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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 861d |  Reini18604 fills | Ayatollah Khamenei still in power in Iran by June 30? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $10,070 | +$430 +4.3% | 4 |
| 872d |  BigMike11 | Ayatollah Khamenei still in power in Iran by June 30? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,872 | +$78 +4.2% | 4 |
| 886d |  Whataretheodds | Ayatollah Khamenei still in power in Iran by June 30? | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,024 | +$69 +6.7% | 4 |
| 887d | tomburns | Ayatollah Khamenei still in power in Iran by June 30? | BuyNo45¢ → 0¢ | $1,117 | −$1,117 −100% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, the Supreme Leader of Iran, maintains his position as the Supreme Leader until June 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. The market will resolve to "No" if, for any reason, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei is no longer in his position as the Supreme Leader of Iran at any point during this same time period. The resolution will be based on reputable global news sources. If Ayatollah Ali Khamenei is no longer serving as Supreme Leader before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.
