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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +2 pts | +44 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 477d | Passionate-Left | Bitcoin above $106,000 on July 4? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,332 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 477d | cnfiguridofjnfke2 fills | Bitcoin above $106,000 on July 4? | BuyYes>99¢ | $24,162 | +$24 +0.1% | 2 |
| 477d | 0xb68a…c5683 fills | Bitcoin above $106,000 on July 4? | BuyYes>99¢ | $13,637 | +$46 +0.3% | 2 |
| 477d | 0xb68a…c5682 fills | Bitcoin above $106,000 on July 4? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,005 | −$32 −1.1% | — |
| 477d | tsekinming013 fills | Bitcoin above $106,000 on July 4? | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $8,678 | −$186 −2.1% | — |
| 477d | tsekinming013 fills | Bitcoin above $106,000 on July 4? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $26,248 | +$339 +1.3% | 2 |
| 477d | Bitcoin above $106,000 on July 4? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,506 | +$23 +1.5% | 2 | |
| 477d | EthanX2 fills | Bitcoin above $106,000 on July 4? | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $9,898 | −$243 −2.5% | — |
| 477d | MasonByte | Bitcoin above $106,000 on July 4? | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,571 | −$61 −2.4% | — |
| 477d | Thin-Print3 fills | Bitcoin above $106,000 on July 4? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $8,916 | +$228 +2.6% | 2 |
| 478d | nonkenny902 fills | Bitcoin above $106,000 on July 4? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $7,914 | +$270 +3.4% | 2 |
| 478d | Shahzad | Bitcoin above $106,000 on July 4? | SellYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,038 | −$103 −9.9% | — |
| 479d | Shahzad | Bitcoin above $106,000 on July 4? | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,821 | +$182 +10% | 2 |
| 479d | Tonyy10 | Bitcoin above $106,000 on July 4? | SellYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,040 | −$103 −9.9% | — |
| 479d | precision | Bitcoin above $106,000 on July 4? | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $3,600 | +$400 +11% | 2 |
| 479d | Tonyy10 | Bitcoin above $106,000 on July 4? | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$142 +14% | 3 |
| 479d | 0xb68a…c568 | Bitcoin above $106,000 on July 4? | SellNo15¢ → 0¢ | $1,135 | +$1,135 +100% | — |
| 479d | brr694202 fills | Bitcoin above $106,000 on July 4? | BuyNo27¢ → 0¢ | $2,734 | −$2,734 −100% | 7 |
| 479d | EthanX | Bitcoin above $106,000 on July 4? | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $3,882 | +$970 +25% | 3 |
| 479d | MO5777 | Bitcoin above $106,000 on July 4? | BuyNo22¢ → 0¢ | $1,930 | −$1,930 −100% | 7 |
| 479d | Waterfall412 | Bitcoin above $106,000 on July 4? | BuyNo34¢ → 0¢ | $3,029 | −$3,029 −100% | 7 |
| 479d | Bitcoin above $106,000 on July 4? | BuyYes62¢ → 100¢ | $4,256 | +$2,600 +61% | 3 | |
| 479d | 0xb68a…c5684 fills | Bitcoin above $106,000 on July 4? | BuyNo37¢ → 0¢ | $9,415 | −$9,415 −100% | 8 |
| 480d | Bitcoin above $106,000 on July 4? | BuyNo46¢ → 0¢ | $2,224 | −$2,224 −100% | 4 | |
| 480d | Bitcoin above $106,000 on July 4? | BuyNo45¢ → 0¢ | $4,500 | −$4,500 −100% | 4 | |
| 480d | brr69420 | Bitcoin above $106,000 on July 4? | SellNo35¢ → 0¢ | $1,136 | +$1,136 +100% | — |
| 480d | Resilience6 fills | Bitcoin above $106,000 on July 4? | BuyNo32¢ → 0¢ | $7,600 | −$7,600 −100% | 10 |
| 482d | MagicalCompound | Bitcoin above $106,000 on July 4? | BuyYes65¢ → 100¢ | $2,330 | +$1,255 +54% | 3 |
| 484d | Bitcoin above $106,000 on July 4? | BuyYes66¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$2,536 +51% | 3 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final “Close” price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.