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Polymarket wallet 0xd68795712cf644852b1b0f4b1d0a8964950312f9 · on Polymarket since Dec 19, 2023
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 698 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$313 −100% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 59¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Ayatollah Khamenei still in power in Iran by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 137 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 488d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | BuyYes59¢ | $2 |
| 499d | Israel military action against Iran before July? | BuyYes50¢ | $1 |
| 677d | Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024? | BuyYes44¢ | $170 |
| 677d | Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024? | BuyYes50¢ | $93 |
| 677d | Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024? | SellYes10¢ | $93 |
| 677d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting? | BuyYes96¢ | $1 |
| 680d | Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024? | BuyYes7¢ | $64 |
| 680d | Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024? | SellYes49¢ | $63 |
| 688d | Michel Barnier out as prime minister of France in 2024? | BuyYes87¢ | $1 |
| 695d | Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024? | BuyYes39¢ | $100 |
| 888d | Ayatollah Khamenei still in power in Iran by June 30? | BuyNo15¢ | $20 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 4 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.