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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donald Trump | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Kamala Harris | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 750d | lenlen3 fills | Donald Trump | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,511 | −$52 −1.5% | — |
| 750d | lenlen3 fills | Donald Trump | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,565 | +$43 +1.2% | 10 |
| 754d | aleph-869 | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,129 | +$9 +0.3% | 10 |
| 754d | aleph-8692 fills | Kamala Harris | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,099 | +$39 +1.3% | 10 |
| 786d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly | Donald Trump | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,335 | −$36 −2.7% | — |
| 788d | AntiMAGA | Donald Trump | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $4,144 | +$128 +3.1% | 10 |
| 789d | DapperChapper2 fills | Donald Trump | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,762 | +$88 +3.2% | 10 |
| 795d | gidithosoft1986 | Other | SellNo>99¢ | $1,106 | −$5 −0.4% | — |
| 795d | gidithosoft1986 | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,108 | +$3 +0.3% | 10 |
| 806d | 0xfa1c…33c1 | Donald Trump | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,577 | −$83 −5.3% | — |
| 847d | brat | Donald Trump | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $11,579 | +$828 +7.1% | 10 |
| 869d | Grinder123 | Donald Trump | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $2,116 | −$184 −8.7% | — |
| 897d | Grinder123 | Donald Trump | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $2,093 | +$207 +9.9% | 10 |
| 898d |  BigMike11 | Donald Trump | SellYes91¢ → 100¢ | $3,640 | −$360 −9.9% | — |
| 901d |  50Whence | Donald Trump | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $2,760 | +$240 +8.7% | 10 |
| 901d |  ImJustKen | Donald Trump | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $3,640 | +$360 +9.9% | 10 |
| 901d | BigMike11 | Donald Trump | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $3,640 | +$360 +9.9% | 10 |
| 921d | 50Whence | Donald Trump | SellNo9¢ → 0¢ | $1,823 | +$1,823 +100% | — |
| 921d | route | Donald Trump | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $2,700 | −$300 −11% | — |
| 921d |  CrunchWrapoDeLaFuente | Donald Trump | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $4,500 | −$500 −11% | — |
| 921d | 50Whence | Donald Trump | BuyNo9¢ → 0¢ | $2,345 | −$2,345 −100% | 16 |
| 929d |  LBZcapital | Kamala Harris | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $5,094 | +$383 +7.5% | 10 |
This is a market on predicting the winner of the presidential election in Arkansas.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Donald Trump means the market gives it about 100%.