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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Labour | 100% | +4 pts | +17 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Liberal–National | 0% | −4 pts | −11 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Greens | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 539d | JerryTi | Labour | SellYes>99¢ | $1,412 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 539d | Labour | SellYes>99¢ | $1,589 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 539d | upp | Liberal–National | BuyNo>99¢ | $20,832 | +$21 +0.1% | 10 |
| 539d | upp4 fills | Labour | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $63,216 | +$1,660 +2.6% | 10 |
| 539d | ttk79 | Labour | SellYes>99¢ | $1,036 | −$4 −0.4% | — |
| 539d | Winninghumbly3 fills | Labour | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $5,421 | +$111 +2.1% | 10 |
| 539d | rollothomasi | Liberal–National | SellNo>99¢ | $19,456 | −$39 −0.2% | — |
| 539d | Labour | SellYes>99¢ | $8,286 | −$21 −0.3% | — | |
| 539d | Labour | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,345 | +$8 +0.1% | 10 | |
| 539d | LpBoar | Liberal–National | SellNo>99¢ | $1,417 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 539d | Thin-Print | Labour | SellYes>99¢ | $1,557 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 539d | bilal1122 | Labour | SellYes>99¢ | $5,594 | −$10 −0.2% | — |
| 539d | solanastroker | Liberal–National | SellNo>99¢ | $1,207 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 539d | affs20791 | Labour | SellYes>99¢ | $10,663 | −$11 −0.1% | — |
| 539d | dkskw022 fills | Labour | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $62,035 | −$3,665 −5.9% | — |
| 539d | Ronaldo2100 | Labour | SellYes>99¢ | $2,873 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 539d | The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA6 fills | Labour | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $54,868 | +$851 +1.6% | 10 |
| 539d | Erang10 | Labour | SellYes>99¢ | $6,424 | −$13 −0.2% | — |
| 539d | Labour | SellYes86¢ → 100¢ | $3,977 | −$641 −16% | — | |
| 539d | Jerry42428 fills | Labour | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $23,784 | −$314 −1.3% | — |
| 539d | Labour | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,244 | +$11 +0.9% | 10 | |
| 539d | Labour | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,189 | +$43 +1.3% | 10 | |
| 539d | alexlcd | Labour | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,199 | −$32 −2.7% | — |
| 539d | Liberal–National | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $24,015 | +$1,355 +5.6% | 10 | |
| 539d | cigarettes | Labour | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $5,169 | +$106 +2.0% | 11 |
| 539d | 246456546gdfgtg4 fills | Labour | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $79,471 | +$2,774 +3.5% | 11 |
| 539d | cigarettes18 fills | Liberal–National | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $76,163 | +$9,607 +13% | 10 |
| 539d | ballboy3 fills | Labour | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $5,817 | −$232 −4.0% | — |
| 539d | tarbs | Labour | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $8,149 | +$298 +3.7% | 11 |
| 539d | Erang10 | Labour | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $6,213 | +$223 +3.6% | 11 |
| 539d | Labour | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $3,330 | +$162 +4.9% | 11 | |
| 539d | Labour | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $11,083 | +$505 +4.6% | 11 | |
| 539d | Niseko | Labour | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,723 | +$77 +4.5% | 11 |
| 539d | jalarrea | Labour | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,439 | −$74 −5.2% | — |
| 539d | Thin-Print | Labour | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,496 | +$64 +4.3% | 11 |
| 539d | The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA | Liberal–National | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,491 | +$110 +4.4% | 11 |
| 539d | wokerjoesleeper | Labour | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $4,616 | +$197 +4.3% | 11 |
| 539d | Spectating | Liberal–National | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,657 | +$53 +3.2% | 11 |
| 539d | rollothomasi | Liberal–National | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,485 | +$57 +3.8% | 11 |
| 539d | Ronaldo2100 | Liberal–National | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $16,020 | +$688 +4.3% | 11 |
| 540d | cheezeits | Liberal–National | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,294 | +$121 +5.3% | 11 |
| 540d | TexMexTRex | Labour | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $9,413 | −$587 −6.2% | — |
| 540d | cheezeits2 fills | Labour | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $4,355 | +$618 +14% | 11 |
| 540d | juniper | Liberal–National | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,800 | +$200 +5.3% | 11 |
| 540d | dmark81 | Liberal–National | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $6,615 | +$355 +5.4% | 11 |
| 540d | Liberal–National | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,489 | +$122 +4.9% | 11 | |
| 540d | Thatboi | Labour | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$241 +4.8% | 11 |
| 540d | juniper | Labour | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,886 | +$114 +6.0% | 12 |
| 540d | z0vulon | Labour | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $2,311 | +$137 +5.9% | 11 |
| 540d | Hashbrown2 fills | Labour | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $4,151 | +$349 +8.4% | 11 |
| 540d | Daisyninja | Labour | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,143 | +$69 +6.0% | 11 |
| 540d | HLB-377 | Labour | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,151 | +$117 +5.4% | 11 |
| 540d | RubiksCube2 fills | Labour | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $23,484 | +$1,094 +4.7% | 11 |
| 540d | scottgmac10 | Liberal–National | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,352 | −$98 −7.3% | — |
| 540d | Labour | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,196 | +$79 +6.6% | 11 | |
| 540d | 2343212332 | Labour | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $5,484 | −$327 −6.0% | — |
| 540d | RubiksCube | Liberal–National | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $19,958 | +$942 +4.7% | 11 |
| 540d | Liberal–National | BuyYes5¢ → 0¢ | $1,339 | −$1,339 −100% | 17 | |
| 540d | Labour | BuyNo5¢ → 0¢ | $2,074 | −$2,074 −100% | 21 | |
| 540d | Anatan | Liberal–National | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,400 | +$103 +4.3% | 11 |
This is a market on predicting the winner of the upcoming Australia Parliamentary Election.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Labour means the market gives it about 100%.