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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 840d | kastard | Biden drops out by July 4? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,483 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 840d | okcoolstorybro | Biden drops out by July 4? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,513 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 840d |  09433 fills | Biden drops out by July 4? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $29,937 | −$822 −2.7% | — |
| 840d |  mcduck | Biden drops out by July 4? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,549 | −$61 −0.8% | — |
| 840d |  Catlover255 | Biden drops out by July 4? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,640 | −$25 −0.7% | — |
| 840d | zZQ8xU4Btx | Biden drops out by July 4? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,972 | −$28 −0.7% | — |
| 840d |  taut-dogwood | Biden drops out by July 4? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,107 | +$3 +0.3% | 4 |
| 840d | moonkist2 fills | Biden drops out by July 4? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $7,844 | −$126 −1.6% | — |
| 840d | OracleMachine2 fills | Biden drops out by July 4? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $5,229 | −$268 −5.1% | — |
| 840d | themasteroftheblast | Biden drops out by July 4? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,042 | −$12 −0.6% | — |
| 840d | Stiv2 fills | Biden drops out by July 4? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,455 | −$26 −0.6% | — |
| 840d | iris-679 | Biden drops out by July 4? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,022 | −$6 −0.6% | — |
| 840d | tradetrade22 fills | Biden drops out by July 4? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $27,038 | +$232 +0.9% | 4 |
| 840d | The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA | Biden drops out by July 4? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $8,306 | +$67 +0.8% | 4 |
| 840d |  BuckMySalls3 fills | Biden drops out by July 4? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $24,420 | +$379 +1.6% | 4 |
| 841d |  Thong | Biden drops out by July 4? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,049 | −$26 −2.5% | — |
| 841d |  elmcap2 | Biden drops out by July 4? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $10,732 | +$174 +1.6% | 5 |
| 841d | alexhitch | Biden drops out by July 4? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,082 | +$18 +1.6% | 4 |
| 841d |  Anjun2 fills | Biden drops out by July 4? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $5,864 | +$625 +11% | 5 |
| 841d |  CrunchWrapoDeLaFuente2 fills | Biden drops out by July 4? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,951 | +$121 +2.5% | 4 |
| 841d |  ANudeEgg | Biden drops out by July 4? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,940 | +$60 +1.2% | 4 |
| 841d | wjc3 | Biden drops out by July 4? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,668 | −$49 −1.8% | — |
| 841d | 122222 | Biden drops out by July 4? | SellYes4¢ → 0¢ | $1,869 | +$1,869 +100% | — |
| 841d |  kdubhotsauce | Biden drops out by July 4? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,161 | +$95 +4.4% | 5 |
| 841d | TonyVlachos | Biden drops out by July 4? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,210 | +$124 +5.6% | 5 |
| 841d |  occasionalAwareness | Biden drops out by July 4? | BuyYes10¢ → 0¢ | $1,965 | −$1,965 −100% | 17 |
| 841d | dipsybitsy | Biden drops out by July 4? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $5,328 | +$241 +4.5% | 5 |
| 841d |  RewardsPeasant | Biden drops out by July 4? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$106 +5.3% | 5 |
| 841d |  yalla | Biden drops out by July 4? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$154 +5.1% | 5 |
| 841d | sdiff123 | Biden drops out by July 4? | BuyYes10¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 17 |
| 841d |  ImJustKen4 fills | Biden drops out by July 4? | BuyYes6¢ → 0¢ | $5,510 | −$5,510 −100% | 19 |
| 841d | iris-679 | Biden drops out by July 4? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$28 +2.8% | 5 |
| 841d | lollololol | Biden drops out by July 4? | BuyYes5¢ → 0¢ | $1,987 | −$1,987 −100% | 17 |
| 841d | moonar | Biden drops out by July 4? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,756 | +$104 +2.8% | 5 |
| 841d |  GoriIIa2 fills | Biden drops out by July 4? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $63,294 | +$1,802 +2.8% | 4 |
| 842d | mostlywrong | Biden drops out by July 4? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $10,183 | −$363 −3.6% | — |
| 842d |  9flare2 fills | Biden drops out by July 4? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $5,007 | +$169 +3.4% | 5 |
| 842d | kastard | Biden drops out by July 4? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,990 | +$145 +3.6% | 5 |
| 842d | Breeezy | Biden drops out by July 4? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,071 | −$45 −4.2% | — |
| 842d |  0xPolymath4 fills | Biden drops out by July 4? | BuyYes7¢ → 0¢ | $6,000 | −$6,000 −100% | 20 |
| 842d | Trump2024-Forever | Biden drops out by July 4? | SellYes3¢ → 0¢ | $1,648 | +$1,648 +100% | — |
| 842d | 09433 fills | Biden drops out by July 4? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $17,822 | +$1,344 +7.5% | 4 |
| 842d |  scottilicious22 fills | Biden drops out by July 4? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $341,727 | +$20,312 +5.9% | 4 |
| 842d | Twp4 fills | Biden drops out by July 4? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $18,447 | +$660 +3.6% | 5 |
| 842d | MetaverseHodl | Biden drops out by July 4? | BuyYes5¢ → 0¢ | $2,400 | −$2,400 −100% | 16 |
| 842d |  GeneralDavidPatraeus.eth | Biden drops out by July 4? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,547 | −$53 −3.4% | — |
| 842d | 0xmaniac | Biden drops out by July 4? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,037 | −$63 −3.1% | — |
| 842d |  imp | Biden drops out by July 4? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,936 | −$64 −3.3% | — |
| 842d | 1222222 fills | Biden drops out by July 4? | BuyYes4¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 14 |
| 842d |  McDonalds-Employee2 fills | Biden drops out by July 4? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $10,691 | −$787 −7.4% | — |
| 842d | Jooba2 fills | Biden drops out by July 4? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,700 | +$174 +4.7% | 5 |
| 842d | Anon55665 fills | Biden drops out by July 4? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $31,869 | +$1,571 +4.9% | 4 |
| 842d |  fhantombets3 fills | Biden drops out by July 4? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $8,056 | −$373 −4.6% | — |
| 842d |  funnyday | Biden drops out by July 4? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,658 | +$53 +3.2% | 5 |
| 842d | glhfgg | Biden drops out by July 4? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,938 | +$62 +3.2% | 5 |
| 842d | Kellerman12 | Biden drops out by July 4? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,388 | +$63 +1.9% | 4 |
| 843d | teng1987 | Biden drops out by July 4? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,141 | −$49 −4.3% | — |
| 843d |  ddtaylor | Biden drops out by July 4? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,976 | +$74 +3.7% | 5 |
| 843d | teng1987 | Biden drops out by July 4? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,157 | +$34 +2.9% | 4 |
| 843d | GeneralDavidPatraeus.eth | Biden drops out by July 4? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$59 +3.0% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Joe Biden officially announces his withdrawal or is confirmed to have withdrawn from the 2024 US presidential race between the start of the first presidential debate (currently scheduled for June 27, 2024) and July 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. In the event of any extenuating circumstances that prevent Joe Biden from continuing the race between the start of the first debate and the resolution date, this market will also resolve to "Yes". If Joe Biden does not drop out or is not forced to withdraw from the 2024 Presidential Election by July 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." If the first presidential debate is postponed to a date after July 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or is cancelled altogether, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Joe Biden and/or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.