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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Decrease | 100% | +39 pts | +69 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| No Change | 0% | −39 pts | −68 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Increase | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 253d | doublepepperoni | No Change | SellNo>99¢ | $6,660 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 253d | Increase | SellNo>99¢ | $1,134 | −$1 −0.1% | — | |
| 253d | influenz.eth3 fills | Increase | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,838 | +$6 +0.1% | 10 |
| 253d | wokerjoesleeper6 fills | Increase | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,083 | +$11 +0.1% | 10 |
| 253d | C63AMG | Increase | BuyNo>99¢ | $14,985 | +$15 +0.1% | 10 |
| 253d | Increase | BuyNo>99¢ | $168,217 | +$168 +0.1% | 10 | |
| 253d | No Change | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,597 | +$11 +0.2% | 10 | |
| 253d | wokerjoesleeper5 fills | No Change | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,038 | +$56 +0.6% | 10 |
| 253d | Decrease | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $188,752 | +$1,626 +0.9% | 10 | |
| 253d | No Change | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,985 | +$15 +0.3% | 10 | |
| 253d | selador3 fills | Decrease | BuyYes>99¢ | $18,985 | +$57 +0.3% | 10 |
| 253d | Decrease | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,400 | +$5 +0.1% | 10 | |
| 253d | kukubaja | Decrease | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,525 | +$26 +1.0% | 10 |
| 253d | No Change | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $22,437 | +$227 +1.0% | 10 | |
| 253d | Bearpp | No Change | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$15 +1.0% | 10 |
| 253d | No Change | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $190,031 | +$1,920 +1.0% | 10 | |
| 253d | Simon4s | No Change | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,950 | +$50 +1.0% | 10 |
| 253d | No Change | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,900 | +$100 +1.0% | 10 | |
| 253d | Crock95 | No Change | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,970 | +$30 +1.0% | 10 |
| 253d | oVyg7f | No Change | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,039 | +$10 +1.0% | 10 |
| 253d | kukubaja2 fills | No Change | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $14,850 | +$150 +1.0% | 10 |
| 253d | No Change | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,960 | +$40 +1.0% | 10 | |
| 253d | doublepepperoni | No Change | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,600 | +$67 +1.0% | 10 |
| 253d | No Change | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,900 | +$100 +1.0% | 10 | |
| 253d | green-tea | No Change | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,485 | +$15 +1.0% | 10 |
| 253d | influenz.eth | No Change | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,482 | +$15 +1.0% | 10 |
| 253d | Decrease | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,168 | +$32 +1.0% | 10 | |
| 253d | Crock95 | Decrease | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,970 | +$30 +1.0% | 10 |
| 253d | Decrease | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,970 | +$30 +1.0% | 10 | |
| 253d | abccbaq2 fills | No Change | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,960 | +$40 +1.0% | 10 |
| 253d | Decrease | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,851 | +$49 +1.0% | 10 | |
| 253d | Decrease | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,970 | +$30 +1.0% | 10 | |
| 253d | ace | Decrease | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $16,200 | +$164 +1.0% | 10 |
| 253d | AndreasSan2 fills | Decrease | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $15,578 | +$238 +1.5% | 10 |
| 253d | 0xab2f…5a03 | No Change | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,475 | +$15 +1.0% | 10 |
| 253d | 0xab2f…5a03 | Decrease | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,475 | +$15 +1.0% | 10 |
| 253d | abccbaq | Increase | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 10 |
| 253d | AndreasSan | No Change | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,143 | +$164 +14% | 10 |
| 253d | Decrease | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $7,136 | +$2,379 +33% | 10 | |
| 253d | IvanDDD | No Change | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$319 +21% | 10 |
| 253d | IvanDDD | Decrease | BuyYes73¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$567 +38% | 10 |
| 253d | QMG-CORE | Increase | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 253d | gongwuyuan | No Change | BuyYes40¢ → 0¢ | $1,226 | −$1,226 −100% | 10 |
| 253d | Increase | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,745 | +$4 +0.1% | 10 | |
| 253d | Mishatheludo | No Change | BuyYes40¢ → 0¢ | $1,600 | −$1,600 −100% | 11 |
| 253d | Decrease | BuyNo40¢ → 0¢ | $1,085 | −$1,085 −100% | 10 | |
| 253d | Imsecond | Increase | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 |
| 253d | multit | No Change | BuyYes40¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 18 |
| 254d | Increase | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,074 | +$8 +0.8% | 10 | |
| 258d | bvccj1uvocf8y | Increase | BuyNo100¢ | $3,512 | +$18 +0.5% | 10 |
| 258d | kksdkm9ziv95n | Increase | BuyNo100¢ | $3,507 | +$18 +0.5% | 10 |
| 258d | vtqofbuv6iekv | Increase | BuyNo100¢ | $3,502 | +$18 +0.5% | 10 |
| 258d | ttkgg75bbvcrt452 | Increase | BuyNo100¢ | $3,512 | +$18 +0.5% | 10 |
| 258d | foobstgbn2w4 | Increase | BuyNo100¢ | $3,492 | +$18 +0.5% | 10 |
| 258d | mdlwqpo8v12 | Increase | BuyNo100¢ | $3,527 | +$18 +0.5% | 10 |
| 258d | uvwokqos76ev84522 | Increase | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,268 | +$32 +0.6% | 10 |
| 295d | Passionate-Left | Decrease | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $1,030 | +$259 +25% | 10 |
| 297d | sanhu5 | Increase | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $2,524 | +$282 +11% | 10 |
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s February meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its February 13, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13 This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their February 13, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Decrease means the market gives it about 100%.