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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 514d | Bill allowing Trump 3rd term passes House before June? | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,179 | +$12 +0.1% | 10 | |
| 523d | Bill allowing Trump 3rd term passes House before June? | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,998 | +$18 +0.2% | 10 | |
| 523d | funguy1988 | Bill allowing Trump 3rd term passes House before June? | SellNo>99¢ | $4,020 | −$12 −0.3% | — |
| 529d | oswalt | Bill allowing Trump 3rd term passes House before June? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,076 | −$4 −0.4% | — |
| 529d | oswalt | Bill allowing Trump 3rd term passes House before June? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,077 | +$3 +0.3% | 10 |
| 529d | JureNova | Bill allowing Trump 3rd term passes House before June? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,255 | −$5 −0.4% | — |
| 530d | JureNova | Bill allowing Trump 3rd term passes House before June? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,256 | +$4 +0.3% | 10 |
| 530d | funguy1988 | Bill allowing Trump 3rd term passes House before June? | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,021 | +$11 +0.3% | 10 |
| 638d | Table34LightMouse | Bill allowing Trump 3rd term passes House before June? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,094 | +$46 +4.2% | 10 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill that has the effect of allowing Donald Trump to legally run for a third presidential term passes the US House by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.