| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 5d | Yes | 83,500 | 22¢ → 92¢ | $76,403 | +$58,274 +321% |
| US recession by end of 2026?Ends in 99d | No | 21,435 | 91¢ → 93¢ | $19,828 | +$313 +1.6% |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 18,396 | 95¢ → 93¢ | $17,173 | −$376 −2.1% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 16,513 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $15,910 | +$97 +0.6% |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 16,000 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $15,360 | +$486 +3.3% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 16,017 | 93¢ → 94¢ | $14,976 | +$126 +0.8% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 15,000 | 83¢ → 77¢ | $11,490 | −$966 −7.8% |
| Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 10,899 | 92¢ → 98¢ | $10,632 | +$566 +5.6% |
| New pandemic in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 9,975 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $9,556 | +$383 +4.2% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 8,901 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $8,585 | +$53 +0.6% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?Ends in 69d | No | 9,000 | 88¢ → 94¢ | $8,415 | +$507 +6.4% |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Ends in 47d | Yes | 10,001 | 78¢ → 77¢ | $7,701 | −$141 −1.8% |
| Will Mailza Assis win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial election?Ends ended | Yes | 7,635 | 98¢ → 99¢ | $7,532 | +$82 +1.1% |
| Kimi K4 released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 7,482 | 95¢ → 99¢ | $7,423 | +$299 +4.2% |
| Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 6,679 | 90¢ → 95¢ | $6,312 | +$303 +5.0% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 5d | Yes | 81,500 | 20¢ → 8¢ | $6,113 | −$10,468 −63% |
| Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 6,233 | 91¢ → 95¢ | $5,937 | +$250 +4.4% |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 6,002 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $5,819 | +$135 +2.4% |
| Will GTA 6 cost $100+?Ends in 128d | No | 5,639 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $5,549 | +$9 +0.2% |
| Will Kuwait recognize Israel by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 5,571 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $5,390 | +$204 +3.9% |
| Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 4,547 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $4,349 | +$12 +0.3% |
| Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 4,575 | 88¢ → 94¢ | $4,312 | +$308 +7.7% |
| Will the Republicans win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 4,012 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $3,922 | +$21 +0.5% |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?Ends in 68d | No | 3,941 | 48¢ → 97¢ | $3,831 | +$1,939 +102% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 46d | Yes | 5,000 | 20¢ → 75¢ | $3,725 | +$2,725 +273% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 3,754 | 97¢ → 95¢ | $3,583 | −$39 −1.1% |
| Will Arruda win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial election?Ends ended | No | 3,431 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $3,426 | +$15 +0.5% |
| No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 6d | Yes | 3,500 | 31¢ → 97¢ | $3,378 | +$2,302 +214% |
| Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 3,480 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $3,346 | +$10 +0.3% |
| Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 3,488 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $3,335 | +$11 +0.3% |
| Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 3,437 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $3,325 | +$57 +1.7% |
| Will Celina Leão win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial election?Ends ended | Yes | 3,349 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $3,295 | +$73 +2.3% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 46d | Yes | 15,000 | 21¢ → 21¢ | $3,150 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 3,264 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $3,134 | +$61 +2.0% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 3,000 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $2,965 | +$3 +0.1% |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 6d | No | 3,000 | 90¢ → 98¢ | $2,951 | +$260 +9.7% |
| Will James Talarico be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 3,046 | 98¢ → 97¢ | $2,939 | −$35 −1.2% |
| Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 3,006 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $2,927 | +$122 +4.4% |
| GTA VI released by November 30?Ends in 38d | Yes | 3,000 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $2,910 | +$120 +4.3% |
| Will the Democrats win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 2,915 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $2,846 | −$2 −0.1% |
| Will Bernie Sanders be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 2,850 | >99¢ → 99¢ | $2,819 | −$28 −1.0% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | No | 3,000 | 89¢ → 93¢ | $2,775 | +$95 +3.5% |
| Will Marco Rubio be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 3,000 | 96¢ → 92¢ | $2,774 | −$103 −3.6% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 3,008 | 87¢ → 92¢ | $2,753 | +$143 +5.5% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?Ends in 7d | No | 2,722 | 98¢ → 99¢ | $2,684 | +$25 +1.0% |
| Will the Republicans win the Illinois governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 2,548 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $2,469 | −$2 −0.1% |
| Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 2,262 | 93¢ → 95¢ | $2,138 | +$24 +1.2% |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Sergipe?Ends in 2d | Yes | 2,115 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $2,103 | +$1 +0.1% |
| Will the Democrats win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 2,169 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $2,096 | +$23 +1.1% |
| Will the Democrats win the Illinois governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 2,117 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $2,048 | +$2 +0.1% |
| France declares state of siege (martial law) by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 2,000 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $1,982 | +$7 +0.3% |
| Will Alysa Liu be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Ends in 250d | No | 2,020 | 99¢ → 98¢ | $1,974 | −$18 −0.9% |
| Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 2,067 | 94¢ → 93¢ | $1,912 | −$31 −1.6% |
| Modi out by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1,953 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $1,885 | +$35 +1.9% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maryland governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 1,925 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $1,883 | +$36 +1.9% |
| Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 1,931 | 92¢ → 97¢ | $1,876 | +$97 +5.4% |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso do Sul?Ends in 2d | Yes | 1,866 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $1,845 | −$1 −0.1% |
| Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 1,885 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $1,802 | +$28 +1.6% |
| France declares state of siege (martial law) by November 15, 2026?Ends in 23d | No | 1,802 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $1,770 | +$6 +0.3% |
| Will Alan Rick win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial election?Ends ended | No | 1,762 | 97¢ → 99¢ | $1,743 | +$26 +1.5% |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Paraíba?Ends in 2d | Yes | 1,744 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $1,735 | +$2 +0.1% |
| Will the Democrats win the Hawaii governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 1,729 | 95¢ → 99¢ | $1,712 | +$68 +4.1% |
| Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1,658 | 95¢ → 98¢ | $1,631 | +$62 +4.0% |
| Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 6d | No | 1,606 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $1,605 | +$1 +0.1% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1,610 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $1,551 | +$13 +0.8% |
| Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 1,700 | 87¢ → 91¢ | $1,547 | +$67 +4.5% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | Yes | 1,606 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $1,535 | +$17 +1.1% |
| Will no listed leader be out before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 3,000 | 5¢ → 49¢ | $1,470 | +$1,334 +978% |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Roraima?Ends in 2d | Yes | 1,447 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $1,442 | +$1 +0.1% |
| JD Vance out as VP by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 1,500 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $1,439 | +$31 +2.2% |
| Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 1,500 | 92¢ → 95¢ | $1,429 | +$44 +3.2% |
| Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1,474 | 90¢ → 95¢ | $1,400 | +$67 +5.0% |
| Will Starbucks acquire Chipotle in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1,352 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $1,310 | +$12 +0.9% |
| Will the Republicans win the Wyoming governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 1,206 | 95¢ → 98¢ | $1,185 | +$36 +3.1% |
| Lindsay Clancy sentenced to prison time in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 1,217 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $1,184 | +$23 +2.0% |
| Will Ilhan Omar be deported by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1,213 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $1,182 | +$27 +2.3% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 5,000 | 16¢ → 24¢ | $1,175 | +$375 +47% |
| Will Steffen Krach be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?Ends ended | No | 1,173 | >99¢ → 99¢ | $1,161 | −$8 −0.7% |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Bahia?Ends in 2d | Yes | 1,162 | 99¢ → 100¢ | $1,156 | +$1 +0.1% |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by March 31, 2027?Ends in 159d | No | 1,500 | 78¢ → 76¢ | $1,140 | −$35 −3.0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 1,106 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $1,072 | +$43 +4.2% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?Ends in 96d | No | 1,033 | 95¢ → 99¢ | $1,022 | +$41 +4.2% |
| ECB rate cut in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1,036 | 92¢ → 95¢ | $985 | +$28 +2.9% |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 1,000 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $974 | +$14 +1.4% |
| Will Grok 5 be released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 971 | 95¢ → >99¢ | $966 | +$40 +4.3% |
| Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1,000 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $964 | +$14 +1.4% |
| Will the Republicans win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 1,000 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $961 | +$41 +4.4% |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1,000 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $959 | +$2 +0.2% |
| Yoon out of custody before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 1,000 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $950 | +$6 +0.6% |
| Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 1,000 | 93¢ → 93¢ | $925 | −$5 −0.5% |
| Will the Democrats win the South Dakota governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 935 | 94¢ → 98¢ | $915 | +$35 +4.0% |
| Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Ends in 177d | Yes | 1,000 | 90¢ → 90¢ | $900 | $0 0.0% |
| Will DeepSeek IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 891 | 92¢ → 95¢ | $850 | +$30 +3.7% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 3,000 | 5¢ → 27¢ | $810 | +$674 +494% |
| Will the Republicans win the Arkansas governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 777 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $754 | +$12 +1.7% |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from São Paulo?Ends in 2d | Yes | 636 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $629 | −$4 −0.6% |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Maranhão?Ends in 2d | Yes | 623 | 100¢ → 99¢ | $617 | −$3 −0.5% |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | No | 579 | 95¢ → 95¢ | $552 | +$1 +0.3% |
| Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 4d | No | 530 | 99¢ → 100¢ | $527 | +$5 +0.9% |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Acre?Ends in 2d | Yes | 532 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $527 | −$2 −0.4% |
