| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 748d | No | 2,000 | 50¢ → 80¢ | $1,599 | +$599 +60% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 748d | Yes | 2,000 | 50¢ → 20¢ | $401 | −$599 −60% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 7d | Yes | 453 | 87¢ → 89¢ | $400 | +$9 +2.3% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 13d | No | 150 | 86¢ → 93¢ | $138 | +$9 +7.1% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 7d | No | 125 | 88¢ → 89¢ | $111 | +$1 +0.6% |
| Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?Ends in 99d | No | 50 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $50 | +$0 +0.6% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseEnds in 13d | No | 19 | 86¢ → 93¢ | $18 | +$1 +7.6% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 71d | No | 19 | 84¢ → 85¢ | $16 | +$0 +0.4% |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?Ends in 71d | No | 11 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $10 | +$0 +2.4% |
| US defaults on debt by 2027?Ends in 71d | No | 10 | 97¢ → 99¢ | $10 | +$0 +2.1% |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?Ends in 71d | Yes | 10 | 85¢ → 97¢ | $10 | +$1 +14% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 13d | Yes | 10 | 86¢ → 93¢ | $10 | +$1 +7.6% |
| Will no one dissent the October Fed decision?Ends in 6d | No | 11 | 78¢ → 76¢ | $9 | −$0 −3.2% |
| Republican House odds hit 20% by October 31?Ends in 10d | No | 6 | 88¢ → 99¢ | $6 | +$1 +13% |
| Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?Ends in 71d | No | 6 | 84¢ → 90¢ | $5 | +$0 +6.5% |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Ends in 71d | Yes | 6 | 71¢ → 80¢ | $5 | +$1 +12% |
| Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2027?Ends in 252d | No | 5 | 91¢ → 91¢ | $5 | −$0 −0.5% |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?Ends in 71d | No | 5 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $5 | +$0 +0.3% |
| Will Fatima Ezzahra El Mansouri be the next Prime Minister of Morocco?Ends in 282d | Yes | 5 | 95¢ → 98¢ | $5 | +$0 +2.6% |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Ends in 101d | Yes | 5 | 89¢ → 96¢ | $5 | +$0 +8.3% |
| Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?Ends in 71d | No | 5 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $5 | +$0 +2.2% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 71d | Yes | 5 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $5 | +$0 +0.3% |
| US Treasury transactions on blockchain by December 31?Ends in 71d | No | 5 | 89¢ → 93¢ | $5 | +$0 +4.9% |
| US recession by end of 2026?Ends in 101d | No | 5 | 91¢ → 93¢ | $5 | +$0 +1.7% |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Ends in 436d | No | 5 | 90¢ → 92¢ | $5 | +$0 +1.7% |
| Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?Ends in 71d | No | 5 | 97¢ → 91¢ | $5 | −$0 −5.5% |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?Ends in 71d | No | 5 | 90¢ → 91¢ | $5 | +$0 +1.1% |
| Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 5 | 91¢ → 91¢ | $5 | −$0 −0.3% |
| Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?Ends in 252d | No | 5 | 85¢ → 90¢ | $4 | +$0 +5.3% |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?Ends ended | No | 5 | 87¢ → 73¢ | $4 | −$1 −16% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 7d | No | 22 | 64¢ → 12¢ | $3 | −$11 −82% |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?Ends in 70d | No | 2 | 41¢ → 91¢ | $2 | +$1 +122% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 71d | Yes | 11 | 45¢ → 20¢ | $2 | −$3 −57% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 7d | Yes | 15 | 68¢ → 12¢ | $2 | −$9 −83% |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Ends in 72d | Yes | 3 | 39¢ → 68¢ | $2 | +$1 +74% |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Ends in 71d | No | 7 | 15¢ → 25¢ | $2 | +$1 +66% |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?Ends in 10d | No | 1 | 70¢ → >99¢ | $1 | +$0 +42% |
| Situational Awareness raises new capital by October 31?Ends in 10d | No | 2 | 64¢ → 91¢ | $1 | +$0 +42% |
| Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?Ends in 8d | No | 4 | 25¢ → 36¢ | $1 | +$0 +42% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 10d | No | 1 | 69¢ → 93¢ | $1 | +$0 +35% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 71d | No | 2 | 66¢ → 89¢ | $1 | +$0 +34% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 9d | Yes | 2 | 55¢ → 74¢ | $1 | +$0 +34% |
| Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?Ends in 71d | Yes | 2 | 55¢ → 73¢ | $1 | +$0 +33% |
| Republican House odds dip to 5% by October 31?Ends in 10d | No | 1 | 72¢ → 94¢ | $1 | +$0 +31% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 13d | No | 2 | 52¢ → 67¢ | $1 | +$0 +28% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 9d | Yes | 2 | 64¢ → 81¢ | $1 | +$0 +27% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 179d | Yes | 3 | 37¢ → 46¢ | $1 | +$0 +25% |
| Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?Ends in 10d | No | 1 | 79¢ → 97¢ | $1 | +$0 +23% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 71d | No | 2 | 64¢ → 79¢ | $1 | +$0 +23% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 3 | 35¢ → 43¢ | $1 | +$0 +22% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in October?Ends in 10d | No | 1 | 76¢ → 92¢ | $1 | +$0 +20% |
| Will world GDP growth be 3.0% in 2026?Ends in 85d | No | 1 | 71¢ → 86¢ | $1 | +$0 +20% |
| Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Ends in 70d | No | 1 | 74¢ → 86¢ | $1 | +$0 +16% |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Ends in 71d | No | 1 | 79¢ → 92¢ | $1 | +$0 +16% |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 71d | No | 1 | 74¢ → 86¢ | $1 | +$0 +16% |
| Tom Holland as Spider-Man?Ends in 252d | No | 2 | 47¢ → 54¢ | $1 | +$0 +15% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by December 31, 2026?Ends in 71d | No | 1 | 73¢ → 83¢ | $1 | +$0 +14% |
| Republican House odds hit 12% by October 31?Ends in 10d | No | 1 | 79¢ → 90¢ | $1 | +$0 +13% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 1 | 69¢ → 78¢ | $1 | +$0 +13% |
| Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 71d | No | 1 | 78¢ → 88¢ | $1 | +$0 +12% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 71d | Yes | 1 | 78¢ → 88¢ | $1 | +$0 +12% |
| Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?Ends in 252d | No | 1 | 79¢ → 89¢ | $1 | +$0 +12% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?Ends in 10d | No | 1 | 77¢ → 86¢ | $1 | +$0 +11% |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 8d | Yes | 1 | 87¢ → 96¢ | $1 | +$0 +11% |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Ends in 49d | Yes | 1 | 73¢ → 81¢ | $1 | +$0 +10% |
| Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?Ends in 38d | No | 3 | 34¢ → 38¢ | $1 | +$0 +10% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Ends in 71d | No | 1 | 85¢ → 94¢ | $1 | +$0 +10.0% |
| Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by December 31?Ends in 71d | Yes | 1 | 84¢ → 92¢ | $1 | +$0 +9.5% |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?Ends in 71d | No | 1 | 82¢ → 90¢ | $1 | +$0 +9.2% |
| Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?Ends in 71d | No | 1 | 84¢ → 92¢ | $1 | +$0 +8.9% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Ends in 71d | No | 1 | 77¢ → 84¢ | $1 | +$0 +8.4% |
| Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?Ends in 71d | No | 1 | 89¢ → 95¢ | $1 | +$0 +7.2% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 1 | 76¢ → 82¢ | $1 | +$0 +7.2% |
| Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?Ends in 436d | No | 1 | 82¢ → 88¢ | $1 | +$0 +6.7% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Ends in 71d | No | 1 | 87¢ → 92¢ | $1 | +$0 +5.2% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 1 | 83¢ → 87¢ | $1 | +$0 +4.9% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 71d | No | 1 | 71¢ → 74¢ | $1 | +$0 +3.5% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Ends in 71d | No | 1 | 74¢ → 77¢ | $1 | +$0 +4.1% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?Ends in 252d | No | 1 | 87¢ → 91¢ | $1 | +$0 +4.0% |
| US Treasury announces Bitcoin purchase by December 31, 2027?Ends in 436d | No | 1 | 77¢ → 80¢ | $1 | +$0 +3.9% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?Ends in 436d | No | 2 | 42¢ → 44¢ | $1 | +$0 +3.6% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 6d | No | 1 | 71¢ → 74¢ | $1 | +$0 +3.5% |
| Kash Patel out by December 31?Ends in 71d | No | 1 | 78¢ → 81¢ | $1 | +$0 +3.2% |
| Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?Ends in 436d | No | 1 | 86¢ → 89¢ | $1 | +$0 +2.9% |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Ends in 71d | No | 1 | 87¢ → 90¢ | $1 | +$0 +2.9% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Ends in 436d | No | 1 | 88¢ → 91¢ | $1 | +$0 +2.8% |
| Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by December 31, 2026?Ends in 71d | No | 1 | 90¢ → 93¢ | $1 | +$0 +2.8% |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?Ends in 802d | No | 1 | 82¢ → 84¢ | $1 | +$0 +1.8% |
| Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 252d | Yes | 1 | 82¢ → 84¢ | $1 | +$0 +1.8% |
| Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?Ends in 802d | No | 1 | 85¢ → 86¢ | $1 | +$0 +0.6% |
| US recession by end of 2027?Ends in 435d | No | 2 | 66¢ → 65¢ | $1 | −$0 −1.5% |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Ends in 3d | Yes | 1 | 69¢ → 67¢ | $1 | −$0 −3.5% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Ends in 71d | No | 1 | 89¢ → 86¢ | $1 | −$0 −3.9% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Ends in 71d | No | 1 | 80¢ → 76¢ | $1 | −$0 −5.0% |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 3 | 33¢ → 31¢ | $1 | −$0 −7.6% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | No | 1 | 85¢ → 79¢ | $1 | −$0 −7.6% |
| Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?Ends in 436d | No | 1 | 85¢ → 79¢ | $1 | −$0 −7.6% |
| Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT?Ends in 436d | No | 1 | 87¢ → 78¢ | $1 | −$0 −10% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 102d | Yes | 2 | 56¢ → 50¢ | $1 | −$0 −12% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?Ends in 102d | Yes | 2 | 43¢ → 38¢ | $1 | −$0 −12% |
