mantou11

Polymarket wallet 0x54dbe14d342f129be293df83a12515065b6c0174 · on Polymarket since Dec 22, 2024 · also shown as Winged-Layer

Open on Polymarket ↗

Positions now worth: $2.7K
All-time profit: +$37K
Volume traded: $3.46M
All-time rank: #4,724
Markets traded: 1,121
Recent hit rate: 14%7 of last 50 closed

Open positions

61 markets · $2.7K

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,200,000 and 4,350,000?Ends in 11d	No	324	91¢ → 95¢	$309	+$16 +5.3%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas be between 900,000 and 975,000?Ends in 11d	No	514	30¢ → 52¢	$267	+$113 +73%
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by December 31?Ends in 73d	No	250	92¢ → 96¢	$241	+$11 +4.7%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be between 4,600,000 and 4,800,000?Ends in 11d	Yes	645	22¢ → 36¢	$232	+$90 +63%
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $25B by December 31?Ends in 73d	No	208	91¢ → 93¢	$193	+$4 +2.2%
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31?Ends in 73d	No	191	63¢ → 91¢	$174	+$54 +45%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada be between 900,000 and 975,000?Ends in 11d	No	157	81¢ → 94¢	$148	+$20 +16%
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?Ends in 1d	Yes	952	20¢ → 13¢	$124	−$68 −35%
Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.2%?Ends in 6d	Yes	183	41¢ → 48¢	$87	+$11 +15%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama be between 1,700,000 and 1,800,000?Ends in 11d	No	94	72¢ → 90¢	$85	+$17 +24%
Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $175B by December 31?Ends in 69d	Yes	993	6¢ → 7¢	$74	+$12 +20%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada be between 1,050,000 and 1,125,000?Ends in 11d	Yes	181	3¢ → 32¢	$59	+$52 +844%
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31?Ends in 73d	No	104	27¢ → 55¢	$57	+$29 +105%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama be between 1,600,000 and 1,700,000?Ends in 11d	Yes	220	11¢ → 25¢	$55	+$32 +135%
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.2% and 1.5%?Ends in 6d	No	69	68¢ → 79¢	$55	+$7 +15%
Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?Ends in 9d	Yes	52	94¢ → 97¢	$50	+$2 +3.2%
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $60B by December 31?Ends in 69d	No	110	0¢ → 46¢	$50	+$50 +0.0%
Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.7% and 0.9%?Ends in 6d	Yes	155	16¢ → 30¢	$46	+$21 +84%
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $175B by December 31?Ends in 73d	No	44	76¢ → 96¢	$43	+$9 +26%
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?Ends in 1d	Yes	340	17¢ → 13¢	$43	−$14 −25%
Will Kispest-Honvéd be relegated from the 2026-27 NB I (Hungary)?Ends in 250d	No	62	45¢ → 54¢	$33	+$5 +18%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be between 4,400,000 and 4,600,000?Ends in 11d	No	32	81¢ → 94¢	$30	+$4 +16%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be between 4,800,000 and 5,000,000?Ends in 11d	No	35	66¢ → 87¢	$30	+$7 +30%
Will Hungary win 2026-27 Nations League Group B2?Ends in 39d	No	40	76¢ → 55¢	$22	−$9 −28%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas be between 975,000 and 1,050,000?Ends in 11d	Yes	92	11¢ → 23¢	$21	+$11 +113%
Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $150B by December 31?Ends in 73d	Yes	235	31¢ → 8¢	$18	−$54 −75%
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $250B by December 31?Ends in 73d	Yes	584	14¢ → 3¢	$17	−$62 −78%
Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 1.3%?Ends in 6d	Yes	170	17¢ → 9¢	$15	−$13 −47%
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $17.5B by December 31?Ends in 73d	No	16	90¢ → 93¢	$15	+$0 +2.8%
Will Ferencvárosi TC be relegated from the 2026-27 NB I (Hungary)?Ends in 250d	Yes	25	4¢ → 50¢	$13	+$12 +1150%
Republican House odds hit 12% by October 31?Ends in 8d	Yes	194	23¢ → 6¢	$11	−$34 −76%
Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $150B by December 31?Ends in 69d	Yes	65	17¢ → 16¢	$10	−$1 −7.8%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii be between 400,000 and 430,000?Ends in 11d	Yes	25	12¢ → 37¢	$9	+$6 +199%
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 30%-40%?Ends in 1d	Yes	818	9¢ → 1¢	$7	−$66 −90%
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $14B by December 31?Ends in 73d	Yes	58	27¢ → 12¢	$7	−$9 −56%
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 62-66%?Ends in 1d	No	10	64¢ → 57¢	$6	−$1 −10%
Will Khatt Ahmar win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Ends ended	No	5	99¢ → >99¢	$5	+$0 +0.6%
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d	No	5	97¢ → 99¢	$5	+$0 +1.7%
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $7B by October 31?Ends in 8d	No	7	51¢ → 63¢	$4	+$1 +23%
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?Ends in 100d	Yes	207	16¢ → 2¢	$4	−$28 −87%
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.7%?Ends in 6d	Yes	50	2¢ → 8¢	$4	+$3 +388%
Will voter turnout be between 82% and 84% in the 2026 New Zealand general election?Ends in 15d	Yes	140	1¢ → 3¢	$4	+$2 +78%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada be between 975,000 and 1,050,000?Ends in 11d	Yes	44	5¢ → 8¢	$3	+$1 +54%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Mexico be between 550,000 and 600,000?Ends in 11d	Yes	96	1¢ → 3¢	$3	+$2 +168%
Will ground beef hit $8 per pound in 2026?Ends in 69d	Yes	15	17¢ → 17¢	$2	−$0 −2.9%
Will Hungary win the UEFA EURO 2028?Ends ended	Yes	637	1¢ → <1¢	$2	−$2 −41%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,350,000 and 4,500,000?Ends in 11d	Yes	76	5¢ → 3¢	$2	−$2 −43%
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be $2.50T or more?Ends in 434d	Yes	209	1¢ → 1¢	$2	−$1 −24%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be between 5,000,000 and 5,200,000?Ends in 11d	Yes	25	4¢ → 7¢	$2	+$1 +87%
Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $80B by December 31?Ends in 69d	Yes	32	24¢ → 5¢	$2	−$6 −80%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be between 4,200,000 and 4,400,000?Ends in 11d	Yes	28	7¢ → 4¢	$1	−$1 −33%
Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?Ends in 1d	Yes	251	<1¢ → <1¢	$1	−$0 −13%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Arizona be between 2,600,000 and 2,750,000?Ends in 11d	Yes	3	7¢ → 28¢	$1	+$1 +307%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be between 5,400,000 and 5,600,000?Ends in 11d	Yes	15	11¢ → 1¢	$0	−$1 −89%
Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%?Ends in 1d	Yes	253	<1¢ → <1¢	$0	−$0 −75%
Will ZZS come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	242	1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Will NA come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	173	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$4 −100%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	275	7¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem	No	157	33¢ → 0¢	$0	−$52 −100%
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	2,000	1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$16 −100%
Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 16?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	507	18¢ → 0¢	$0	−$91 −100%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
22h	Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?	BuyYes94¢	$49
22h	Will the Danube River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?	SellYes5¢	$7
2d	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	BuyYes17¢	$57
2d	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 30%-40%?	BuyYes7¢	$40
2d	Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?	BuyYes<1¢	$0
2d	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 30%-40%?	BuyYes13¢	$33
2d	Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%?	BuyYes<1¢	$1
2d	Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?	BuyYes<1¢	$1
5d	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas be between 900,000 and 975,000?	SellNo59¢	$287
6d	Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $7B by October 31?	BuyNo51¢	$4
6d	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas be between 975,000 and 1,050,000?	BuyYes11¢	$10
6d	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	SellYes2¢	$3
6d	Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?	BuyYes20¢	$174
6d	Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?	SellYes87¢	$338
7d	Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?	SellYes92¢	$462
9d	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Mexico be between 550,000 and 600,000?	BuyYes1¢	$1
9d	Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?	BuyYes21¢	$23
9d	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada be between 900,000 and 975,000?	BuyNo81¢	$129
9d	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada be between 975,000 and 1,050,000?	BuyYes5¢	$2
9d	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama be between 1,700,000 and 1,800,000?	BuyNo73¢	$40
9d	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,350,000 and 4,500,000?	BuyYes5¢	$2
9d	Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?	BuyYes83¢	$101
9d	Will the Danube River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?	SellYes18¢	$131
11d	Republican House odds hit 12% by October 31?	BuyYes23¢	$45
11d	Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on October 16?	BuyYes22¢	$14
11d	Democratic Senate odds 64-66% on October 16?	BuyYes18¢	$94
11d	Will Kispest-Honvéd be relegated from the 2026-27 NB I (Hungary)?	BuyNo50¢	$10
11d	Will Kispest-Honvéd be relegated from the 2026-27 NB I (Hungary)?	BuyNo43¢	$18
11d	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,350,000 and 4,500,000?	BuyYes5¢	$2
11d	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,200,000 and 4,350,000?	BuyNo91¢	$295
11d	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama be between 1,700,000 and 1,800,000?	BuyNo77¢	$15
11d	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama be between 1,700,000 and 1,800,000?	BuyNo67¢	$14
11d	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama be between 1,600,000 and 1,700,000?	BuyYes11¢	$24
11d	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas be between 900,000 and 975,000?	BuyNo30¢	$312
11d	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be between 4,800,000 and 5,000,000?	SellNo70¢	$114
11d	Will voter turnout be between 82% and 84% in the 2026 New Zealand general election?	BuyYes1¢	$2
11d	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be between 4,600,000 and 4,800,000?	SellYes30¢	$60
11d	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada be between 1,050,000 and 1,125,000?	BuyYes3¢	$6
11d	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be between 4,600,000 and 4,800,000?	BuyYes23¢	$158
11d	Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?	BuyYes70¢	$59
11d	Will the Danube River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?	BuyNo70¢	$31
11d	Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?	BuyYes68¢	$105
15d	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 62-66%?	BuyNo64¢	$6
15d	Will the Danube River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?	BuyYes26¢	$43
15d	Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $150B by December 31?	SellYes35¢	$22
16d	Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?	BuyYes63¢	$240
17d	Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be $2.50T or more?	BuyYes1¢	$2
21d	Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?	BuyYes62¢	$28
21d	Will the Danube River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?	SellYes38¢	$110
21d	Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by December 31?	BuyNo92¢	$231
21d	Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $17.5B by December 31?	BuyNo90¢	$150
21d	Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $25B by December 31?	BuyNo91¢	$46
21d	Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $25B by December 31?	BuyNo91¢	$144
22d	Will the Danube River return to normal levels between September 15 and September 30, 2026?	BuyNo>99¢	$2,336
22d	Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?	BuyNo49¢	$17
22d	Will the Danube River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?	SellYes48¢	$219
23d	Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?	BuyNo49¢	$114
23d	Will the Danube River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?	BuyYes48¢	$585
24d	Will the median home value in NYC be between $609,000 and $636,000 on September 30?	SellYes<1¢	$0
24d	Will the median home value in NYC be between $582,000 and $609,000 on September 30?	BuyNo>99¢	$240

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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