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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100 or more | 100% | +31 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 1-20 | 0% | −15 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 21-49 | 0% | −21 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 50-74 | 0% | −16 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 75-99 | 0% | −11 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 664d |  0x3mf379C47E653dafa153841a995Cf975B6a02fxd | 100 or more | SellYes>99¢ | $10,050 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 664d | 0x3mf379C47E653dafa153841a995Cf975B6a02fxd | 75-99 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,040 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 664d |  coby | 75-99 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,398 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 664d | coby | 100 or more | SellYes>99¢ | $3,002 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 664d |  BrokenRobot | 75-99 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,121 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 664d | oneday1 | 100 or more | SellYes>99¢ | $5,261 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 664d |  Xplayer | 75-99 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,769 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 664d | longtern | 100 or more | SellYes>99¢ | $4,096 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 664d |  pirateshere | 100 or more | SellYes>99¢ | $3,342 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 664d | rpo | 100 or more | SellYes>99¢ | $2,496 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 664d | Xplayer | 100 or more | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,161 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 664d | pirateshere | 100 or more | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,342 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 664d | longtern | 100 or more | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,767 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 664d | rpo | 100 or more | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,316 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 664d |  Car | 100 or more | BuyYes>99¢ | $14,970 | +$30 +0.2% | 4 |
| 664d | 0x3mf379C47E653dafa153841a995Cf975B6a02fxd3 fills | 100 or more | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,138 | +$37 +0.4% | 4 |
| 664d | 0x3mf379C47E653dafa153841a995Cf975B6a02fxd | 75-99 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,941 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 664d | mcainc | 100 or more | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,239 | −$11 −0.9% | — |
| 664d | migm | 75-99 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,498 | −$24 −1.0% | — |
| 664d |  noreasapa | 100 or more | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,375 | +$7 +0.5% | 4 |
| 664d | uvnrm | 75-99 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,489 | −$11 −0.7% | — |
| 664d | noreasapa | 75-99 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,937 | +$24 +0.6% | 4 |
| 664d | alex4127 | 75-99 | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,235 | +$238 +19% | 4 |
| 664d | Car | 50-74 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,033 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 664d | noreasapa | 50-74 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,098 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 664d | coby | 75-99 | BuyNo50¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$1,000 +100% | 4 |
| 664d | PouringRain2 fills | 75-99 | BuyYes96¢ → 0¢ | $2,237 | −$2,237 −100% | 4 |
| 664d |  Parz1vaI | 100 or more | SellNo99¢ → 0¢ | $2,452 | +$2,452 +100% | — |
| 664d | Parz1vaI | 100 or more | BuyNo74¢ → 0¢ | $1,055 | −$1,055 −100% | 4 |
| 664d |  LlamaEnjoyer | 50-74 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,724 | +$9 +0.2% | 4 |
| 664d | noreasapa | 50-74 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,396 | +$14 +1.0% | 4 |
| 664d | alex4127 | 50-74 | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,025 | +$211 +21% | 4 |
| 665d |  Dropper | 100 or more | BuyNo59¢ → 0¢ | $1,252 | −$1,252 −100% | 4 |
| 665d | 0x3mf379C47E653dafa153841a995Cf975B6a02fxd | 1-20 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,048 | +$11 +0.6% | 4 |
| 665d | Car | 1-20 | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,072 | −$43 −4.0% | — |
| 665d |  quin62 | 1-20 | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,082 | +$176 +16% | 4 |
| 665d |  cdpor2 | 100 or more | BuyNo69¢ → 0¢ | $1,172 | −$1,172 −100% | 4 |
| 665d |  nasa22 | 1-20 | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $2,154 | +$380 +18% | 4 |
RememberAmalek9,202 sharesThis is a market group over the number of attempts it takes for Kai and Speed to beat their Fortnite challenge.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 100 or more means the market gives it about 100%.