| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 187,707 | 79¢ → 84¢ | $156,735 | +$8,317 +5.6% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | No | 27,807 | 92¢ → 93¢ | $25,721 | +$56 +0.2% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 26,204 | 75¢ → 87¢ | $22,667 | +$3,071 +16% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 20,061 | 89¢ → 99¢ | $19,950 | +$2,126 +12% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 21,609 | 82¢ → 87¢ | $18,692 | +$1,001 +5.7% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 14,516 | 75¢ → 98¢ | $14,175 | +$3,277 +30% |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | No | 11,550 | 97¢ → 99¢ | $11,383 | +$134 +1.2% |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Ends in 43d | Yes | 9,136 | 85¢ → 98¢ | $8,962 | +$1,200 +15% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Ends in 68d | Yes | 9,194 | 80¢ → 84¢ | $7,677 | +$296 +4.0% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 6,284 | 94¢ → 98¢ | $6,136 | +$212 +3.6% |
| Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?Ends in 69d | Yamal | 24,762 | 46¢ → 25¢ | $6,067 | −$5,352 −47% |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 5,803 | 76¢ → 97¢ | $5,629 | +$1,236 +28% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Ends ended | Yes | 5,612 | 90¢ → 98¢ | $5,508 | +$448 +8.9% |
| Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d | No | 6,118 | 84¢ → 87¢ | $5,323 | +$171 +3.3% |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 5,235 | 89¢ → 99¢ | $5,167 | +$521 +11% |
| Iran leadership change by November 30?Ends in 38d | No | 5,387 | 90¢ → 94¢ | $5,037 | +$201 +4.1% |
| Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 5,146 | 84¢ → 97¢ | $5,012 | +$683 +16% |
| Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 5,303 | 85¢ → 87¢ | $4,587 | +$61 +1.3% |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 6d | Yes | 4,385 | 91¢ → 98¢ | $4,295 | +$323 +8.1% |
| Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?Ends ended | No | 4,033 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $3,962 | +$12 +0.3% |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | No | 3,867 | 94¢ → 94¢ | $3,616 | −$12 −0.3% |
| Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 3,642 | 86¢ → 90¢ | $3,260 | +$132 +4.2% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 4,075 | 58¢ → 76¢ | $3,116 | +$760 +32% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 3,352 | 80¢ → 86¢ | $2,884 | +$216 +8.1% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 3,011 | 92¢ → 88¢ | $2,635 | −$144 −5.2% |
| Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d | No | 2,592 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $2,547 | +$20 +0.8% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 2,710 | 77¢ → 93¢ | $2,520 | +$423 +20% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 23?Ends ended | Yes | 2,400 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $2,399 | +$7 +0.3% |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 2,645 | 82¢ → 82¢ | $2,156 | −$20 −0.9% |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Ends in 69d | Yes | 2,673 | 55¢ → 79¢ | $2,112 | +$645 +44% |
| Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 2,469 | 73¢ → 85¢ | $2,086 | +$274 +15% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 2,220 | 72¢ → 91¢ | $2,019 | +$423 +27% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 2,290 | 80¢ → 88¢ | $2,004 | +$176 +9.6% |
| Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?Ends in 69d | No | 2,633 | 83¢ → 76¢ | $1,998 | −$181 −8.3% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 2,566 | 83¢ → 77¢ | $1,966 | −$162 −7.6% |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 2,149 | 82¢ → 91¢ | $1,945 | +$186 +11% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 23?Ends ended | No | 1,900 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $1,896 | +$8 +0.4% |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 2,014 | 83¢ → 90¢ | $1,803 | +$127 +7.6% |
| Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,845 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $1,785 | +$8 +0.5% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1,821 | 75¢ → 92¢ | $1,666 | +$299 +22% |
| Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 1,715 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $1,649 | +$87 +5.6% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1,760 | 60¢ → 94¢ | $1,646 | +$583 +55% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 1,651 | 91¢ → 97¢ | $1,608 | +$99 +6.6% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 5d | Yes | 1,707 | 84¢ → 94¢ | $1,596 | +$156 +11% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 23?Ends ended | Yes | 1,560 | 98¢ → >99¢ | $1,559 | +$23 +1.5% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1,665 | 55¢ → 93¢ | $1,540 | +$620 +67% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1,543 | 77¢ → 95¢ | $1,460 | +$271 +23% |
| Will Drake release a new album by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 1,700 | 83¢ → 84¢ | $1,419 | +$15 +1.1% |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?Ends ended | No | 1,451 | 86¢ → 97¢ | $1,410 | +$160 +13% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 1,645 | 88¢ → 83¢ | $1,365 | −$86 −5.9% |
| Will Ousmane Dembélé attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?Ends in 38d | Yes | 1,380 | 94¢ → 99¢ | $1,362 | +$59 +4.5% |
| Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 1,363 | 91¢ → 99¢ | $1,343 | +$98 +7.9% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Ends in 72d | No | 1,446 | 74¢ → 93¢ | $1,338 | +$272 +25% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 1,724 | 85¢ → 77¢ | $1,326 | −$136 −9.3% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 1,550 | 84¢ → 85¢ | $1,310 | +$1 +0.1% |
| Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 1,324 | 85¢ → 99¢ | $1,309 | +$182 +16% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 1,517 | 82¢ → 86¢ | $1,297 | +$56 +4.5% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1,354 | 82¢ → 95¢ | $1,280 | +$166 +15% |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 21?Ends ended | Yes | 1,192 | 99¢ → 98¢ | $1,171 | −$5 −0.4% |
| Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,263 | 90¢ → 93¢ | $1,168 | +$31 +2.7% |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1,390 | 86¢ → 84¢ | $1,161 | −$38 −3.1% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 23?Ends ended | No | 1,139 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $1,136 | +$6 +0.6% |
| Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,104 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $1,082 | +$27 +2.6% |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1,152 | 77¢ → 90¢ | $1,031 | +$148 +17% |
| Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?Ends in 68d | No | 1,426 | 78¢ → 70¢ | $998 | −$111 −10.0% |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 1,054 | 88¢ → 94¢ | $985 | +$58 +6.2% |
| Will Kylian Mbappé attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?Ends in 38d | Yes | 1,001 | 85¢ → 98¢ | $979 | +$131 +15% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,110 | 91¢ → 85¢ | $938 | −$72 −7.1% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 977 | 50¢ → 91¢ | $884 | +$400 +83% |
| Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d | No | 960 | 95¢ → 89¢ | $853 | −$54 −5.9% |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 932 | 88¢ → 92¢ | $853 | +$28 +3.5% |
| Will Eminem release an album in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 977 | 78¢ → 86¢ | $840 | +$82 +11% |
| Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 864 | 90¢ → 97¢ | $838 | +$63 +8.1% |
| Will Kendrick Lamar release an album in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 1,018 | 71¢ → 82¢ | $835 | +$116 +16% |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 850 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $827 | +$40 +5.1% |
| Will Achraf Hakimi finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d | No | 836 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $805 | +$6 +0.7% |
| Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 863 | 64¢ → 92¢ | $790 | +$241 +44% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 1,102 | 74¢ → 72¢ | $788 | −$23 −2.9% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 898 | 84¢ → 87¢ | $777 | +$23 +3.1% |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 865 | 89¢ → 89¢ | $766 | −$1 −0.2% |
| Will Harry Kane finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d | Yes | 787 | 91¢ → 95¢ | $747 | +$32 +4.5% |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Ends in 97d | No | 734 | 84¢ → 97¢ | $713 | +$97 +16% |
| Natural Disaster in 2026?Ends in 128d | No | 790 | 68¢ → 88¢ | $691 | +$152 +28% |
| Will Rodri attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?Ends in 38d | Yes | 690 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $675 | +$3 +0.5% |
| Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 698 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $666 | +$13 +2.0% |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 4,075 | 35¢ → 16¢ | $638 | −$806 −56% |
| Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?Ends in 12h | Yes | 623 | 90¢ → >99¢ | $623 | +$62 +11% |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 6.00% before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 665 | 85¢ → 93¢ | $618 | +$53 +9.3% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 777 | 77¢ → 80¢ | $618 | +$23 +3.8% |
| Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?Ends in 12d | Yes | 611 | 88¢ → 97¢ | $592 | +$55 +10% |
| Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 610 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $583 | +$30 +5.4% |
| Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 766 | 81¢ → 76¢ | $578 | −$40 −6.5% |
| Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 666 | 73¢ → 87¢ | $576 | +$90 +18% |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 633 | 74¢ → 91¢ | $573 | +$101 +22% |
| Will Alexia Putellas win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 590 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $566 | +$6 +1.1% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 546 | 79¢ → >99¢ | $545 | +$113 +26% |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 575 | 78¢ → 94¢ | $538 | +$90 +20% |
| Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 544 | 91¢ → 98¢ | $532 | +$37 +7.5% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 766 | 78¢ → 65¢ | $494 | −$107 −18% |
| Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 575 | 67¢ → 81¢ | $466 | +$78 +20% |
