
| No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?Ends in 12d | Yes | 50 | 91¢ → 82¢ | $41 | −$5 −10% |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 50 | 87¢ → 81¢ | $41 | −$3 −6.4% |
| Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released on November 10, 2026?Ends in 18d | No | 40 | 96¢ → 99¢ | $40 | +$1 +3.5% |
| Will Broadcom (AVGO) Q4 AI revenue be above $21B?Ends in 47d | Yes | 50 | 93¢ → 79¢ | $40 | −$7 −15% |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?Ends in 250d | No | 50 | 92¢ → 79¢ | $40 | −$7 −14% |
| Will Eli Lilly (LLY) Q3 Zepbound sales be above $6.5B?Ends in 5d | No | 50 | 94¢ → 79¢ | $39 | −$8 −16% |
| Will Corning (GLW) Q3 Optical Communications sales be above $2.4B?Ends in 3d | No | 50 | 93¢ → 78¢ | $39 | −$8 −17% |
| Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Saudi Arabia by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 50 | 94¢ → 78¢ | $39 | −$8 −18% |
| Will Seagate (STX) Q1 hard drive exabyte shipments be above 250?Ends in 3d | No | 50 | 94¢ → 76¢ | $38 | −$9 −19% |
| Will Analog Devices' Q4 Industrial revenue be above $2.2B?Ends in 31d | No | 50 | 92¢ → 76¢ | $38 | −$8 −17% |
| Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $19.5M and $21M?Ends in 1d | No | 50 | 83¢ → 71¢ | $35 | −$6 −15% |
| Will "Please" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | No | 72 | 91¢ → 49¢ | $35 | −$30 −46% |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.30% before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 39 | 87¢ → 87¢ | $34 | +$0 +0.9% |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on November 2, 2026?Ends in 10d | No | 45 | 84¢ → 73¢ | $33 | −$5 −13% |
| Will Paul Giamatti be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | Yes | 35 | 91¢ → 92¢ | $32 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 50 | 92¢ → 64¢ | $32 | −$14 −31% |
| Will "The Dreamed Adventure" be nominated for Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | No | 36 | 91¢ → 89¢ | $32 | −$1 −2.7% |
| Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 21, 2026?Ends ended | No | 50 | 93¢ → 64¢ | $32 | −$14 −31% |
| Will the Democrats win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 33 | 93¢ → 95¢ | $31 | +$1 +2.5% |
| Will Microsoft (MSFT) Q1 total capital expenditures be above $44B?Ends in 4d | Yes | 30 | 93¢ → 98¢ | $29 | +$1 +5.3% |
| Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $204 in October?Ends in 8d | Yes | 50 | 88¢ → 57¢ | $29 | −$15 −35% |
| Will Altria (MO) Q3 total domestic cigarettes shipment volume (sticks in billions) be above 16B?Ends in 5d | No | 50 | 91¢ → 54¢ | $27 | −$19 −41% |
