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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +18 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 684d |  RememberAmalek4 fills | Assad leaves Syria before 2025? | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $6,472 | +$1,184 +18% | 4 |
| 684d |  Master-bettor | Assad leaves Syria before 2025? | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,018 | +$8 +0.1% | 4 |
| 684d |  Vectors | Assad leaves Syria before 2025? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,500 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 684d |  carp | Assad leaves Syria before 2025? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,994 | +$6 +0.2% | 4 |
| 684d | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | Assad leaves Syria before 2025? | BuyYes>99¢ | $16,166 | +$32 +0.2% | 4 |
| 684d |  Slowroasted | Assad leaves Syria before 2025? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,397 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 684d |  MMousse6 fills | Assad leaves Syria before 2025? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $113,955 | +$1,287 +1.1% | 4 |
| 684d |  MrNFT | Assad leaves Syria before 2025? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,956 | +$6 +0.3% | 4 |
| 684d | PineGreenParrot | Assad leaves Syria before 2025? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,379 | −$7 −0.5% | — |
| 684d |  Infringe | Assad leaves Syria before 2025? | BuyYes>99¢ | $13,790 | +$28 +0.2% | 4 |
| 684d |  mocking-guess | Assad leaves Syria before 2025? | SellYes100¢ | $1,051 | −$5 −0.5% | — |
| 684d | AIisTheNewWalkingDead | Assad leaves Syria before 2025? | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,238 | +$16 +0.2% | 4 |
| 684d |  nnimrodd | Assad leaves Syria before 2025? | SellYes100¢ | $2,715 | −$14 −0.5% | — |
| 684d |  NERA | Assad leaves Syria before 2025? | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,435 | +$13 +0.3% | 4 |
| 684d | generalVR | Assad leaves Syria before 2025? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,839 | +$9 +0.5% | 4 |
| 684d |  88888LUCKY88888 | Assad leaves Syria before 2025? | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,386 | +$18 +0.4% | 4 |
| 684d |  MisTKy32 fills | Assad leaves Syria before 2025? | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,519 | +$19 +0.2% | 4 |
| 684d | mocking-guess | Assad leaves Syria before 2025? | BuyYes100¢ | $1,393 | +$7 +0.5% | 4 |
| 684d | SuperDude31415 | Assad leaves Syria before 2025? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,920 | −$10 −0.5% | — |
| 684d |  Elon-Musk-69420 | Assad leaves Syria before 2025? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,214 | +$4 +0.3% | 4 |
| 684d |  Car3 fills | Assad leaves Syria before 2025? | BuyYes>99¢ | $34,773 | +$126 +0.4% | 4 |
| 684d | Vitoshere | Assad leaves Syria before 2025? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,053 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 684d |  Axios | Assad leaves Syria before 2025? | SellYes>99¢ | $4,860 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 684d |  Thieel | Assad leaves Syria before 2025? | SellYes100¢ | $1,114 | −$6 −0.5% | — |
| 684d | NRXO519 | Assad leaves Syria before 2025? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,180 | −$11 −0.9% | — |
| 684d | TenChuSama | Assad leaves Syria before 2025? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,002 | −$30 −1.0% | — |
| 684d |  SiO2 | Assad leaves Syria before 2025? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $3,554 | +$110 +3.1% | 4 |
| 684d |  missadventure3 fills | Assad leaves Syria before 2025? | BuyYes61¢ → 100¢ | $9,792 | +$6,349 +65% | 4 |
| 684d |  will smart | Assad leaves Syria before 2025? | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,312 | +$89 +6.8% | 4 |
| 684d | Thieel | Assad leaves Syria before 2025? | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,052 | +$67 +6.4% | 4 |
| 684d | Axios2 fills | Assad leaves Syria before 2025? | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $4,464 | +$401 +9.0% | 4 |
| 684d |  Pulser | Assad leaves Syria before 2025? | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $2,640 | +$360 +14% | 4 |
| 684d | joe.night2024 | Assad leaves Syria before 2025? | SellYes88¢ → 100¢ | $1,138 | −$160 −14% | — |
| 684d | cashy2 fills | Assad leaves Syria before 2025? | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $3,500 | +$558 +16% | 4 |
| 684d | Mike888-247 | Assad leaves Syria before 2025? | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $10,044 | +$1,162 +12% | 4 |
| 684d | chuanyu-474 | Assad leaves Syria before 2025? | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $2,610 | +$390 +15% | 4 |
| 684d | Super-Campaign2 fills | Assad leaves Syria before 2025? | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $8,126 | +$978 +12% | 4 |
| 684d | SuperDude31415 | Assad leaves Syria before 2025? | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,734 | +$196 +11% | 4 |
| 684d | Saltyballs4 fills | Assad leaves Syria before 2025? | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $8,000 | +$1,140 +14% | 4 |
| 684d | heleft242 fills | Assad leaves Syria before 2025? | BuyYes67¢ → 100¢ | $3,384 | +$1,637 +48% | 4 |
| 684d | StudentMoney | Assad leaves Syria before 2025? | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $2,265 | +$170 +7.5% | 4 |
| 684d | FrantzY | Assad leaves Syria before 2025? | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,920 | +$145 +7.5% | 4 |
| 684d | almost-never | Assad leaves Syria before 2025? | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $2,150 | +$162 +7.5% | 4 |
| 684d | zxxxzx | Assad leaves Syria before 2025? | SellYes91¢ → 100¢ | $2,742 | −$258 −9.4% | — |
| 684d | elPolloLoco | Assad leaves Syria before 2025? | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $5,577 | +$423 +7.6% | 4 |
| 684d | STV31 | Assad leaves Syria before 2025? | SellYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,653 | −$160 −9.7% | — |
| 684d | tatao | Assad leaves Syria before 2025? | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,125 | +$72 +6.4% | 4 |
| 684d | dqp | Assad leaves Syria before 2025? | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $3,158 | +$212 +6.7% | 4 |
| 684d | ophpaot | Assad leaves Syria before 2025? | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,444 | +$109 +7.5% | 4 |
| 684d | Marks1000 | Assad leaves Syria before 2025? | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $5,996 | +$415 +6.9% | 4 |
| 684d | nnimrodd | Assad leaves Syria before 2025? | BuyYes82¢ → 100¢ | $1,626 | +$357 +22% | 4 |
| 684d | jcooper3123212321 | Assad leaves Syria before 2025? | BuyYes63¢ → 100¢ | $1,020 | +$599 +59% | 4 |
| 684d | Marks1000 | Assad leaves Syria before 2025? | SellNo15¢ → 0¢ | $1,870 | +$1,870 +100% | — |
| 684d | Marks10003 fills | Assad leaves Syria before 2025? | BuyNo44¢ → 0¢ | $5,500 | −$5,500 −100% | 6 |
| 684d | Dearest-Aide3 fills | Assad leaves Syria before 2025? | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $7,046 | +$1,122 +16% | 4 |
| 684d | AndrianoLamo | Assad leaves Syria before 2025? | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,154 | −$126 −11% | — |
| 684d | Acnirak | Assad leaves Syria before 2025? | SellYes71¢ → 100¢ | $3,830 | −$1,593 −42% | — |
| 684d | Basis2 fills | Assad leaves Syria before 2025? | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $2,267 | +$441 +19% | 4 |
| 684d | 1mperator17 | Assad leaves Syria before 2025? | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,142 | −$86 −7.5% | — |
| 684d | Acnirak | Assad leaves Syria before 2025? | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $4,928 | +$494 +10% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Bashar al-Assad has left Syria for any length of time between December 6, 2024, and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In cases where Assad may have exited Syrian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Syria for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Assad exits Syrian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes". If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Assad left Syria, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.