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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 795d |  gopfan | Biden diagnosed with "medical condition" before DNC? | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,746 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 795d |  ImJustKen2 fills | Biden diagnosed with "medical condition" before DNC? | BuyNo>99¢ | $41,289 | +$41 +0.1% | 4 |
| 795d |  LBZcapital | Biden diagnosed with "medical condition" before DNC? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 797d | Dufu | Biden diagnosed with "medical condition" before DNC? | SellNo>99¢ | $6,911 | −$21 −0.3% | — |
| 798d | CoolBetguy5 fills | Biden diagnosed with "medical condition" before DNC? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $14,897 | +$361 +2.4% | 4 |
| 800d | Sean1909836223 | Biden diagnosed with "medical condition" before DNC? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,034 | +$6 +0.6% | 4 |
| 800d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly | Biden diagnosed with "medical condition" before DNC? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,240 | −$14 −1.1% | — |
| 801d | J.V. | Biden diagnosed with "medical condition" before DNC? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,129 | −$10 −0.9% | — |
| 803d |  Erasmus.4 fills | Biden diagnosed with "medical condition" before DNC? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $20,377 | +$202 +1.0% | 4 |
| 803d |  elmcap26 fills | Biden diagnosed with "medical condition" before DNC? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $102,900 | +$1,848 +1.8% | 4 |
| 808d | Dufu | Biden diagnosed with "medical condition" before DNC? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $6,780 | +$152 +2.2% | 4 |
| 809d |  CrunchWrapoDeLaFuente2 fills | Biden diagnosed with "medical condition" before DNC? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $4,910 | −$208 −4.2% | — |
| 809d | 220022003 fills | Biden diagnosed with "medical condition" before DNC? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $22,436 | −$1,404 −6.3% | — |
| 809d |  Apsalar | Biden diagnosed with "medical condition" before DNC? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,980 | −$40 −2.0% | — |
| 812d | randomname3948282 | Biden diagnosed with "medical condition" before DNC? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $5,745 | +$181 +3.1% | 4 |
| 813d | sabato11 | Biden diagnosed with "medical condition" before DNC? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,128 | +$66 +3.1% | 4 |
| 818d | CrunchWrapoDeLaFuente | Biden diagnosed with "medical condition" before DNC? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,714 | +$90 +5.3% | 4 |
| 818d | nickverd3 fills | Biden diagnosed with "medical condition" before DNC? | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $11,931 | +$1,964 +16% | 4 |
| 820d | Steep-PublicNew account | Biden diagnosed with "medical condition" before DNC? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,573 | +$175 +11% | 7 |
| 821d | OPMSucks | Biden diagnosed with "medical condition" before DNC? | SellNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,068 | −$132 −12% | — |
| 823d | OPMSucks | Biden diagnosed with "medical condition" before DNC? | BuyNo73¢ → 100¢ | $1,372 | +$507 +37% | 4 |
| 826d | 220022002 fills | Biden diagnosed with "medical condition" before DNC? | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $3,265 | +$654 +20% | 4 |
| 827d | x®x | Biden diagnosed with "medical condition" before DNC? | BuyYes20¢ → 0¢ | $1,033 | −$1,033 −100% | 4 |
TriaKube13,450 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Biden is diagnosed with a serious medical condition before the DNC officially starts. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A serious medical condition is broadly defined as a condition in the severity category of Parkinson's, Dementia, or Cancer. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Joe Biden and/or his official representative(s), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.